Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 5 13 tweets 5 min read
Alright, it is time to take off my "Mud & Truck Maintenance" ball cap & put on my "Old Crow" Bennie with rotating radar aerial and evaluate for you this Ukrainian missile engagement of a Russian Air Force Hind Helicopter.
1/
First, that video footage was taken from a Ukrainian commercial multi-copter drone.

So much for Russian drone jamming electronic warfare.

If it is not here. There isn't much Russian EW available in Ukraine, period.

bestreviews.com/electronics/dr…
2/
Second, the Ukrainian shoulder fired surface to air missile operator had balls of steel.

That was a classic "Down the Throat" missile/torpedo engagement where the Ukrainian waited until the Hind was to close & committed to hit a flare launch button.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Down_the_…
3/
By "Down the Throat Shot" I mean the Ukrainian SAM operator did what this U-Boat was trying to do to Tom Hank's DD in the movie Greyhound during the in the finale scene (w/o the PBY saving the day).

4/
3rd, back to the Hind, what you saw in that engagement was more of Putin's Potemkin village military.

There were no IR countermeasure flares. Either the gunship lacked them, or more critically it lacked an automatic missile warning system to trigger the flares.

5/
The helicopter assault on the Antonov plant airfield saw every chopper throwing a huge number of flares after missile launches knocked down some of the formation.

So it looks like even top end Russian VDV helicopters lack missile warning gear.
6/
And by automatic missile warning systems (MWS), I am referring to BAE electronic warfare kit like this at the link.

7/
baesystems.com/en-us/article/…
4th, the Hind pilot was flying stupid, aka flareless, fast, low and alone near unsuppressed Ukrainian positions.

He should have called in artillery on suspected missile positions before his run.

See the US Army AH-64 pilot talk here:
8/
Video clips like that Hind falling to a missile and this Russian tank getting blown up by a Ukrainian missile...

9/
...are making all the green eyeshade defense policy crowd get all hot an bothered that missiles are the answer to everything on a "Cost-benefit basis."

First, cheap missiles are not "cheap."

$100K to $250K a round on a cheap platform versus a $4 million tank looks "cheap."

10/
Except the expensive part isn't the vehicle & missile, its the soldiers.

There are a lot more machine guns, autocannons and artillery on a battlefield that can kill a light missile truck that an Abrams tank laughs at.
11/
What we are seeing in Ukraine right now is 2nd rate equipment with a 2nd rate army versus a bigger army with 2nd rate equipment and 3rd rate people hollowed out by Russian kleptocratic corruption.

No conclusion that don't take those facts into account are valid.

12/End.
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More from @TrentTelenko

Mar 7
This is going to be a short thread on Ukraine's culture in war and it's vendetta with the Russian Army’s 247th Guards Air Assault Regiment.🧵
1/
I've done three posts on Ukraine's Maidan Color revolution & aftermath, in this one I get into how Ukrainians are wired in dealing with dishonorable enemies.

2/
Ukraine’s Viking Revival
January 29, 2015 by Trent Telenko
chicagoboyz.net/archives/47214… Clockwise from top --  A mo...
From the link:

"Ukraine is returning to its cultural roots from the Kievan Rus/Viking period, the Cossack period being an extension of that. Community is everything.

These people are at heart Viking berserkers – and we have seen it over and over again on the battlefield
3/ An 1869 drawing representin...
Read 9 tweets
Mar 5
A quick "Mud & Truck Maintenance" infrastructure observation here.

I want people to look closely at these photos _NOT_ at the destroyed tank, but the road under it.

That road will fall apart under the weight of heavily loaded supply trucks after that tank is removed.
1/
There have been hundreds of such explosively destroyed & burned out fighting vehicles on the roads to the Ukrainian cities Russia wants to conquer.

As Ukrainian Territorials destroy more of the 'Deadline Daveski" Russian AFV's during "Road Burning Duty" sweeps.
2/
More and more road bed is going to be structurally destroyed by intense, hours long, heat of ammunition cook off.

This is the attrition of war hitting Ukrainian roads that the road bound due to the Raputisa & bad tire maintenance Russian trucks have to use.
3/
Read 9 tweets
Mar 4
Lady's and Gentlemen, boys & girls, it is time saddle up for another installment of the "Mud and Truck Maintenance in Ukraine" feed.

And this one will be a doozy, because we are talking about Russian truck refueling in the 64km column north of Kyiv. 🧵

1/
I am going to expand on this earlier tweet on the satellite photo montage.

The Rasputitsa, bad tire maintenance, vehicle overcrowding, and lack of fuel have isolated most of this Russian Army column from its rear.

2/
No matter what kind of fuel conservation techniques they engaged in. The 1st 17km or so of that 64 km Russian Army column is out of fuel.

They planned a 3-day operation which is in its 8th day.

And given the temperatures and radio use, those vehicles have dead batteries.
3/
Read 17 tweets
Mar 3
This thread is going to discuss what the loss by capture of Russian Army Pantsyr S1/S2 / SA-22 (pictured below), 2S6 Tunguska / SA-19, Osa AKM / SA-8B, Tor M2 / SA-15, Strela 10 / SA-13 means for the Russian invasion of Ukraine going forward. Its bad🧵
1/
...for the Russians and particularly the Russian Air Force.

BTW, that list of captured Russian Army short range air defense (SHORAD) gear comes from this link to all the documented equipment losses in the war to date.
2/
oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack…
This is a Russian Army TOR M2 surface-to-air missile complex that was captured intact by Ukrainian farmers.

You can be certain that the Ukrainian SF have showed up with technical experts to rape it's technical information for the UAF.

3/
Read 13 tweets
Mar 2
This is a thread that will explain the implied poor Russian Army truck maintenance practices based on this photo of a Pantsir-S1 wheeled gun-missile system's right rear pair of tires below & the operational implications during the Ukrainian mud season.🧵

1/ Image
For the sin of being the new guy, I was the DCMA quality auditor in charge of the US Army's FMTV "vehicle exercise program" at the contractor manufacturing them from the Mid-1990's to the mid-2000's Then we got more new guys.

Short form: Military trucks need to be...

2/ Image
...turned over and moved once a month for preventative maintenance reasons.

In particular you want to exercise the central tire air inflation system (CTIS) to see if lines have leaks or had insect/vermin nests blocking the system.

CTIS Controller & CTIS diagram👇👇

3/ ImageImage
Read 11 tweets
Feb 28
This Jan 2022 post makes clear the unreality of the Biden Adm. had in trying to get Putin on-side versus China was bloody obvious to the Non-Expert.

All you had to do was follow Phillip Karber's lectures on the Donbas war to see Putin was an irredentist Russian nationalist
1/
...in exactly the same way that Adolph Hitler was an irredentist German Nationalist.

Right down to Putin playing "Pan-slavism" in Ukraine exactly the way Hitler did the "German Volk" in Czechoslovakia.

The difference being the Ukrainians people fought tooth and nail...
2/
...despite their government, while Czechoslovakian elites & people did not.

What really gauls me is the fact that German SPD and American Democratic legislators bought this Russian irredentist bulls--t and took Russian money.

I've ranted enough about the SPD & Gazprom.
3/
Read 8 tweets

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