Dan Lamothe Profile picture
Mar 14 16 tweets 3 min read
A background briefing at the Pentagon about the Russian war on Ukraine just finished. It’s Day 19 of the war.

Basic takeaways:
I’ll start with the strikes Sunday on the Ukrainian military training center at Yavoriv, near the border with Poland.

A senior U.S. defense official says they were carried out by cruise missiles launched from long-range Russian bombers from Russian airspace.
Note: That’s different than speculation and some reporting yesterday that they were carried out by sea-launched missiles from Russian ships. Those are still quite rare in this war.
“More than a couple dozen” Russian cruise missiles were launched at the training center from aircraft, the senior U.S. defense official says.

He notes that a no-fly zone patrolling Ukrainian airspace would not have stopped this strike.
The Pentagon cannot verify the number of killed and wounded at the training center. The senior U.S. defense official repeats U.S. statements yesterday that no U.S. troops, U.S. contractors, or U.S. civilians in a government capacity were there.
The Pentagon is not clear on whether any Americans there as volunteers for the Ukrainian effort were there. It’s not something they are tracking, the senior U.S. defense official says.
Russian ground advances remain largely stalled, the senior U.S. defense official says. No “appreciable” change on advances on Kyiv, Kharkiv, Mariupol, etc.
Pentagon still sees no indications of the Russians sending in military reinforcements from elsewhere in Russia, the senior U.S. defense official said.
"Siege mentality" by Russia still playing out, the senior U.S. defense official says. Heavy bombardment of Kyiv, Kharkiv, Mariupol, etc.

Mariupol and Chernihiv remain under attack and isolated.
Senior U.S. defense official on Russia: "Clearly, they are increasing the amount of long-range fires they are applying to these cities, these population centers that are holding out … They are obviously continuing the bombardment and increasing that, no doubt about it.”
Russia now has 100 percent of the forces it assembled prior to invading committed to the fight. It has under 90 percent of those forces available to them, after taking losses, senior U.S. defense official says.
Pentagon still sees no indications of Belarus sending in forces to join the fight, senior U.S. defense official says.
As of Monday, Russia has launched more than 900 missiles at Ukraine since the beginning the invasion Feb. 24, senior U.S. defense official says.
No change in force posture for the about 5,000 U.S. troops in Poland following yesterday's airstrikes on the Yavoriv military training center just inside Ukraine, senior U.S. defense official says.
Russia still has not achieve air superiority over Ukraine, senior U.S. defense official says. But he couches by saying Russia has not achieved air superiority over "all of Ukraine."

Last week, lawmakers sent a letter to POTUS suggesting Russia had air superiority already.
NEW TONIGHT: U.S. works to keep China on board in Ukraine conflict.

With @AshleyRParker @chicoharlan @catecadell and others

washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/…

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More from @DanLamothe

Mar 15
With @SecDef and his team in transit to Europe today, there is no background briefing at the Pentagon today about the war in Ukraine. The Pentagon has just released this, though:
"On day 20 of Russia’s war, we continue to assess limited to no progress by Russian ground forces in achieving their objectives."
"Kyiv remains under bombardment by long range fires, with civilian targets - to include residential areas - being struck with increasing frequency.  But leading elements of Russian forces have not appreciably advanced on the city."
Read 13 tweets
Mar 15
Fox News cameraman Pierre Zakrzewski was killed yesterday in Horenka, Ukraine, outside Kyiv, Fox News officials say in statement. He was with Benjamin Hall, who was reported wounded yesterday. Their vehicle came under fire, Fox says.

RIP.
"Pierre was a war zone photographer who covered nearly every international story for FOX News from Iraq to Afghanistan to Syria during his long tenure with us. His passion and talent as a journalist were unmatched."
"Based in London, Pierre had been working in Ukraine since February. His talents were vast and there wasn’t a role that he didn’t jump in to help w/ in the field — from photographer to engineer to editor to producer — & he did it all under immense pressure with tremendous skill."
Read 10 tweets
Mar 13
The base in western Ukraine that Russia just hit with missiles had been home since 2015 to a rotational presence of U.S. troops who were training Ukrainian forces about a half-hour drive from the border with Poland in Yavirov. The Americans withdrew last month.
That U.S. unit, Joint Multinational Training Group-Ukraine, most recently included about 150 members of the Florida National Guard. They were reassigned elsewhere in Europe as it became evident that Russia was likely to invade.
Even prior to the establishment of the rotational deployments in 2015, Western forces, including Americans, had used the base to train Ukrainians after the Russian invasion of Crimea in 2014. This hit comes with significant symbolism.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 11
A Friday background briefing at the Pentagon about the war on Ukraine has concluded.

Some notable details ahead:
First, going to flag two stories I'm involved in that we published this morning.

The first explores the scenario under which Americans are going to join the Ukrainian war effort:

washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
The second details Russian military losses to the extent we can, and what it all means:

washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
Read 16 tweets
Mar 11
Despite risks, U.S. veterans reckon with joining Ukrainian war effort

In which me, @AlexHortonTX @phscoop and @JHBaran put heads together and try to make sense of who's among the Americans heading to the war against Russia without U.S. approval.

washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
We found several kinds of participants. Many want nothing to do with combat in this war, but want to help. Others are spoiling to join the Ukrainians in taking on the Russians directly.
One of the individuals we talked to is Angel Raymond Luna, 30, arrested late last month in D.C. outside the Ukrainian embassy with weapons. He'd draped himself in the American flag and stood at attention outside in his body armor. Drew police attention nearly immediately.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 10
The Thursday background briefing at the Pentagon about the war in Ukraine has concluded. It’s Day 15.

Some takeaways:
Yesterday, there was a great deal of focus on the U.S. scuttling a Polish proposal to send MiG-29 jets to Ukraine via U.S. officials in exchange for the United State sending Poland some F-16s. It’s seen as high-risk with limited value in the Pentagon’s eyes.
Today, the senior U.S. defense official briefing reporters said the U.S. *is* considering sending other sophisticated weapons, including air-defense weapons that are more significant than MANPADS. That means something better than a Stinger missile.
Read 13 tweets

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