Mina Al-Lami Profile picture
Mar 3, 2022 19 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Thread: Key jihadist responses to Russia’s war on Ukraine 👇
1) Jubliation. Overall, jihadists welcome the war. They see it as a distraction for their "Crusader" enemies -Russia & West – away from jihadist affairs. Therefore, they are hopeful it turns into a protracted war that weakens all those involved and eases prssure on jihadists
2) Just revenge against Russia. Jihadists welcome the war as retribution against Russia primarily for its involvement in Syria, which they hope the war in Ukraine will weaken
3) Division. Jihadists divided over whether it’s religiously permissible to support Ukraine. Pragmatic jihadists, such as members & supporters of Syria-based HTS, have explicitly or implicitly expressed solidarity with Ukraine and cheered “losses” inflicted on Russian forces
Cont. Pragmatists say it’s religiously permissible to express or offer support to any oppressed person or people. Hardliners says such a stance is impermissible given Ukraine is a Christian country and it participated in the US-led invasion of Iraq in 2003
Cont. Hardliners say Muslims must not volunteer to join the fight alongside Ukraine, unless to defend Muslims in Ukraine. They also argue this is a fight amongst “Crusaders” that Muslims have no interest in and therefore must not die for
4) Gloating. A few hardliners have been gloating at the fate of Ukrainians, saying tables have turned and now “Crusaders” are experiencing the fear and death that Muslims experienced in Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan and other conflicts
5. Chechen fighters: Jihadists have overall strongly condemned the participation of some Chechen units in the fight alongside Russia. Hardliners, rather than pragmatists, also stress that Muslims must not fight alongise Ukraine either
6. West’s "double standards"– foreign fighters. Jihadists strongly condemned "double standards" of the West, in ref to expressions of support by some Western politicians (eg Foreign Secretary Lizz Truss) for foreign nationals to fight for Ukraine
Cont. Jihadists argue that by contrast, Muslim foreign fighters would be labelled “terrorists” rather than freedom fighters. They mostly refer to the example of foreign nationals who went to Syria to fight the government of Bashar al-Asad
Cont. Jihadists conviently faile to mention that many of the foreign fighters who went to Syria ended up joining global jihadist groups whose agendas exptended beyond "librating" Syria
Cont. Some pointed to a Sun article that described a Ukrainian soldier who reportedly blew himself up to slow down Russian advance, as a “hero”: thesun.co.uk/news/17771153/…
7. West’s "double standards"- refugees. Jihadists have accused the West of racism, arguing that Ukrainian refugees are being welcomed with open arms in Western countries while, they add, Muslim refugees are largely unwanted or viewed with suspicion
Cont. They cite some European media outlets and reporters as allegedly using implcitly racist words to highlight the difference between Ukrianian and non-European refugees
Cont. The last two points on the West’s “double standards” and “racism” – with regard to foreign fighters and refugees – were also more widely voiced in social and mainstream media in some Muslim-majority countries
Sorry about the typos here. Don’t know what happened! 😓
#ISIS has now commented on the Russia-Ukraine war. Warns Muslims against taking part alongside any camp, saying this is a "Crusader-Crusader war" that Muslims mustn't get invovled in. Prays it'll be a protracted war leading to bigger "Crusader" conflicts that'll break its enemies
ISIS condemns Chechens who took part in the conflict alongside Russia and also warns against Muslim scholars or influencers who call on Muslims to support or fight for Ukraine. The comments came in the editorial of the group's weekly paper al-Naba
Published with full details and insight: monitoring.bbc.co.uk/product/c203ai…

