‘Yes, He Would’: Fiona Hill on Putin and Nukes - POLITICO
This is so good (in a scary way)
“We are already, she said, in the middle of a third World War, whether we’ve fully grasped it or not.” politico.com/news/magazine/…
“Sadly, we are treading back through old historical patterns that we said that we would never permit to happen again,” Hill said
Those old historical patterns inc Western businesses who fail to see how they help build a tyrant’s war chest, admirers enamored of an autocrat’s “strength” & politicians’ tendency to point fingers inward for political gain instead of working together for their nation’s security.
She says it’s not too late to turn Putin back and it is a job for Ukraine, NATO, and Western Companies too.
And not being in the slightest complacent about the threats.
“There’s lots of danger ahead, she warned. Putin is increasingly operating emotionally and likely to use all the weapons at his disposal, including nuclear ones. It’s important not to have any illusions — but equally important not to lose hope.“
“Every time you think, ’No, he wouldn’t, would he?’
Well, yes, he would,” Hill said. “And he wants us to know that, of course.”
“It’s not that we should be intimidated and scared…. We have to prepare for those contingencies and figure out what is it that we’re going to do to head them off.”
She thinks Putin HAS changed.
Is more emotional.
“The pretext (for the invasion) is completely flimsy and almost nonsensical for anybody who’s not in the echo chamber or the bubble of propaganda in Russia itself.”
“ I mean, demanding to the Ukrainian military that they essentially overthrow their own government or lay down their arms and surrender because they are being commanded by a bunch of drug-addled Nazi fascists? There’s just no sense to that. It beggars the imagination.”
Dangerous
It seems that the prospect of Russia striking at all of Ukraine and Georgia was seen as a real risk many years ago.
Putin wishes to establish Russian dominance….Russian “Imperium”, the old Russian Empire, which stretches beyond the old Soviet Union.
She wonders if he has spent the Pandemic pouring over old maps because of the shape of his more recent statements and speeches.
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A Few Members of Russia's Parliament Speak Out Against War - The New York Times
They say they were told that troops were going in as peacekeepers in Luhansk and Donetsk …not that it would be a full scale invasion. That’s what they voted on.
Three members of Russia’s rubber-stamp Parliament have criticized their country’s war in Ukraine, a rare episode of dissent from within the Russian establishment.
“All three members belong to Russia’s Communist Party, which is nominally part of the opposition to the governing United Russia party but typically remains loyal to President Vladimir V. Putin on key issues.”
The Russian soldiers “believed they were the good guys, coming to liberate oppressed Ukrainians from their Nazi overlords. They believed the Kremlin, which said they'd be welcomed, thanked.
Instead, they are being berated as "оккупанты" - occupiers…by people who speak Russian…
“The past has invaded the present. Russia’s military aggression has burst over Ukraine like a storm cloud gathered from a different, darker time. It is raining terror and destruction on a country that has seen tank columns like the one Vladimir Putin has ordered to Kyiv before…”
“.. but not in the last seven decades.
The Kremlin claims to be landing surgical strikes. The reality for civilians on the ground is butchery. Until this happened, the western imagination struggled to process the idea that Putin would go through with it.”
“His cynical disregard for human life was never doubted, but his callousness was thought to include rational self-interest.”
“They provide extremely secure communications, developed over five decades, dovetailing with the many and varied operations of commercial banks in international transactions. Swift systems would also be a prime target in any cyberwarfare, though thankfully they are well defended”
“The reality, however, is that limiting access to Swift is less practically effective than most media coverage supposes. It is an important symbol of global repudiation of Russia’s exercise of military force, but not much more.”