.@TheTelegraphUK has played a key role in putting out misinformation, undermining trust in experts, at critical points during the pandemic when action could've saved lives. Casting doubt on experts meant that govt inaction was normalised. Sadly, the damage is already done.
Worth remembering that MSM doesn't just report the news- it creates the narrative it wants. As the role of the media misinformation is discussed in the context of Russian oligarch ownership of newspapers, it's worth remembering the distortion of truth that pervades our news.
It's not just the distortion of truth in one respect- it's distortion in all respects. COVID-19 has been a clear area of propaganda and misinformation to justify govt policy. As a scientist I can say honestly that much of the media doesn't represent scientific consensus at all.
I hope that recent revelations push more critical scrutiny of how information is provided by the MSM to the public, and how distortion of reality harms public health in a pandemic. The MSM played a key role in supporting and pushing false dichotomies between health & economy.
It leaned into conflating any mitigation with lockdown, into mask scepticism, anti-vaxx narratives for children and minimisation of impacts of COVID-19 - including long COVID. GBD narratives were widely platformed. They'll say it's because of 'balance' but there's no balance here
Platforming pseudoscience isn't 'balance'. It's harmful. It's also clear that experts who push a certain view (hopium, 'mildness', 'endemicity') are repeatedly platformed despite a long history of being wrong again and again- a history that must surely be known to the media.
I have pointed this out whenever I've been asked to engage in a 'debate' with known COVID-19 minimisers. When I bring it up, it's clear they know. It's not an information problem. It's a narrative problem & narratives that don't fit in aren't presented or are falsely balanced.
I've to date had 7-8 pre-interviews with BBC Newsnight- Each time was told the programme took 'a different direction' & I wouldn't be needed anymore. During each pre-interview it was clear to me the interviewer didn't quite like the opinion provided.
My opinion didn't fit the narrative. And when I've watched the interviews (with other experts) later, the direction hadn't changed- but the narrative was different to the one I'd put forward. Now, I just don't do pre-interviews with them because I know it's a waste of my time.
This is just one example, but there are many many more. Also, I've refused to do a lot of media panels when they've included 'experts' with a long history of minimising people's suffering, and impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.
People can have different opinions on this- my reason for doing this initially was to avoid giving legitimacy to false arguments. Of course, much of the time, when I take this stand, I'm the one bowing out, so those opinions get heard anyway, so one could argue it's a bit useless
More lately, I do this because 'debating' people who minimise this suffering comes at a personal cost - because of everyone I know that's been impacted & also the impacts I've faced as a clinically vulnerable person. I can no longer bear to hear that my life isn't worth much.
I know there are many others like me - those who decided the personal cost of media & all the attacks from colleagues, the career losses weren't worth it. Most are women. Ultimately, the way MSM works means we almost never see the consensus without 'balance' with fringe views.
And fringe views become mainstream. And are widely platformed on social media, because again, social media spread of tweets doesn't reflect reality at all. Remember Brexit? Remember the UK election? The huge skewing of reality in MSM and social media. It's the same with COVID-19.
Ultimately, this leads to chaos, confusion, to the point it's impossible for even motivated public to get an idea of what the reality of global scientific consensus is. Because even fringe scientists views are so widely platformed, they seem mainstream.
Some of this is the way twitter works (fake news goes further), but some of this is coordinated misinformation and disinformation campaigning, and there are networks that have had huge influence, both through social media, and through back channels with MSM.
The connections between HART, an anti-vax, anti-mask lobby group, and the Telegraph, Talk radio, as revealed through the HART leaks is just one example of this. There are many more networks that likely exist, that we don't even see.
And there are networks with government ministers as well- the HART and the CRG. So these fringe networks, which are just a handful of scientists with fringe opinions have massive influence on policy through backdoors.
Global Collateral essentially paid to get an APPG panel their scientists could sit on, so it could give itself influence and legitimacy. These are scientists who are known to put out misinformation and have pushed for policies that have cost thousands of lives, but here we are.
We need to really understand why fringe narratives and fringe scientists have been afforded platforms over the global scientific consensus again and again. At the detriment of everything- society, public health and economy. There are many actors, and many who are responsible.
