This is a Ukrainian talking about not believing Ukraine would be invaded by Putin again
Putin's intentional nerve gas poisoning of Sergei & Yulia Skripal plus Charlie Rowley & Dawn Sturgess as innocent bystanders inside nuclear armed Great Britain convinced me it was certain. 1/
This is a useful video to watch for several reasons. A Ukrainian missile comes from the right (Javelin? NLAW?) & kills a Russian tank with a top attack setting off its ammo.
No one got out of that tank.
The key thing here is that you are seeing this drone video at all. 1/
Alright Ladies & Gentlemen, we are going to have a round of "Mud, Blood & Truck Medical Supply Chains" as we look at the casualty implications of the break down of Russian Truck Logistics in Ukraine. 🧵
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First, I'm going to pull some modern warfare casualty ratios from the book UNDERSTANDING WAR.
20 out of 100 troops hit in combat are killed IMMEDIATELY
Modern late 20th-early 21st century war w/tanks artillery and planes has a death to casualty ratio of 1-to-4.
This requires modern trauma care, which is "non-trivial." It requires a supply chain with fresh whole blood & hemostatic dressings. sciencedirect.com/topics/nursing… 3/
Alrighty folks, it is time for another trip in the realm of "Mud and Truck Maintenance."
This thread 🧵 is going to excerpt from the single most important article on Russian Army Logistics in the latest invasion of Ukraine by ALEX VERSHININ.
"It is possible to calculate how far trucks can operate using simple beer math. Assuming the existing road network can support 45 mph speed...
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...a single truck can make three trips a day at up to a 45-mile range: One hours to load, one hour to drive to the supported unit, one hours to unload, and another hour to return to base. Repeating this cycle three times equals 12 hours total.
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I've done three posts on Ukraine's Maidan Color revolution & aftermath, in this one I get into how Ukrainians are wired in dealing with dishonorable enemies.
Alright, it is time to take off my "Mud & Truck Maintenance" ball cap & put on my "Old Crow" Bennie with rotating radar aerial and evaluate for you this Ukrainian missile engagement of a Russian Air Force Hind Helicopter. 1/
Second, the Ukrainian shoulder fired surface to air missile operator had balls of steel.
That was a classic "Down the Throat" missile/torpedo engagement where the Ukrainian waited until the Hind was to close & committed to hit a flare launch button.