Thread by @alexandrosM

What you are seeing me do in the case of Ukraine is what I always try to: first principles thinking.

Allow me to summarize: 🧵

First of all, I don't have a position on the matter at all. It still appears too complex for me. I feel badly for the Ukrainian people suffering what they are, of course, as I feel for the Yemenis and Uighurs.

Second, the revelation on biolabs taught me to not ignore something, just because Putin said it.

https://twitter.com/alexandrosM/status/1501322587225276425?t=qYAxAM97iYeIGUxkwt58pQ&s=19

Third, I still find all the belly aching about "literal neonazis" to be overplayed. War is terrible, and people will flock to whoever demonstrates power. But I don't expect the 4th Reich to have Kiev as its capital. Maybe I'm wrong on this.

https://twitter.com/alexandrosM/status/1503005983081074690?t=qYAxAM97iYeIGUxkwt58pQ&s=19

Fourth, if I know anything at all, I know that we're looking at sophisticated propaganda campaigns from both sides. I find for instance, the Paris video produced by Ukrainians reprehensible psyops. Understandable, but also something we should not accept.

https://twitter.com/ua_parliament/status/1502402021386858504?s=20&t=MaYs3eZjlISKKrrdPd_H5w

All that said, please understand that I'm still trying to figure out what can be known about the situation, thinking out loud as I go. If enough facts click together into a larger narrative that makes sense, I'll share that. Until then, remember:

https://twitter.com/alexandrosM/status/1496850683902844930?t=qYAxAM97iYeIGUxkwt58pQ&s=19