Putin's meeting with officials on economic issues on March 16 records his greatest madness to date. Putin made a 15 pages speech, which would make Hitler look like a moderate until the bunker.
Conclusion: Putin is in the bunker.
en.kremlin.ru/events/preside…
Putin devoted the first four pages to repeat all his lies about Ukraine: "our diplomatic efforts were in vain. We have been left with no peaceful alternative to settle the problems that developed through no fault of ours...we were forced to begin this special military operation."
"The operation is being carried out successfully, in strict conformity with the approved plan.
...encouraged by the United States and other Western countries, Ukraine was purposefully preparing for a scenario of force, a massacre and an ethnic cleansing in Donbass."
Putin proceeded to explicate how disgusting the Western sanctions were: "They are using economic, financial, trade and other sanctions against Russia as weapons, but these sanctions have backfired in Europe and in the United States where prices of gasoline, energy and food ...
...have shot up, and jobs in the industries associated with the Russian market have been cut. So, do not shift the blame on us and do not accuse our country of everything that goes wrong in your countries."
"...the problems faced by millions of people in the West are the result of many years of actions by the ruling elite of your respective countries, their mistakes, and short-sighted policies and ambitions...They are obsessed with their own self-serving interests and super profits"
"The illegitimate freezing of some of the currency reserves of the Bank of Russia marks the end of the reliability of so-called first-class assets....the US and the EU have defaulted on their obligations to Russia. Now everybody knows that financial reserves can simply be stolen"
& Russia is not at fault: "We must clearly understand that a new package of sanctions and restrictions would have been imposed on us no matter what. I want to emphasise this. For the West, our military operation in Ukraine is just a pretext for imposing more sanctions on us."
Putin appears desperate & helpless (he is): The sanctions bite: "the steps designed to make the lives of millions of people worse have all the attributes of an aggression, a war by economic, political, and informational means, and it is of a comprehensive and blatant nature."
Then, Putin gets really ugly (as he is): "of course, they will back the so-called fifth column, national traitors – those who make money here in our country but live over there, and “live” not in the geographical sense of the word but in their minds, in their servile mentality."
"I do not in the least condemn those who have villas in Miami or the French Riviera, who cannot make do without foie gras, oysters or gender freedom as they call it. That is not the problem, not at all."
"The problem, again, is that many of these people are, essentially, over there in their minds and not here with our people and with Russia. In their opinion – in their opinion! – it is a sign of belonging to the superior caste, the superior race."
"People like this would sell their own mothers just to be allowed to sit on the entry bench of the superior caste. They want to be just like them and imitate them in everything. But they forget or just completely fail to see that even if this so-called superior caste needs them."
"The so-called collective West and its fifth column are accustomed to measuring everything and everyone by their own standards. They believe that everything is for sale and everything can be bought, and therefore they think we will break down and back off."
Good-bye, Putin!

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More from @anders_aslund

Mar 19
A few thoughts on the Western economic sanctions on Russia.
1. They are truly vicious. No sensible forecasts can be made today, but I would be surprised if Russia's GDP does not fall by some 20% in 2022.
2. Russia suffers from extreme financial, trade & air isolation.
3. These sanctions are self-reinforcing & self-reproducing. It has become indecent to trade with Russia or doing anything commercially in Russia.
4. The big hole that is open is shipping. Close that & the sanction breakers, such as India & China can no longer do that.
5. As @AmbDanFried has long advocated, the dominant state shipping company Sovcomflot should be sanctioned. Western ports and shipping companies should be prohibited to handle Russian shipping anywhere in the world. Today, China & India buy discounted Russian oil.
Read 8 tweets
Mar 19
On the whole, I must give @POTUS great credit for how he has handled Russia's war against Ukraine.
1. Already in 2014, he pushed for serious arms to Ukraine. He lost to Obama, but he was on the right side of history.
2. Since he became president, he has sent lots of good arms.
3. Biden made a mistake to meet Putin on June 16, giving him undue recognition for no reason.
4. Biden made an extraordinary mistake when he let Nord Stream 2 go ahead first in the spring & then in the July 21 agreement with Merkel. That was the low point.
5. Biden's great achievement has been to turn the world's attention to what Russia was doing around Ukraine by daily report intelligence publicly. This was a major victory in the information war.
6. As a result of his public statements journalists flooded to Ukraine & told it all
Read 5 tweets
Mar 19
Will Putin use nukes & if so in what case? I see 3 dominant answers:
1. He won't as it does not make sense. He is only threatening. We can ignore those threats but keep a high guard. (my position).
2. He might do so, so we have to be cautious (bleeding heart liberals). Appease!
3. Putin is so mad and desperate that he might use nukes. The best we can do is to hit hard early so that it cannot save him or does not manage to get around to do so (the general Ukrainian position).
The best argumentation I have heard is General Wesley Clark (twice publicly this week) who states that we should start with the assumption that Putin will use nukes. Then ask ourselves what we would do in that case: Threaten to respond in kind!
Read 4 tweets
Mar 18
Russia's war in Ukraine illustrates how warfare has changed. Tanks & armored personnel carriers have become obsolete. They are too expensive & are easily destroyed with manifold light anti-tank weapons or drones.
Airplanes and helicopters are too expensive and too vulnerable to modern weapons, so they are not much used, but much destroyed.
The obvious winners are the Turkish killer drones, as in the war in Nagorny Karabakh.
Cruise missiles remain effective, but they are expensive.
Special forces remain vital, but they must have high moral and be disciplined. The Ukrainians are, while the Kadyrovtsy have been revealed as cruel and trigger-happy but pretty useless.
The Putin army has been revealed as an obsolete Potemkin army.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 16
Putin seems truly desperate.
The young & well-educated are fleeing as fast as they can, so Putin calls them "fifth column" & "national traitors.
He announces that he will seize the firms and real estate of emigres.
He mobilizes convicts and prison guards to Ukraine.
He dares not declare a state of emergency and close the borders.
Running out of soldiers in Ukraine, he is trying to recruit Syrian mercenaries against purported Slavid brothers.
Lavrov & Peskov talk about possible agreement with Ukraine, but Putin denies that (just like Hitler).
The Western sanctions have become devastating to the Russian economy, which is now quickly becoming as isolated as North Korea.
Russia's losses in Ukraine are enormous, and the Ukrainians now forecast that they can clean out the Russians in two weeks if not nuked.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 15
Tough new EU sanctions on Russia for Ukraine, 4th package:
1. A full prohibition of any transactions with certain Russian State-owned enterprises across different sectors - the Kremlin's military-industrial complex.
ec.europa.eu/commission/pre…
2. An EU import ban on those steel products currently under EU safeguard measures, amounting to approximately € 3.3 billion in lost export revenue for Russia.
3. A far-reaching ban on new investment across the Russian energy sector.
4. An EU export ban on luxury goods (e.g. luxury cars, jewellery, etc.) to directly hit Russian elites.
5. More oligarchs and business elites linked to the Kremlin & companies active in military and defence areas & actors active in disinformation sanctioned.
Read 4 tweets

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