Some numbers that shocked me as I researched my new essay on war finance and monetary policy:

$1 trillion: amount Americans have paid on *interest alone* on money borrowed to fight the post-9/11 wars

$6.5T: amount projected owed by 2050

$6T: projected 2022 US federal budget
30: percent of WWI spending financed by taxes

50: percent of WWII spending financed by taxes

100: percent of Korean War spending financed by taxes

0: percent of Iraq and Afghanistan war spending financed by taxes
20%: average decrease in public popularity in a war fought with higher taxes

0: number of new war taxes in the US since 1968

8: number of years the American war called "Operation Inherent Resolve" has been active in the Middle East, costing tens of billions
1: time that war finance was discussed in 20 congressional fiscal hearings between 2001 and 2017 regarding America's conflicts abroad

70: percent of the time war finance was discussed in such hearings during the Vietnam era

$2.02T: amount spent as of 2020 on the post-9/11 wars
90: percent of Iraq and Afghanistan spending paid for by emergency bills exempt from spending caps and without requirements to offset cuts elsewhere in the budget

35 and 32: percentages of Korea and Vietnam War spending paid for in the same way
$8.9 trillion: amount of US debt and mortgage-backed securities the Federal Reserve has purchased since 2008

$4.7 million: amount of assets the Fed has purchased *per minute* since March 2020
9.85%: Federal Funds rate in 1989

0.08%: Federal Funds rate today

8.6%: Yield on a 2-year treasury in 1989

1.5%: Yield on a 2-year treasury today
$300 billion: amount that the US government would need to pay in additional interest for each 1% hike in rates

Unknown: yield on a 2-year Treasury if the Federal Reserve had bought $0, and not nearly $9 trillion, of securities since 2008
23: percent of American household wealth the 1% held in 1990

32: percent of American household wealth the 1% holds today
88.9: percent of stocks and mutual funds owned by the wealthiest 10% of Americans

40: percent of S&P total return since 2011 resulting from stock buybacks
130%: America's debt-to-GDP ratio today

50: number of governments that have defaulted out of a total of 51 whose debt has broken above 130% of GDP since 1800
60: approximate percentage of US debt owned by foreigners before the Great Financial Crisis

40: approximate percentage of US debt owned by foreigners today
0: number of times the US government's 2011 final report on the Great Financial Crisis mentions the words Iraq or Afghanistan

0: number of times the Modern Monetary Theory manifesto "The Deficit Myth" mentions the words Iraq or Afghanistan
250: years ago that Adam Smith said borrowing for war was a bad idea

2,000: years ago that Cicero said "nervi belli pecunia infinita": the sinews of war are infinite money
Here's my full essay, "The Invisible Cost of War in the Age of Quantitative Easing"

Join me and special guests on a @BitcoinMagazine spaces to discuss these topics Monday March 7 at 4pm ET!

bitcoinmagazine.com/culture/how-th…

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More from @gladstein

Mar 2
1/ My new essay "The Invisible Cost of War in the Age of Quantitative Easing" is live.

Putin was able to invade Ukraine because there are no checks on his tyrannical power.

Democracies in theory should be more constrained in warmaking.

But are they? 🧵

bitcoinmagazine.com/culture/how-th…
2/ One of the greatest argued strengths of democracy is Democratic Peace Theory

DPT observes that democracies are less likely to fight, and especially less likely to fight each other.

Democratize the world, get world peace.

But this story has one big flaw: fiat central banking
3/ Post-1971 America in the role of the world's leading democracy and guarantor of the international system has transformed how it finances war.

In the first half of the 20th century, wars were fought with taxes and "liberty bonds"

WWII was 50% financed by taxes, Korea 100%
Read 27 tweets
Feb 28
My show with @PeterMcCormack on the economics of war is out today

We recorded in early Feb, before most thought Putin would invade Ukraine, but the thesis remains the same

Borrowing for war, as America has done since Vietnam, is a threat to democracy

War finance in America is headed in an undemocratic direction

Decisions about how to pay for war have been taken out of the public's hands

No longer does the US fund war with the people's consent through taxation or liberty bonds

All conflict is now paid for with borrowing
One of the most attractive and important features of a democracy is that it's less likely to go to war than a dictatorship

But fiat currency and central banking is damaging the American democratic model, making it less connected to the people and less able to stop or shorten war
Read 7 tweets
Feb 25
Thread with some recommended organizations to support in Ukraine 🇺🇦 🧵

1) The “Return Alive Foundation,” an NGO obtaining life-saving equipment for Ukrainian soldiers:

savelife.in.ua/en/donate/

(Accepts BTC)
2) The @KyivIndependent, producing some of the best independent media in the region, reporting on the ground from the war

kyivindependent.com
3) The Hospital Medical Battalion, helping healthcare workers in hot conflict zones.

This is an NGO supporting crews of volunteer paramedics on the front lines:

facebook.com/hospitallers/p…
Read 8 tweets
Feb 14
Hello from one of the biggest Bitcoin mines in Norway! 🇳🇴 ✌️

It was a pleasure to visit KryptoVault's Hønesfoss site today to see the impact that CEO Kjetil Hove Pettersen and team are making by harnessing running water to help defend open-source money for people worldwide
One thing I learned from Kjetil is that in addition to helping to secure the global Bitcoin network--which tens of millions of people rely on everywhere from Cuba to Iran to Palestine--they are also assisting local communities in Norway, like our friend here, a local lumberjack
Norway's sustainable forestry industry (Norwegian forests grow by about 25 million cubic meters of timber per year) often dries lumber in the summer sun, taking 2-3 months.

But here, using excess heat from Bitcoin mining, wood takes as little as 4 days to dry
Read 10 tweets
Feb 12
This @ecb paper on CBDCs reveals what kind of plans central bankers are toying with:

-Overcoming use of banknotes for savings
-Overcoming ZLB with negative interest rates on cash
-Easier ability to provide helicopter money
-Larger seignorage income to the state
-End to privacy
Full paper: "Tiered CBDC and the Financial System"

(H/T: @HaggsBoson)

ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps…
I would point out that these “benefits” are mainly monetary, for the state. Ending privacy is nice for them but they have bigger aims

Satoshi knew
Read 4 tweets
Feb 1
Some thoughts on the @saylor / @jack fireside:

On Bitcoin's global impact, Jack says it's important for there to be a world currency where "decisions in Washington don't impact people in Nigeria"

Saylor brings up the Blocksize Wars and says he didn't appreciate their significance when he first learned about Bitcoin but now realizes how critical they were.

Jack points out how remarkable the outcome was given that Satoshi didn't have to get involved.
Jack mentions that in Bitcoin, "nothing is hidden"

This is, IMO, one of the most important parts about Bitcoin.

Everything is open and knowable. There are no smoky back rooms.
Read 20 tweets

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