Kemal Profile picture
Mar 15 11 tweets 4 min read
Here’s a compilation of Russian military attack helicopters (Ka-52 and Mi-28) taking part in the war in Ukraine.

Notice how they’re mainly using unguided dumb-rockets, cannon fire, and radar/laser beam-riding SACLOS missiles.

1/8
These aforementioned weapons are fairly old and outdated system, and we can see the ramifications of this in their losses: 12 attack helicopters lost. Helicopters armed with these systems have to enter contested airspace to have desirable effect on target.

2/8
Months ago, I brought up how modern attack helicopter capabilities have drastically changed.

The USMC AH-1W, fighting in Iraq nearly two decades ago, had the same offensive capabilities as Russian helicopters today. SACLOS missiles, rockets etc.

3/8
Just compare the USMC AH-1W in Iraq (in 2003!) and the Russian helicopters in Ukraine (in 2022!), to this Azerbaijani Mi-17 with modern Spike NLOS ATGMs (in 2020!).

The difference is staggering.

4/8
Azerbaijan has lost one Mi-17 during the 2020 war with Armenia, just one! Reportedly in a crash and not even in combat.

Az helicopters with Spike NLOS remained at standoff distances when engaging Armenian assets, making themselves near immune to enemy counterfire.

5/8
This is where I believe the future lies. The golden era of unguided rockets is over, helicopters relying on this principle will get shot down like the Russian have shown.

I can't stress enough how much I Iove the AH-64D Saraf with Spike NLOS.

6/8
I hope small NATO militaries, to whom even a single attack helicopter loss is costly, will focus on acquiring modern NLOS ATGMs.

Helicopters must be armed with standoff weapons to remain viable in modern combat. If not, losses to MANPADS, AAA and alike are inevitable.

7/8
Balance is also important. Expensive and capable systems like Spike NLOS can't be used against lightly armored or unarmored opponents in uncontested airspace.

Instead, guided 70mm rockets, 70mm missiles, or cannon fire can be used against them.

8/8
As a side note:

I am of course fully unqualified to say any of this lol

I'm just some random guy on Twitter. I'm no helicopter pilot or military tactician/strategist specialized in helicopter warfare.
Great catch!

I was referring to the radio-guided Ataka :)

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More from @kemal_115

Mar 15
Ninth Tor system lost to date!

Let me tell you why this is a new model and not Igor's Tor :)

1/5
Lets start by examining this new specimen.

If you've read my Tor identification guide (), you should be able to tell this is a 9A330 TLAR of 9K330 Tor.

Notable features of this specimen include:
- lays on roadside;
- faulty rear suspension.

2/5
Now lets look at the now infamous 9A330 TLAR captured by Igor.

Notice how it's abandoned in a forest and not some roadside, also notice the fully intact suspension and damaged engagement radar.

2/5
Read 6 tweets
Mar 14
The Ukrainian Navy has lost the following, it seems:

-Sorum-class seagoing tugboat Korets A830, hull number changed to P186

- Gyurza-M-class gunboats Akkerman (P174) and Vyshhorod (P179)
Two Zhuk-class patrol boats.

I suspect these belong to the Ukrainian 'Sea Guard'/Coast guard, which is under the command of the Ukrainian Border Guard Service, hence maybe why one has hull number "BG 118".
What I believe to be refurbished civilian vessels, in-service with the Sea Guard/Coast Guard of the Border Guard Service.

In total, six such vessels were captured by the Russians.
i. BGXX8
ii. BG311
iii. BG14
iv. BG25
Read 6 tweets
Mar 14
Here's a (partial) guide on how to identify Russian military Air Defense losses in Ukraine. It will be a two part series, focusing on the Tor and Buk systems respectively.

This is part two, Buk.

1/25
Russian Air Defense systems are usually composed of smaller units/sub-systems, Buk is no different. From my understanding, its combat vehicle can work independently if need be, but it usually does not. I will focus on battalion-level Buk systems.

2/25
Buk variants (or a part of them) that are known to be active in Ukraine are:

- 9K37M1 Buk-M1

- 9K37M1-2 Buk-M1-2

- 9K317 Buk-M2

- 9K317M Buk-M3

3/25
Read 25 tweets
Mar 13
Here's a guide on how to identify Russian military Air Defense losses in Ukraine. It will be a two part series, focusing on the Tor and Buk systems respectively.

This is part one, Tor.

1/8 Image
Many Russian Air Defense systems are composed of smaller units/sub-systems, Tor is a little different. Its combat vehicle can work independently and does not necessarily require input from its command vehicle or radar. I will thus look at ID'ing this sub-system only.

2/8
Tor variants that are known to be active in Ukraine are:

- 9K330 Tor-M, with 9A330 Transporter Launcher and Radar (TLAR) sub-system;

- 9K331 Tor-M1, w/ 9A331 TLAR;

- 9K332 Tor-M2, w/ 9A331M TLAR.

3/8
Read 9 tweets
Mar 13
For all the folks calling @oryxspioenkop and our list biased in favor of Ukraine, we spend multiple hours today going through four pieces of film to determine if a Russian loss was the same or not.

Others would've counted them as separate entities, but we did not.
The four pieces of film/footage include

A) Picture of a heavily damaged 9A331 TLAR from Telegram;
B) Video showing a burning 9A331 TLAR;
C) Screenshot from a TikTok video showing a glimpse of a Tor TLAR;
D) Another screenshot showing a Tor TLAR quite a distance away.
Step 1:

We compared the TikTok video (C) to the film showing a Tor TLAR in the distance (D). These were match.
Read 9 tweets
Mar 12
Here's something different from my more recent Ukraine oriented tweets. Some pics I took today of USS The Sullivans (DDG-68), moored in Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Gotta love the firepower of a Burke,

Harpoons, Phalanx, SVTT, and Mk41 VLS in one pic :)
Some of its radar and EW assets: AN/SPY-1D, AN/SPG-62, and AN/SLQ-32(V)3.

The SLQ-32 is MASSIVE, it really is. It is a very capable EW-system.
Read 4 tweets

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