Steve Burns Profile picture
Mar 12 12 tweets 2 min read
Ten key lessons from my book “The Ultimate Guide to Swing Trading”

A thread 🧵👇
“Over the long-term, holding overnight has been where the bulk of returns have historically come from in the stock market versus open to close movement.”

Overnight risk is rewarded over the long-term.
“Swing traders should focus backtesting on shorter-term moving moving averages combinations like the 5-day EMA, 10-day EMA, 20-day EMA, and 30-day EMA crossovers to capture moves in price.”
“The most important thing that a swing trader can do to be profitable is backtest their potential signals for a good risk/reward ratio before trading. It is also crucial to manage trades in real-time by minimizing losing trades and maximize winning trades.”
“The core of profitable swing trading is creating a positive expectancy trading system through risk/reward ratios. You must expect to make more than you lose after every series of ten to twenty swing trades.”
“The goal is to catch a profitable swing in price action, not be picky about how it happens.”
“Fundamentals can tell you what to trade, and technicals can tell you when to trade them.”
My rules of 20 for stocks:

EPS greater than +20% for the previous 4 quarters

Annual earnings per share over +20% for 5 years.

Price 20% from highs

+20 million share float

Institutions own +20%

ROE over +20% as it shows the company has an excellent return on capital
“The key to swing trading is finding the stocks with the best tradable swings for your signals and trading style.”
“If you like to enter breakouts from trading ranges, you need stocks that have strong directional momentum. If you prefer to buy support and sell resistance, you need stocks that tend to trade inside a defined price range and have breakouts that lead to new price ranges.”
“In a bull market, a swing trader should stay focused on buying dips back to support and buying initial resistance breakouts as both price action strategies can capture swings higher in price.”
“Trade the price action of the market you are in, not your opinion about what it should be.”

Book link: amzn.to/37d34oH

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More from @SJosephBurns

Mar 11
Ten key lessons from my book:

Moving Averages 101: Second Edition: Incredible Signals That Will Make You Money

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“The 10-day EMA is a good moving average to keep a trader on the right side of a major market trend, and this was a favorite strategy of legendary day trader, Marty Schwartz. It’s typically the first line to be lost before a trend reverses in the opposite direction.”
Read 12 tweets
Mar 10
10 lessons from the book:

Atomic Habits: An Easy & Proven Way to Build Good Habits & Break Bad Ones by James Clear:

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“Every action you take is a vote for the type of person you wish to become. No single instance will transform your beliefs, but as the votes build up, so does the evidence of your new identity.”
“You do not rise to the level of your goals. You fall to the level of your systems.”
Read 12 tweets
Mar 9
10 lessons from “The Psychology of Money” by Morgan Housel

A thread 🧵
“Spending money to show people how much money you have is the fastest way to have less money.”
“Someone driving a $100,000 car might be wealthy. But the only data point you have about their wealth is that they have $100,000 less than they did before they bought the car (or $100,000 more in debt). That’s all you know about them.”
Read 12 tweets
Mar 8
Ten lessons from my book “The Ultimate Guide to Technical Analysis”

A Thread 🧵 👇
“Technical analysis is the trading of price action, while fundamental analysis is the trading of value. These are vastly different things.”
“Technical analysis focuses only on price action & volume. The best use of TA is not the prediction of future price. It should be used to identify the path of least resistance, quantify the probabilities of what will happen next & identify a price of entry for a good R/R ratio.”
Read 12 tweets
Mar 7
Ten lessons from my book: “The Ultimate Trading Risk Management Guide”

A thread 🧵 👇 Image
“The biggest mistake you can make in risk management is finding yourself on the wrong side of a trend with a large position size, stubbornly letting it continue to run against you without exiting. If you don’t know what to do in a market the safest thing to do is to go to cash.”
“Trades must be asymmetric; the downside risk is carefully planned and managed, but the upside profits are open-ended. This is a critical part of trading success.”
Read 12 tweets
Mar 6
10 lessons from the book: “How I Made $2,000,000 in the Stock Market” by Nicolas Darvas

A thread 🧵 👇
“There are no good or bad stocks, there are only rising and falling stocks.”
“I did not know it but I was already coming up against one of the great pitfalls of the small operator—the almost insoluble problem of when to enter the market.”

His answer was to entry on breakouts of momentum to the upside in stocks in uptrends.
Read 11 tweets

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