My show with @PeterMcCormack on the economics of war is out today
We recorded in early Feb, before most thought Putin would invade Ukraine, but the thesis remains the same
Borrowing for war, as America has done since Vietnam, is a threat to democracy
War finance in America is headed in an undemocratic direction
Decisions about how to pay for war have been taken out of the public's hands
No longer does the US fund war with the people's consent through taxation or liberty bonds
All conflict is now paid for with borrowing
One of the most attractive and important features of a democracy is that it's less likely to go to war than a dictatorship
But fiat currency and central banking is damaging the American democratic model, making it less connected to the people and less able to stop or shorten war
When Putin invaded Ukraine, he didn't need permission from his people
There are no checks and balances
He does what he wants, because he is a dictator
Americans are supposed to be different
They are supposed to have a say
But over the past few decades, they have not had such a say
Few know what wars we are in, and fewer know how we pay for them
This show focuses on the dangers and externalities of modern war finance, and how Zero Interest Rate Policy and Quantitative Easing factor into the US government's ability to keep a bloated warfare state going, ultimately at the expense of other more productive investments
We also cover a possible future where citizens can more effectively constrain their rulers, making events like the invasions of Ukraine or Iraq much more difficult
Stay tuned: I will unpack this thesis in full on Wednesday in my next long essay for @BitcoinMagazine
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Hello from one of the biggest Bitcoin mines in Norway! 🇳🇴 ✌️
It was a pleasure to visit KryptoVault's Hønesfoss site today to see the impact that CEO Kjetil Hove Pettersen and team are making by harnessing running water to help defend open-source money for people worldwide
One thing I learned from Kjetil is that in addition to helping to secure the global Bitcoin network--which tens of millions of people rely on everywhere from Cuba to Iran to Palestine--they are also assisting local communities in Norway, like our friend here, a local lumberjack
Norway's sustainable forestry industry (Norwegian forests grow by about 25 million cubic meters of timber per year) often dries lumber in the summer sun, taking 2-3 months.
But here, using excess heat from Bitcoin mining, wood takes as little as 4 days to dry
This @ecb paper on CBDCs reveals what kind of plans central bankers are toying with:
-Overcoming use of banknotes for savings
-Overcoming ZLB with negative interest rates on cash
-Easier ability to provide helicopter money
-Larger seignorage income to the state
-End to privacy
Full paper: "Tiered CBDC and the Financial System"
On Bitcoin's global impact, Jack says it's important for there to be a world currency where "decisions in Washington don't impact people in Nigeria"
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Saylor brings up the Blocksize Wars and says he didn't appreciate their significance when he first learned about Bitcoin but now realizes how critical they were.
Jack points out how remarkable the outcome was given that Satoshi didn't have to get involved.
Jack mentions that in Bitcoin, "nothing is hidden"
This is, IMO, one of the most important parts about Bitcoin.
Everything is open and knowable. There are no smoky back rooms.
1/ Democratic Peace Theory rests on the idea that democracies have “skin in the game” when it comes to war and are less likely to fight than autocracies unless for a narrowly-defined, popular, vital cause.
This book by @sekreps argues convincingly that this theory is broken 🧵
2/ History shows that over time representative governments—especially in this case the US—inevitably turn to financing war through *borrowing* instead of through taxes or war bonds, hiding the immediate costs of war from a public that is less and less interested in war fighting.
3/ America’s wars in Afghanistan and Iraq (and the ongoing Global War on Terror) were — unlike WWI or WW2 or even Vietnam — paid for *entirely* by borrowing.
Bush even cut taxes during the Iraq War.
So far Americans have paid ~ $1 trillion on interest for this borrowing spree.