Robert Young Pelton Profile picture
Feb 26 6 tweets 3 min read
Noodling some scenarios here. What if Putin goes full Hitler and runs out of gas? How are 60,000 Russian troops going to eat? How are they going to deal with 215,000 Ukraine military and who knows how many armed volunteers. The Russian invasion is about to get interesting.
Ukraine demographics (left) vs Russia demographics (right). The population of Russia (half a million last year) is vanishing due to one of the lowest birth rates in the world. So is Ukraine (-300K a year) Both have male deficits. pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015…
Long term scenario:...Russia and Ukraine will both...vanish. Unless they have immigration and inflow. Putin just capped himself. rferl.org/a/ukraine--pop…
Short term scenario: Ukraine resists and attracts global support. The educated nation begins to grow while Russia becomes a parish state. Potential is iffy...since a new Marshall Plan is not going to happen. Putin is devious and persistent. trade.gov/country-commer…
Mid term scenario; Putin "wins" and drags down Ukraine with him. Shunned Putin then makes Russia a mercenary for hire nation ravaging Africa using UAE/KSA money with his ex soldiers. Sorry..my bad..this is already happening. t-intell.com/2021/09/28/put…
Long term scenario: NATO goes full Qaddafi on Putin's tiny angry ass and plunges Russia into chaos, Keeping the oil and critical resources flowing to Europe. A win for America a mess for Europe.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Robert Young Pelton

Robert Young Pelton Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @RYP__

Feb 28
Kurt Vonnegut was part of era of American writers forged by the horror of World War II. Vonnegut chose quirky humor and plain speaking to tell stories but above all he was passionate about writing. This doc, his story is definitely worth a watch. vonnegutmovie.com
Director Robert B. Weide (Curb Your Enthusiasm) inserts his friendship and life into the film. We realize that this is not a work of dispassionate observation and analysis but it works. It is depressing how few of Vonneguts appearances and speeches can be found online.
In the interviews available on line, Vonnegut is candid and entertaining. But the doc's discovery of hundreds of old films and interviews in the doc shows us America doesn't really preserve and honor their cultural icons well.
Read 8 tweets
Feb 28
"just like that, without any sanctions," "out of spite." , "this must be responded to in a quite symmetric manner."Like the E...and a number of singing-along states of the Anglo-Saxon world that will take part in this," he said on his VK page Saturday." tass.com/politics/14119…
Sing-along states celebrating after four days of frustrating the desires of carnal desires of VladPutin. Ra Ra Vlad Putin... Russia's smallest war machine.
A rich vein of humor and dance moves.
Read 17 tweets
Feb 27
The developer of World of Tanks: In 2015 news paper Zerkalo Nyedeli Ukraine suspect GlobalMoney of transferring cash from the territories of the so-called LPR and DPR not controlled by Ukraine, as well as financing terrorist groups kiprinform.com/en/cyprus_news…
Or are they? There is no official mention of of any investigation into the Minsk based company. Could there be something else in play?reddit.com/r/WorldofTanks…
Read 9 tweets
Feb 27
Inspector Clouseau is actually Bannon's partner in the poltically oiled up gladiators school. news.artnet.com/art-world/stev…
"a think-tank founded in 2008 whose goal is to protect and promote human dignity based on the anthropological truth that man is born in the image and likeness of God" dignitatishumanae.com/index.php/abou…
"you have a laaaasence?"
Read 4 tweets
Feb 27
Tucker Carlson, Mike Pompeo...the ususal suspects. In Russian. snopes.com/fact-check/tuc…
Luckily GOP hopefuls have done their sentiment analysis and pivoted. Apparently they were tough on Russia.Mike even saw Soviet tanks on TV. Reaganesque is the new old mantra. wesh.com/article/pompeo…
At CPAC Donald is still machining gunning fear salad to the slope pated. He would have stopped Putin. Cue Sam and Dave. c-span.org/video/?518150-… Image
Read 5 tweets
Feb 27
That moment when survival and freedom depends on individual efforts. The war in Ukraine being taken up by citizens might be single most unifying event for Americans. washingtonpost.com/world/2022/02/…
The American militia movement began as an armed force against outside forces and then was led astray. Good paper on the US Militia movement: scholarworks.calstate.edu/downloads/x346…
One missing historical link in the current Ukraine conflict are the modern version of our WW2 era "Jedburgh's". Men and women dropped in behind enemy lines to support, coordinate and train resistance forces. Ukraine is at that point of need.
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(