Ben See Profile picture
Mar 1 9 tweets 3 min read
🧵icymi

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: any further delay in concerted global action will miss a brief and rapidly closing window to secure a liveable future

International Energy Agency: CO2 emissions are set to hit record levels in 2023 and there's no peak in sight
1. 'global emissions are set to increase almost 14 per cent over the current decade. That spells catastrophe'

Economic growth is a root problem, and yet the UN net zero 2050 plan is based on more growth. news.un.org/en/story/2022/…
2. Corporations and governments are setting up new fossil fuel production.

The US and Canada amongst others are the big oil and gas producers of the 2020s.

We can and must take action to protect everyone and all species. But we'll have to face reality.
cnbc.com/2021/07/20/co2…
3. 'we scientists decided to construct ever more elaborate fantasy worlds in which we would be safe. The price to pay for our cowardice: having to keep our mouths shut about the ever growing absurdity of the required planetary-scale carbon dioxide removal' theconversation.com/climate-scient…
4. 'global emissions must peak...within the next few years.'

But this only gives a slim, theoretical chance.

1.75°C or even 2°C may be beyond us no matter what according to IPCC scientists' recent work.

We must act.
We must face reality.

System change.theconversation.com/ipcc-report-gl…
5. Scientists expect growth will take us to 1.7-1.8C by the 2030s/40s or soon after.

New IPCC report: at 1.7-1.8C 'half the human population could be exposed to periods of life-threatening climatic conditions arising from heat and humidity'

System change.bbc.com/news/science-e…
6. What happens if emissions do plummet? Can we avoid an aerosol shock? Methane would have to be dealt with. Would that be enough?

We can take action to protect everybody & all species but we're not even seeing the necessary discussions in media.

Thread:
7. 'Growthist assumptions predominate in much of it. Critiques of growthism are represented, which is an important step, but the discussion lacks specificity and does not capture many of the key points that have been established in the literature.' Thread:
8. I personally suspect we've gone too far down the capitalism-colonialism-imperialism-extractivism-deforestation road to keep anything like today's industrial world going and expect decent survival for species. We need equity. Slow it down. Simplify. Organise profound change.

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More from @ClimateBen

Mar 2
BREAKING: UN Secretary General says many of Earth's ecosystems "are at the point of no return NOW" 🧵
1. Economic growth is taking us to 1.6-2.4°C by 2050.

"places where people live and work may cease to exist.. ecosystems and species that we've all grown up with and that are central to our cultures and inform our languages may disappear"

See video clip:bbc.com/news/science-e…
2. Ecosystem collapse is caused by so many elements of today's destructive growth economy. It's not just abrupt climate change.

We can act to protect species and everybody, but it will take profound system change.

We must focus on this.

Media?

Silent.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 11
Do climate and energy experts often ignore the fact we're in a mass extinction that's now accelerating during 21st century capitalism because it disrupts their visions of 'solutions'?

THREAD. 🧵
1. We're in a mass extinction due to habitat destruction, pollution, and many other factors including abrupt climate change: 20% (30-50%?) of species face extinction by 2050, and 75% of mammals as early as 2300.

We don't know which species can survive 1.75°C-2.75°C by the 2040s.
2. It seems many climate and energy experts say climate change won't lead to human extinction within decades or centuries, without acknowledging that extinction threats to species come from a range of activities likely to be maintained in a 'green' growth, 'clean' energy economy.
Read 14 tweets
Feb 11
The global economy threatens 20%-50% of species with extinction by 2050.

Global use of materials is outpacing population growth:

1972: 29 billion tonnes
2000: 55 billion tonnes
2019: 100 billion tonnes
2050: 184 billion tonnes

It's the *system* that's killing everything.🧵
1.'Material extraction & use are climbing year on year
In only 50 years, global use of materials has nearly quadrupled—outpacing population growth. In 1972, as the Club of Rome’s report Limits to Growth was published, the world consumed 28.6 billion tonnes'
2. Abrupt climate change isn't the only reason we may consider ourselves in a terrible predicament. Extinction is escalating due to deforestation, logging, road-building, pollution..

Only system change action may limit the damage and/or protect us. Thread:
Read 5 tweets
Feb 10
Today's economic system is taking us to 1.6°C-2°C by the 2030s with emissions now rising towards epic new extreme record highs compounding the extinction-ecosystem collapse crisis.

These tenths of a degree mean mass death, a truth which must be faced if we want effective action.
It's disheartening we're not facing the fact that 1.75°C-2.5°C, likely by the end of the 2040s, would mean billions of peoples' lives either turned upside down or taken from them without profound system change.

Mass animal deaths are on the rise.

Thread:
The impacts at 1.75C-3C would be shattering for species and billions of people.

IPCC aurhors have made clear there are definitely impacts we can't cope with from 2C.

1.25C is already putting enormous strain on our food systems. 1.75C would be awful.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 8
According to scientists, economic growth cannot prevent us exceeding somewhere between 1.6°C and 2.4°C of global warming by the 2040s, when a staggering 20% of species face extinction.

When you listen to the scientists, you realise economic system change is the only way. 🧵
1.

'The most optimistic scenario has global temperature nudging past 1.5°C by mid-century but then dropping back by late century. Such a relatively short excursion above 1.5°C might not trigger the worst outcomes, according to the panel.'

'might not'..

yaleclimateconnections.org/2021/08/key-ta…
2.

Of course, a lot of climate scientists still cling to the "don't reduce emissions so fast that it disrupts the economy" idea.

But plenty recognise that 10%-30% of species threatened within 25 years by the growth economy signals a need for change.

Read 5 tweets
Feb 5
US sanctions and extreme drought exacerbated by abrupt climate change are threatening 23 million people facing acute food insecurity in Afghanistan. 🧵
1.

'There are 22.8 million Afghans facing acute food insecurity. By March, 8.7 million of those are expected to slide into critical levels of food insecurity'. news.un.org/en/story/2022/…
2.

'22.8 million people will face "high levels of acute food insecurity." This is 55 percent of Afghanistan's population, the highest ever recorded in the country. An estimated one million children are suffering from "severe acute malnutrition" this year.'commondreams.org/views/2022/02/…
Read 4 tweets

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