A background briefing about the Russian war on Ukraine with a senior U.S. defense official has just concluded.
It’s Day 21 of the invasion, and there are a few significant updates:
First, the Pentagon assesses today that Russian warships are now shelling areas around Odessa, a major port city in southwestern Ukraine.
Other naval activity also has increased, with Russian landing craft moving around but not going ashore, the senior defense official said.
It’s still unclear if Russia will attempt an amphibious landing on or near Odessa. Russia launched one amphibious landing farther east early in the landing, but it was small and on an uncontested shoreline, the senior defense official said.
For the first time, the Pentagon assesses Wednesday that Russia is discussing sending “replacement troops” to backfill for combat losses. It sees no indications yet that any have moved yet, the senior defense official said. Open-source reports suggest that some already may have.
On weapons deliveries: The Pentagon declines to say what drones it is delivering but calls them “tactical” in nature.
Knowing that many tactical drones are single-use and kamikaze in nature, I asked if it’s possible more could be delivered in rolling fashion, like Javelin missiles are.
“I wouldn’t rule it out,” the senior defense official said.
Advance north of Kyiv is still stalled. Cities that were isolated still are. Ukraine is still in control of Brovary, a town to Kyiv’s east where fierce fighting has occurred, senior defense official says.
More than 980 Russian missiles have been launched since the war begin, the senior defense official says. That number continues to climb by several dozen per day.
It’s “safe to assume” that @SecDef will be asking Slovakian and Bulgarian officials this week what Soviet/Russian systems they may be willing to provide to Ukraine, the senior defense official says.
Some countries may have concerns about giving their own systems away, he adds.
“I know that everyone is focused on the S-300, but there are lots of different air-defense systems” that could be provided to Ukraine, senior defense official says, declining to name them.
No appreciable change in how much Ukraine and Russia are flying in the war, senior defense official says.
To date, Ukraine is flying a handful of sorties per day and Russia has been flying about 200, though some do not cross into Ukrainian airspace.
Finally: Two reporters raised the lack of media access to U.S. military units deployed in eastern Europe in response to Russia's buildup and invasion of Ukraine.
Senior defense official says "I appreciate the question," but that he has no change in media posture to share.
Footnote there: A couple of journalists did briefly visit U.S. troops in eastern Europe countries recently while traveling with Gen. Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Nothing any longer than that in duration has materialized so far.
NEW TONIGHT: Pentagon dials up size, scope of military aid to Ukraine
No Pentagon background briefing today about the war in Ukraine as @SecDef and his senior staff are traveling.
They did just release this update, though:
@SecDef "This is Day 23 of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The Russians remain largely stalled across the country."
"Near Kyiv, we still observe Russian forces have not made significant advances toward the city in the north/north west. And to the east of Kyiv, we have observed no movement of Russian forces."
A background briefing with a senior U.S. defense official about the Russian war on Ukraine has just concluded. It’s Day 22 of the invasion.
Much remains the same:
Russia’s advances are largely still stalled. One exception: Pentagon assesses Thursday for the first time that the Russians have seized Izyum, a town southeast of Kharkiv and north of Mariupol.
Russia want to cut off eastern Ukraine from rest of country, U.S. official says.
Front end of beleaguered Russian convoy north of Kyiv remains outside city. But Russian forces have moved up artillery, the senior defense official said, as Russia appears to be readying additional fires.
“They’re trying to wear the city down,” senior defense official says.
Upshot of @SecDef in Slovakia, per presser: Slovakia says it's willing to provide Ukraine with S-300 air defense, but wants assurances that they'll be provided with some other system to defend themselves.
SECDEF, asked if the U.S. could provide Slovakia a Patriot or some other air-defense system:
"I don’t have any announcements for you this afternoon. These are things that we will continue to work with all of our allies on..."
Slovakian defense minister: "“Should there be a situation where there is a proper replacement or if we have a capability guaranteed for a certain period of time, then we would be willing to discuss the future of S-300 system.”
With @SecDef and his team in transit to Europe today, there is no background briefing at the Pentagon today about the war in Ukraine. The Pentagon has just released this, though:
"On day 20 of Russia’s war, we continue to assess limited to no progress by Russian ground forces in achieving their objectives."
"Kyiv remains under bombardment by long range fires, with civilian targets - to include residential areas - being struck with increasing frequency. But leading elements of Russian forces have not appreciably advanced on the city."
Fox News cameraman Pierre Zakrzewski was killed yesterday in Horenka, Ukraine, outside Kyiv, Fox News officials say in statement. He was with Benjamin Hall, who was reported wounded yesterday. Their vehicle came under fire, Fox says.
RIP.
"Pierre was a war zone photographer who covered nearly every international story for FOX News from Iraq to Afghanistan to Syria during his long tenure with us. His passion and talent as a journalist were unmatched."
"Based in London, Pierre had been working in Ukraine since February. His talents were vast and there wasn’t a role that he didn’t jump in to help w/ in the field — from photographer to engineer to editor to producer — & he did it all under immense pressure with tremendous skill."
A background briefing at the Pentagon about the Russian war on Ukraine just finished. It’s Day 19 of the war.
Basic takeaways:
I’ll start with the strikes Sunday on the Ukrainian military training center at Yavoriv, near the border with Poland.
A senior U.S. defense official says they were carried out by cruise missiles launched from long-range Russian bombers from Russian airspace.
Note: That’s different than speculation and some reporting yesterday that they were carried out by sea-launched missiles from Russian ships. Those are still quite rare in this war.