My first interview in Dutch media about the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Find below the 2 main ideas shared with them 🧵
At this point, it is very hard to understand the end goal of President Putin. From the extension of the attacks and the locations of the attacked targets across the country, there are signs that the Kremlin is considering occupying 2/3 of Ukraine, or even the whole country.
Let’s not forget the recent declarations of President Putin who doesn’t view Ukraine as a separate nation and his great desire to reignite the status of Russia as a great power actor within the international community.
There is a great chance to have a long guerilla conflict on the ground between the Ukrainians who will fight for their country and the Russian invaders.
Ukraine is one of the largest European countries with 41 million citizens. Ukraine’s armed forces are outnumbered – almost 5 to 1- and outgunned by Russia. They have almost 200,000 active military personnel and 900,000 reservists
Nevertheless, not only the number of troops matters in this equation. Their experience and training in the battle are also important. Here, the Ukrainian forces have gained combat training in the Donbas fighting since 2014.
In addition, let us not forget that Ukrainians are highly motivated to preserve their nation and their home. So, this will mean that Russian troops will find a very hostile population, that is not welcoming the Russian aggressions in its communities.

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More from @IonelaCiolan

Feb 23
🇷🇺aggression towards 🇺🇦has severe consequences for European security architecture and it will be felt in other geopolitical sensible regions 🧵 1/1
such as the European Arctic, which is seeing a heightening of military build-up, tensions, and competition over resources for some years now...
@epc event on climate insecurity and geopolitics in the Arctic offered a comprehensive picture of the current situation in the Arctic and its interlink with what is happening in Donbas
Read 10 tweets

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