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More from @Minalami

Jul 12
1/ Interesting editorial in IS’s weekly paper al-Naba. To mark the start of new Hijri/Islamic year 1446 (started on 7 Jul), IS focuses on the importance of the purity of “intentions” and “sincerity” in actions, away from vanity and efforts to gain recognition and publicity. The group uses this segue into two key messages:
2/ The first says that although it’s important to avoid vanity in jihadist action (i.e. done for credit or fame), it is nevertheless important to document actions through wills and messages (e.g. pledge to IS or a message or SM post about motive) in certain circumstances so the purpose of the action is clear and it can inspire others. Last week the editorial praised lone actors inspired by IS who had left behind pledges to the group
3/ The second message appeared to be a dig at/warning to IS supporters, who in recent months have been at each other’s throats over a number of issues. The new editorial urges them to be sincere in their efforts, avoid arrogance and criticises actions (online support, productions, campaigns) done mainly for the sake of gaining “likes and viewings”
Read 4 tweets
Jun 29
🧵Today, 29 Jun, marks the 10th anniversary of IS’s “caliphate” declaration. The group’s leadership celebrated the date in Mar (that’s where it fell in Hijri calendar), boasting that despite past setbacks, today IS was “growing stronger and expanding”, and called for recruits to its branches. In this thread I’ll summarise key takeaways from our in-depth analysis of IS activity in the first half of 2024:
1/ There was a notable increase in IS attacks in the first half of 2024, which included deadly attacks in Iran (3 Jan), Russia (22 Mar) and Turkey (28 Jan). There was also a surge in IS activity in Syria, Mozambique and DR Congo. This followed a year (2023) full of setbacks for IS as its attack figures plummeted, showing IS’s ability to adapt and endure (graph below shows quarterly figures, taken from IS's own claims of activity)Image
2/ In Syria this year, IS has claimed numerous deadly attacks on government forces, esp in the desert-like area known as the Badia. The recurrent ambushes prompted the Syrian gov, with the help of Russian air force, to launch a military campaign against IS in the desert this month. Last year IS was more secretive about its activity in Syria, failing to claim or belatedly claiming some attacks. We’ve noticed this behaviour creep back in the past month, as IS has been tight-lipped about some attacks it’s been widely blamed for
Read 22 tweets
Mar 28
🧵Sharing key points as I listen to IS leadership msg, with little or no insight at this point:
1/ marks 10th anniversary of its "caliphate" declaration (Ramadan of 2014, which that year fell on 29 Jun). Says despite IS was left for dead in Iraq & Syria (2017, 2019), it expanded to Africa & other places - "growing stronger & expanding" still
2/ urges IS members/militants to stay united and obey their leadership and stay true to their "bay'ah" pledge, and not be misled by lies or distortions (hint of possible divisions or disillusionment among some?)
Read 24 tweets
Mar 23
1/ Important to note that contrary to some reports by media outlets saying that IS’s Afghanistan-focused "Khorasan Province" branch (ISKP or ISIS-K) claimed responsibility for the Moscow attack, IS has NOT claimed the attack in the name of that particular branch, at least not yet
2/ The only claim that has come out so far is a brief one by IS’s official news outlet Amaq. In that claim, similar to most of Amaq’s style of reporting, no IS branch or regional affiliates were mentioned. Amaq simply attributed the attack to “soldiers of the Islamic State” Image
I normally don't like to share pics of IS's statements, but felt it's important to do so (above) to clarify that no branch was mentioned in that claim
Read 6 tweets
Jun 27, 2023
The new video from #ISIS's Syria branch is very disturbing in terms of the violence, showing dozens of executions of individuals in Syria who allegedly worked for government or Kurdish-led forces (SDF) across the country /1
The video appeared to have two key purposes: to deter anyone from working against IS in Syria, and to prove that the group continues to have capability and reach in the country, despite losing territory and leadership figures /2
In terms of production quality, the video is reminiscent of IS's pre-caliphate products, with limited production sophistication. Even the use of the infamous IS nashid Salil al-Sawarim harks back to the early days of IS propaganda and scenes of drive-by shootings /3
Read 4 tweets
Dec 26, 2022
Thread: Jihadists and Islamists have been divided over the Taliban’s banning female university education, although the majority have politely criticised the move, deeming it a violation of a Sharia /1
Some jihadists wondered if the ban reflected internal Taliban rivalry, with hardliners in Taliban ranks "winning" on the subject of female education /2
Those who tried to justify the Taliban move were careful to point out that the ban is "temporary", until certain Sharia conditions involving female education are met. They stressed the ban was an internal matter for the Afghan rulers that outsiders should not interfere in /3
Read 10 tweets

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