Dan Lamothe Profile picture
Mar 15 13 tweets 2 min read
With @SecDef and his team in transit to Europe today, there is no background briefing at the Pentagon today about the war in Ukraine. The Pentagon has just released this, though:
"On day 20 of Russia’s war, we continue to assess limited to no progress by Russian ground forces in achieving their objectives."
"Kyiv remains under bombardment by long range fires, with civilian targets - to include residential areas - being struck with increasing frequency.  But leading elements of Russian forces have not appreciably advanced on the city."
"We estimate Russian forces are still about 15-20km to the northwest and about 20-30km to the east. Ukrainians hold Brovary and are still defending Kyiv."
"Chernihiv remains isolated, but we still assess that Ukrainians are working to keep a line of communication open.

"Mariupol is likewise isolated and still suffering heavy bombardment."
"Russian forces are still on the outskirts of Kharkiv, where, as before, they face stiff Ukrainian resistance.

"We’ve observed no apparent movement toward or past Mykolaiv."
"While we have observed some LSTs operating in the northern Black Sea, we are not seeing any imminent amphibious movement toward Odesa."
"There are no changes to the air picture to report. The Russians have now fired more than 950 missiles. There are no new strikes into western Ukraine to report."
"We assess that the Russians have approximately 90% of their combat power available to them; same for the Ukrainians."
"We have seen no movement of Russian forces stationed elsewhere in Russia being deployed to the west to reinforce the BTGs the Russians already have in Ukraine. And we’ve seen no evidence of Russian efforts to flow in additional supplies from inside Russia or from elsewhere."
"But we have reason to believe the Russians are considering their resupply and manning options.

"We still have no indications of Belarus inserting troops or preparing to do so."
"We have no updates on the convoy. It is still stuck.

"We have nothing to report with respect to Russian chemical or biological weapons."
"We cannot confirm Ukrainian reports of the deaths of senior Russian officers."

"Security assistance from the United States and other nations continues, to include over the last 24 hours. We will not detail the specifics, but these shipments did include weapons."

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More from @DanLamothe

Mar 17
A background briefing with a senior U.S. defense official about the Russian war on Ukraine has just concluded. It’s Day 22 of the invasion.

Much remains the same:
Russia’s advances are largely still stalled. One exception: Pentagon assesses Thursday for the first time that the Russians have seized Izyum, a town southeast of Kharkiv and north of Mariupol.

Russia want to cut off eastern Ukraine from rest of country, U.S. official says.
Front end of beleaguered Russian convoy north of Kyiv remains outside city. But Russian forces have moved up artillery, the senior defense official said, as Russia appears to be readying additional fires.

“They’re trying to wear the city down,” senior defense official says.
Read 11 tweets
Mar 17
Upshot of @SecDef in Slovakia, per presser: Slovakia says it's willing to provide Ukraine with S-300 air defense, but wants assurances that they'll be provided with some other system to defend themselves.

@SecDef says he has nothing to announce today.
SECDEF, asked if the U.S. could provide Slovakia a Patriot or some other air-defense system:

"I don’t have any announcements for you this afternoon. These are things that we will continue to work with all of our allies on..."
Slovakian defense minister: "“Should there be a situation where there is a proper replacement or if we have a capability guaranteed for a certain period of time, then we would be willing to discuss the future of S-300 system.”
Read 7 tweets
Mar 16
A background briefing about the Russian war on Ukraine with a senior U.S. defense official has just concluded.

It’s Day 21 of the invasion, and there are a few significant updates:
First, the Pentagon assesses today that Russian warships are now shelling areas around Odessa, a major port city in southwestern Ukraine.

Other naval activity also has increased, with Russian landing craft moving around but not going ashore, the senior defense official said.
It’s still unclear if Russia will attempt an amphibious landing on or near Odessa. Russia launched one amphibious landing farther east early in the landing, but it was small and on an uncontested shoreline, the senior defense official said.
Read 13 tweets
Mar 15
Fox News cameraman Pierre Zakrzewski was killed yesterday in Horenka, Ukraine, outside Kyiv, Fox News officials say in statement. He was with Benjamin Hall, who was reported wounded yesterday. Their vehicle came under fire, Fox says.

RIP.
"Pierre was a war zone photographer who covered nearly every international story for FOX News from Iraq to Afghanistan to Syria during his long tenure with us. His passion and talent as a journalist were unmatched."
"Based in London, Pierre had been working in Ukraine since February. His talents were vast and there wasn’t a role that he didn’t jump in to help w/ in the field — from photographer to engineer to editor to producer — & he did it all under immense pressure with tremendous skill."
Read 10 tweets
Mar 14
A background briefing at the Pentagon about the Russian war on Ukraine just finished. It’s Day 19 of the war.

Basic takeaways:
I’ll start with the strikes Sunday on the Ukrainian military training center at Yavoriv, near the border with Poland.

A senior U.S. defense official says they were carried out by cruise missiles launched from long-range Russian bombers from Russian airspace.
Note: That’s different than speculation and some reporting yesterday that they were carried out by sea-launched missiles from Russian ships. Those are still quite rare in this war.
Read 16 tweets
Mar 13
The base in western Ukraine that Russia just hit with missiles had been home since 2015 to a rotational presence of U.S. troops who were training Ukrainian forces about a half-hour drive from the border with Poland in Yavirov. The Americans withdrew last month.
That U.S. unit, Joint Multinational Training Group-Ukraine, most recently included about 150 members of the Florida National Guard. They were reassigned elsewhere in Europe as it became evident that Russia was likely to invade.
Even prior to the establishment of the rotational deployments in 2015, Western forces, including Americans, had used the base to train Ukrainians after the Russian invasion of Crimea in 2014. This hit comes with significant symbolism.
Read 4 tweets

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