Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
Feb 28, 2022 16 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Whoopsie

“Speaking to Kadyrov the Rosgvardia deputy describes how when he told his officers “many commanders listened to it with their eyes bulging, barely restrained their emotions”. He also warns many officers worry some of their soldiers will refuse orders in ukraine.”
Hence Western intel had such detailed insights into Russian invasion plans with Kadyrov's commanders updating Kadyrov about war preparations via voice notes.

Maybe that explains the Vindman Kadyrov video that seemed a bit weird given Chechen troops were busy invading Ukraine.
Can anyone translate this article? Seems important @BBCWorld @KyivIndependent

bbc.com/russian/featur…
H/T @CoppetainPU for this link to an English translation.

www-bbc-com.translate.goog/russian/featur…
That’s odd. My link doesn’t work even though I piggy backed off Peter’s.

Here’s his tweet. Use his link!
I shall provide screenshots as the translation seems to come and go.

It seems that the Chechen troops were kept in the dark about the invasion plans until very late in the day Image
Ha! Video address to troops:

“Taking this opportunity, I want to give advice to the current president Zelensky. Until he becomes the ex-president of Ukraine, so that he quickly calls our president, Supreme Commander Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin, and asks for an apology,"
I suspect Putin is in for long wait for a Selensky apology unless there is a gun to his head.

Exchanges recorded between “Martynov” and Kadyrov (Head of the Chechen State) Image
An example of the exchange here. “Everything will be fine” says Kadyrov with a yawn.

Martynov likely Colonel Danil Martynov, Deputy Head of the Chechen National Guard.

Both were already subject to US sanctions. Image
Voice samples have been compared and verified. Image
From these messages it seems likely that the preparations have, in fact, been going on for some time, confirming US intelligence. Image
Image
They suggest all actions by Chechen troops are 100% approved and supported by the leadership. Discusses which buildings they would enter and which to control.

They planned to take “clean” Ukraine SIM cards with them and “special satellite modems”. Image
It looks as if it was only a week before the invasion that plans were shared with Commanders…who showed visible signs of concern and feared there would be “refuseniks”

They knew it was wrong and went ahead. Image
The movement started. Image
I wonder what “construction” was undertaken?

On February 24th the Russian operation was launched.

Was it really only 4-5 days ago? Image

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More from @fascinatorfun

Jul 7
What is “Deliverism”?

It is the argument that simply “governing well using all levers available”, as Stoller put it in the first half of Biden’s presidency, does not necessarily translate into popular gratitude or political success.”
“They cite the Inflation Reduction Act, the president’s $500 billion green energy strategy, the American Rescue Plan Act, which helped to lift 2mill children out of poverty, & the US’s generally dynamic economy as achievements to which the public responded with a collective shrug
Politico described Stoller’s diagnosis as “good policies no one understands”. Obamacare had similar results.”

There has to be a continual storytelling which connects to people’s day to day realities.

Their ability to do the weekly shop without grinding anxiety.
Potholes!
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Jul 6
I’ve been thinking about the broad but shallow majority Labour has and what it means

1/. It is the result not just of a profound disgust at Tory political behaviour even from their own traditional voters but also of a highly intelligent and organised electoral strategy.
2/. It is pretty obvious that Lab and Lib Dem struck some sort of non aggression pact in a large number of seats to their mutual benefit. It took a lot of the poison out of tactical voting that we saw in 2017 and in 2019 in particular. So did the change in leadership.
As @Samfr pointed out : the seats where there was no such non-aggression pact and the opposition was split, this resulted in saving MPs such as Braverman & Mel Stride

In just 42 seats in England and Wales was the Tory vote bigger than the combined Lab/Lib one.
Read 22 tweets
May 27
That’s not the brilliant deal it sounds.

They don’t tax your state pension. But your state pension is added to any other income you have and that IS taxed…(basically treating your state pension as part of your normal personal allowance (PA). Not enough to meet the PA limit.
So the personal allowance is £12570.

7 out of 8 pensioners do not GET the full new state pension. Most are on the old state pension (or less) of c £8,800 pa.

So that arrives untaxed.
However that does accrue so that if you have any additional income once it reaches the £12,570 threshold (inc your state pension) THOSE income sources as taxed as normal…as they should be

Even on the NEW full state pension you are way off the PA still.
Read 12 tweets
Mar 18
Today installation is steaming ahead.

Alex the Project Manager is here, Andy the electrician that did the original scoping & Rob the lead electrician .

Three scaffolders from Wales and my house is quite awkward to access but they are doing a great job


Image
Image
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We’re just pausing over tea to discuss the location of the DC solar panel isolation switches as the loft is not a good location for me up a wobbly loft ladder and very awkward loft hatch

They are going in the spare bedroom cupboard so easy for me to get to
The team is absolutely lovely.

Tomorrow the roofing panel team will arrive: James and Rhys who have both been doing this for 4 years.

James is ex military

Rob and Andy (electricians and survey team)

Geoff (sales consultant) has been in solar for years.
Read 44 tweets
Feb 24
Just thinking about my young Ukrainian Refugee today.

Two years ago today she was awoken by her brother in law, a customs official, telling her to get out of Kyiv straight away. Forget her home and job there. The Russians were invading.

She left to go to her parents
So did her sister and her two young children. To a tiny village in the Poltava Region. All living together in their parents house.

What must it have been like for her? Realising that the war was not going to be over quickly and her lost home and lost job were now her reality
Meanwhile her cousins were fighting at the front. The loss of life and destruction of property all too real and the grim stories of torture, rape and deportation of children growing louder.

Suddenly having to take off to a foreign country she had never visited to survive
Read 27 tweets
Feb 19
Just watching #Breathtaking @ITV and that mixture of anguish, fear and grief just keeps coming back in waves.

The abuse of doctors, nurses and front line staff

The lying

The lying.

Oh God the lying.
The lying

All those PPE procurement cases were not just about cronyism and corruption.

It was about the health & protection of medical and front line staff. Life and death.
Not a drama.

Real people. Real sickness. Real deaths.

Real heartbreak

Real brain break. PTSD.

Real #LongCovid
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