Will there every be accountability or change? Not unless there is more public awareness, and greater challenge to what we see and hear. We live in a reality shaped by the media, and it's worth understanding the lens we see reality through.
Really? You don't get why masks are needed when 1 in 18 people are infected (the highest *ever* prevalence in Scotland), hospitalisations are rising rapidly to almost the Jan 2021 levels? Let me explain it to you. It's a vital public health measure.
I just don't understand how politicians who don't seem to have any understanding of public health 2 years into the pandemic feel free to wade in and put out completely uninformed and unhelpful rhetoric. We should be doing more not less...
And yes, waves will happen at different points in different nations. England had a worse initial omicron wave than Scotland because they had more measures in place, but Scotland saw an earlier resurgence as they opened up & now both are seeing rapid rises.
It's a tragedy when govts, rather than using vaccines & therapies to improve outcomes (by using a vaccines plus approach), use them to promote policies that cause a much higher level of infection, long COVID & unacceptable levels of 'acceptable deaths'. theguardian.com/world/2022/mar…
Shouldn't we expect better given we've had 2 yrs to do better? Vaccines, therapies, and evidence on so many airborne precautions that reduce spread? Or should we just tolerate higher infections? 27,000 deaths involving COVID-19 as per ONS in the UK since 'freedom day'.
>9,000 just this year in the 'mild' omicron wave. 1.5 million people with long COVID - with 685,000 having had symptoms for *more than a year*. 21,000 of these with symptoms more than a yr are children. Impacts of omicron not even fully felt yet on long COVID figures.
UKHSA tech report out - TL;DR:
-BA.2 now represents >80% of omicron in England
-Growth rate 80% greater relative to BA.1 per wk
- regional growth seems to correlate with BA.2 frequency
-?lab reports indicating that BA.1 infection may lead to lower neutralisation against BA.2
🧵
BA.2 does not produce the spike gene failure (SGTF) on TaqPath PCR tests that BA.1 did, so it can be detected on some routine PCR tests. Looking at this 'SGTP' signature, it looks like 83% of cases are BA.2. This won't be fully representative of England but in the ballpark.
There are regional differences - which may at least partly explain the differences in prevalence and rises of cases in different regions. Highest in London, and the SE and EoE south, and lowest in the North.
Really worth looking at what's happening in the 8-11 yr group- infections have continued to occur at a high rate (as per ONS data) in this age group- yet antibodies appear to be plateauing, and early declines being seen. This is well-described in the literature.🧵
Children *do not* develop sustained antibody responses- and the rate of seroreversion (going from antibody positivity to negativity) and antibody declines are faster than adults. Remember antibodies don't mean immunity in the first place (given the level of escape with omicron)
It is unlikely children develop lasting immunity to infection. The UKHSA data also shows this clearly, with re-infections being highest among children, with a significant proportion of BA.2 re-infections having occurred within just 3 months.
A brief discussion on the impact of omicron we're seeing in some countries currently - e.g. HK - which may seem surprising given the impact observed in South Africa and even perhaps the UK - which while v. significant, seems lower on the face of it.🧵
Some of this will no doubt stem from different vaccination rates by age in different regions - but there is possibly another important factor that may not be immediately apparent.
I want to revisit the discussions on the severity of omicron relative to delta here. As many of us discussed earlier - there are two aspects to severity: 1. intrinsic severity - what is the severity if omicron compared to delta if they infected the same people
As hospitalisations increase, it's worth again noting that testing has massively reduced as positivity has risen to 20% in England (similar to the Dec omicron wave). So cases are *massively* underestimated - and looking at dashboard numbers will underestimate risk.🧵
I worry that this is providing false re-assurance about where things are at. ONS data suggests infection rates remain high. And hospitalisations with COVID-19 are clearly rising across all age groups. BA.2, a more transmissible sub-variant of omicron has also gained dominance.
Vaccines will provide protection, but we know this protection wanes, and isn't absolute. So other additional layers are important to protect yourself
& others. While the govt no longer mandates any measures, it's important to continue to be cautious.