Tim Mak Profile picture
Feb 27 19 tweets 5 min read
Good morning from Ukraine to those waking up on the east coast.

Kyiv is still standing. Western intel predictions varied, and even most optimistic said city would fall within 2-3 days. But the out-matched Ukrainian military is putting up a valiant fight to defend the city
On Thursday a senior western intelligence official told NPR that by Thursday “evening at the latest, Kyiv is likely to be encircled.” Here we are on Sunday afternoon, and the latest information is that it has not been.
In the northeast there are signs that the Russians are running into logistical issues despite being so close to the Russian border
As part of the effort to stop the war, Ukraine has set up a hotline for Russian women concerned about their sons/husbands/boyfriends etc. It’s the “Come Back from Ukraine Alive” hotline, said an advisor to the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine
The Ukrainian government advisor said that five women in Kyiv have received 700 calls from Russian mothers “who are horrified” and they missed several thousand more calls. “All conversations are naturally recorded and are a valuable source of intelligence.”
Please take a listen to my latest story: I try my best to bring you the sounds/experiences of air raid sirens, tanks, hastily-prepared checkpoints.

At the gas station we were at, a voice came over the PA announcing an air strike causing mass-panic:

The roads are jammed — we spent 14 hours driving yesterday, and progressed just 200 miles or so. It seems every town we pass through has set up checkpoints, which dramatically slows down progress.
On day one we were seeing checkpoints set up with tires… day two we are seeing sandbags being stacked… by now we are seeing concrete blocks and hasty fortifications.
The firearms that we are seeing at the checkpoints vary, but we are seeing a lot of AKs (with poor muzzle discipline, unnervingly) and double-barreled shotguns. Skeet shooting appears to be popular here @StephenGutowski
My race is an interesting issue here: I’m obviously not white so I come off as some vague foreigner. There are not v many immigrants here, so when we are stopped at checkpoints they may think: Maybe he is from Kazakhstan? Or some other post-Soviet country? Student?
I am still receiving hate mail from America though. Here’s a racist email I got while traveling in Ukraine. I didn’t see it because we were in a bomb shelter at the time.
Anyways at the border, reports of people spending all day waiting to get into Poland, abandoning cars, or even walking miles to cross by foot in the cold winter weather. The UN Refugee Agency estimates there are now 368K+ Ukrainian refugees.
The Germans, threatened by Putin’s aggressive actions, are now sending defensive lethal aid to Ukraine and are re-arming and growing their own Army… pledging now more than 2% GDP to military spending
It is an enormous feat of logistics to live or move around in Ukraine right now. Gas, power, comms, transport, housing, safety constant issues. Our coordinating producer @Yawnstewart is a hero for everything, but esp for driving 14 hrs yesterday while we filed stories from car
Checkpoints: If you want a taste of what it’s like driving at night in Ukraine now, get in your car, turn all your interior lights on, blast patriotic Ukrainian music written when they were fighting Soviets, and wait 90 min while someone flicks your phone airplane mode on and off
The mayor of Kyiv is saying on verified Telegram page that it is NOT true he said Kyiv was encircled.

t.me/vitaliy_klitsc…
Mayor of Kyiv: "today [Russia] created a clone of my Instagram... Russian internet media was sharing information quoting me that Kyiv is supposedly surrounded and evacuation of people is impossible... Don't believe the lies. Get your information from official sources!"
In reality, we won't know whether civilians can leave Kyiv until tomorrow morning, because there is a curfew that's been imposed over the weekend -- we should know in 12 hours because stories of people successfully leaving will begin to trickle out
Behind the scenes of Zelensky's private appeal for help that turned even the EU's skeptical leaders to ramp up sanctions

"Before disconnecting the video call, Zelensky told the gathering matter-of-factly that it might be the last time they saw him alive"
washingtonpost.com/business/2022/…

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More from @timkmak

Feb 28
Good morning from Ukraine to those waking up on the east coast. Kyiv is still in Ukrainian hands, defying western intelligence assessments that it would fall in a matter of a few short days. In the south, more land appears to be under Russian control.
Russian and Ukrainian delegations are meeting on the border with Belarus to try to end the fighting, and find some diplomatic way out of this conflict.  Hopes are not high for a breakthrough.
The Ukrainian government is seeking a ceasefire and withdrawal of Russian troops. The Russians fundamentally want a Ukrainian government more aligned with Moscow, and a pledge not to join NATO. They’re far apart.
Read 16 tweets
Feb 26
AP: Zelenskyy was urged to evacuate Kyiv at the behest of the U.S. government but turned down the offer, according to a senior American intelligence official with direct knowledge of the conversation.
The official quoted the president [Zelenskyy] as saying that “the fight is here” and that he needed anti-tank ammunition but “not a ride.”
Zelensky releases a video

“There’s a lot of fake information online that allegedly I am calling our army to surrender weapons and the evacuation is underway. Listen to me: I am here, we will not surrender any weapons, we will defend our country because our weapons is our truth”
Read 15 tweets
Feb 25
Morning from Ukraine. In a town square in central Ukraine military-aged males gather to enlist in the fight

Still, shock remains for those whose realities were shaken by the invasion which started just over a day ago
Was on Up First/Morning Edition to give an update on the situation: the Ukrainians are claiming some early positive signs such as the reclaiming of a strategic airport 15km west of Kyiv and the halting of a tank element north of Kyiv by blowing up a key bridge…
The defense minister of Ukraine is urging residents of a suburb north of Kyiv to prepare Molotov cocktails for the ongoing fighting
Read 15 tweets
Feb 24
Good morning from Kyiv. Explosions heard by NPR correspondents here and in Odesa and Kharkiv.

Wi-Fi and cell service as well as electricity seem to be holding up.
Someone approached us here and asked if we heard explosions. When we said yes, he appeared bewildered. “Here? In Kyiv?!”
NPR correspondent @langfittnpr hears explosions and jets above in Odessa, says traffic is building here at 6am and lines building at gas stations
Read 12 tweets
Feb 18
Biden says Russia is trying to provoke Ukraine in the Donbas, and pushing out disinformation

"It defies basic logic to believe the Ukrainians would choose this moment... to escalate"
Biden says what is happening in Ukraine is in alignment with the pretext arrangements that the U.S. has been warning about

Biden says they believe the Russians will target the city of Kyiv

"If Russia pursues these plans, it will be responsible for a ... war of choice."
Biden: "Russia can still choose diplomacy... it is not too late."

Notes that Russian and American diplomats are planning to meet late next week
Read 4 tweets
Feb 3
The NRA's revenue has HALVED since 2018, the high-water mark of the organization before it began its decline

A series of important stories from @StephenGutowski and The Reload this morning:

thereload.com/exclusive-nra-…
@StephenGutowski NRA also spending 20% of its expenses on legal fees, more than 10x what it spends on education/training/community engagement combined

One could argue that its morphed from a 2A org to one fighting desperately to keep Wayne LaPierre in power

thereload.com/exclusive-nra-…
@StephenGutowski Brian Mittendorf warns of an NRA death spiral:

"Drastic declines in spending on core operations create the potential for a revenue ‘death spiral’ in which cuts in core programs scare off members, which in turn necessitates further cuts... can be hard to reverse.”
Read 6 tweets

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