🇷🇺aggression towards 🇺🇦has severe consequences for European security architecture and it will be felt in other geopolitical sensible regions 🧵 1/1
such as the European Arctic, which is seeing a heightening of military build-up, tensions, and competition over resources for some years now...
@epc event on climate insecurity and geopolitics in the Arctic offered a comprehensive picture of the current situation in the Arctic and its interlink with what is happening in Donbas
@epc@Marisol_Maddox "If Russia decides to further invade Ukraine, there would be economic, military and diplomatic concerns for the Arctic region and most importantly, our ability to continue to jointly collaborate on escalating issues around climate change"
@epc@Marisol_Maddox@MichaelRhle2 "The Arctic is changing – not only in terms of climate change but also political tensions are more visible than 10 to 15 years ago. There is more military competition. Russia increased its military position, but NATO Arctic allies are following a careful approach"
@epc@Marisol_Maddox@MichaelRhle2@MichaelMann"Russia has massively built up its Arctic strength, with new facilities, new weapons systems and Northern Fleet. EU doesn't see a danger of conflict soon in the Arctic based on Arctic issues; it's more of a reflection of global strategic positioning by various states"
@epc@Marisol_Maddox@MichaelRhle2@MichaelMann@ElanaWilsonRowe "Cooperation & competition characterises relations among 8 Arctic states including 🇷🇺 & 🇺🇸 since end of Cold War. Arctic is complex, pragmatically driven environment, where states cooperate in areas of mutual interest while unresolved security conflicts persist"
At this point, it is very hard to understand the end goal of President Putin. From the extension of the attacks and the locations of the attacked targets across the country, there are signs that the Kremlin is considering occupying 2/3 of Ukraine, or even the whole country.
Let’s not forget the recent declarations of President Putin who doesn’t view Ukraine as a separate nation and his great desire to reignite the status of Russia as a great power actor within the international community.