1. Banning the import of a fungible commodity like oil is difficult and not likely to have any appreciable impact on Russian output. If we are going to destroy Russia's oil production the way is to strictly ban energy equipment or technology going to Russia via export controls.
2. But NB lowering global supply will increase prices. It's simple economics. Our focus for short-term relief in oil prices should be directed to the conduct of the OPEC cartel. Make the members pay a price that could include US. ban on their elites.
3. Focus on Russia may be politically satisfying but is not likely to stop Russia from profiting and will give us a false sense of having addressed the issue. If we're going to destroy the Russian economy, impairing its oil and gas output is the way. But we will also harm
4. our allies who rely on these commodities and by depressing global output harm the American consumer who will pay the costs of this misguided policy. @WhiteHouse @WHNSC @SecBlinken @CommerceGov @ENERGY @SpeakerPelosi @SenSchumer @kevinomccarthy @LeaderMcConnell

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Mar 10
1. The Russian's have been engaging in bombing hospitals in Syria for about six or seven years. What they do in Ukraine is shocking because they are doing to white Europeans. But that's the Slavic Nazi's entire point.

#Slovyansk. I covered that bizarre part of the
2. first Russo-Ukrainian war. Putin had the same Schick but was more open about it being a Slavs vs Rus battle. I recall Slovyansk was a site of some ancient ethnic slaughter and Putin tried his own Eastern European #Charlottesville with guns but the game didn't really catch on
3. and his army receded into Donbass, an assortment of criminals and misfits. Finally, Russia intervened and still holds the ground. This time Putin didn't try his Savs vs Rus. He just said it was Nazis and thought that would be enough when, even last time, with a much more
Read 5 tweets
Mar 8
1. Russia is engaged in using human shields in Mariupol and other places. They know that once the civilians are gone the artillery can pound them into oblivion. So like ISIS Russians hold hostages. We need to treat Russian soldiers like ISIS. This time hold the war crimes trials
2. not just keep them in camps forever like the international coalition forces in Syria. Russians who are less-culpable should serve time and be released. Officers who ordered war crimes should be tried and if convicted face the appropriate sentences for capital crimes.
3. Russian diplomats and other officials who were party to these crimes should be charged and face the same fate as they faced at Nuremberg. No immunity for crimes against humanity. We need to make clear that there is never return to normal unless Russia withdraws immediately.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 8
1. I don't know if they ever prosecute people for it, but I think US law forbids joining a foreign military. See 18 U.S. Code § 959 - Enlistment in foreign service. law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18…
From what I'm seeing a lot of Americans may be headed to Ukraine to defend it.
2. The reason for this post has to do with the ability of US prosecutors to charge Russian government officials and Russian military service members with war crimes under US law because under US law, the maximum penalty for war crimes involving death is death.
3. So as the EU and the ICC are looking at Russian war crimes, I don't think they have the authority to impose a death penalty, but we do. But it has to be a US National. Basically that's any US citizen or green card holder. Others possibly but those two groups for sure.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 7
1. Looking at Putin's apparent declining physical appearance made me think of the film "Apocalypse Now" and how to end Putin's reign of terror. The film was reported at the time to have been loosely based on "Heart of Darkness," a 1899 novella by Joseph Conrad,
2. about a ferry captain in the Congo. It was based on Conrad's life. He had become the master of a Congo ferry when the captain became ill. His novella was centered around the character of Kurtz, who was caught up in the world of what was described as
3. savagery in the heart of Africa. But in the film, the character of Colonel Kurtz took savagery to a new level. In the book, Kurtz dies of natural causes. In the film Coppola chose to delve into another obscure 19the century literary work, the Golden Bough.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 5
1. Putin has shown us how he likes to kill. He uses poison. I've said for days he's going to poison Europe with nuclear contamination and claim that's he's a genius because we let him do it knowing full well his past modus operandi.
2. Allowing him to hold Ukrainian power plants is like giving Jack the Ripper a set of surgical scalpels. We are dealing with a dying psychopath who has been a professional killer his entire adult life. How do you think this ends? I think he burns the entire planet down.
3. The survival of the planet is in the hands of the Russian strategic fleet and strategic rocket forces who may not want to live in the dying planet that the killer wants as his great masterpiece of death. Getting the facts of Putin's declining mental state to the Russian
Read 4 tweets
Mar 4
1. In his video meeting today Putin warned the West not to impose more sanctions. He looks pretty rung-out. Image
2. Again, he has to hold his right hand that I think is evidencing tremors. IMO likely Parkinson's. Image
3. I'm not sure, but it looks somewhat discolored. Image
Read 4 tweets

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