Thread by @fascinatorfun

“The Russian failure is driven by the fact that they’re attempting to conduct a full-scale invasion without the mil operation that it would require, thinking they can avoid most of the fighting. This has led to not only unworkable force employment, but lack of employment.”

🧵⬇️

https://twitter.com/kofmanmichael/status/1498381975022940167

Important to remember that Russia has not yet deployed anywhere near its full military capacity either in troops or armoury.

Of course it is MUCH harder to”sell” this as a little military operation with happy clappy Ukrainians welcoming their saviours as the bodies, injuries and losses pile up and with many in their troops deployed reluctant to fight with their neighbours.

The more bombing & destruction and pain the clearer it becomes that Putin was deceiving Russian citizens.

And getting the stories out matter, including the fact that an investigation into war crimes dating back to 2014 to the present is starting

In that regard the Ukrainians are winning the information war hands down, to date.

But there are tough, tough times ahead as Russia escalates their attack.

Do read the whole thread. The issues of logistics (again).

Strategy.

But, as people flee their homes in their hundreds of thousands, blocks of flats shelled, what are the Russian people going to be thinking on a human level about the pain their Government is inflicting on their neighbours ..maybe family and friends.

They cannot hide this.

Then the sanctions really biting. Their security threatened.

If Putin threatens nuclear war will they not fear similar reprisals?

Their good standing in the world tanking into pariah status.

Surely they will both be saying “Why?” “Stop”?

Is the Kremlin stoppable?