Roman Motychak Profile picture
Mar 18 7 tweets 3 min read
looks like China really stepped in & de facto backed Ukraine in this war for the survival of Ukrainian nation. Russian war on Ukraine: loo...Looks like killing of the i...and the result of China's i...
Lumping russia and China together is wrong and I warned about the shallow mindedness of this approach a long time ago:
motychak.substack.com/p/kazakhstan-c…

Xi kicked putin out of KZ, reversed the invasion and Tokayev even appointed "anti-russian Kazakh nationalist" as one of his ministers
Ukraine's case may be another example of the Chinese influence growth.

Not quite sure that this is what America wants to see, but the U.S./NATO have had a lot of time to "deter" Muscovy and change putin's decisiveness/calculus re Ukraine's invasion -- and they squandered it.
I was very vocal about UA's needs to deter #RussianWarOnUkraine.

@WhiteHouse didn't budge in the "air defense" domain until Kharkiv & Mariupol massacres.
"fighter jets" part still remains untouched.

What city should be levelled next to show that UA badly needs fighter jets?
and the tweet above is just a very telling example, one of the last desperate warnings...
I started seeing Biden inadequacy towards Ukraine as early as in the late March of 2021 -- and there are many my tweets about this: why there was no Ambassador to UA appointment, e.g.
I admit though that Biden actions in Afghanistan turned out to be an invitation to China to play an active role in Central Asia. Hence, Kazakhstan case (see above).

We will see how all that will turn out in Ukraine, but the constructive China's role here is crucial.
yes, I may be wrong on the russia/China dynamics, but we have to explore everything, which can help us defeat russia's invasion now.

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More from @motytchak

Mar 19
And a few words about #TerroRussia official status.
Lord Alex Carlile, a member of @UKHouseofLords of the @UKParliament said in an interview to @TMokliak for @Guild__Hall that Western high-ranking politicians are already openly comparing Russian gov to al-Qaeda and ISIS.
1/4 Image
Lord Carlile thinks that separate parts of the Russian State (Army, Navy, Air Forces, Putin’s political Party) should be designated separately as terrorist actors and included on banning lists held by countries such as the U.K. and the USA:
ghall.com.ua/2022/03/18/bri…
2/3
This would mean that every supplier would be regarded & prosecutable as complicit in terrorism.
This should be proceeded with quickly.
It would be a confirmation, strongly supported by elected politicians and the public, of Putin’s & Russia’s pariah status,’ - Lord Carlile.
3/4
Read 4 tweets
Mar 6
simply #mustread on the #RussianWarOnUkraine:
chicagoboyz.net/archives/67331…

Russian Army columns North of Kyiv decaying into immobile blobs due to the mud season, poorly maintained Chinese truck tires and shear “follow the plan” Russian incompetence.
2/ all the columns’ heads are now out of fuel and battery power and they can’t move north, south or sideways... everything behind them is stuck because of the mud, and rapidly running out of fuel and vehicle battery charge too (assuming they haven’t already).
3/ Nor can any of those columns defend themselves, because they’re too densely packed. They’re just targets waiting for the Ukrainians to destroy them.

Only the Ukrainians had something better to do.
Read 22 tweets
Mar 5
The Jewish people know all too well the threat of being eradicated. Today, Ukraine is Israel. Ukrainians are falling victim to Russia’s evil war just as the Jews fell victim to Nazis who wanted to eradicate all Jews. -- @AndriyYermak

#StopRussiaNOW
"The Russians can destroy us and our country, but they cannot unmake Ukraine. They do understand it – and try to blackmail Ukraine, Europe and the world with the specter of nuclear disaster as they pound powerplants with shells and bombs." - @AndriyYermak
"During Arab-Israeli war of 1948, the world rallied to Israel’s side. Jewish Americans delivered aid, weapons & PLANES to their Israeli brethren. This helped Jewish people & Israeli state survive. We implore Jewish communities across the world to come to our aid" - @AndriyYermak
Read 4 tweets
Mar 5
"To be able to invade a country the size of Urkaine, Putin needs western money.
And each year he receives some $250bn in revenues from energy sales. The higher the oil and gas prices, the higher the revenue" - @EuroBriefing
"We [Germany] should reflect a moment on its own role in this war. We increased our reliance on Russian energy after Crimea annex.
At no point did we ever solve the problem of our energy dependence.
It is our continued flow of money that has paved the way for Putin’s war."
"the EU should consider an import ban of Russian energy, Germany would have to accept to shoulder that burden.

for as long as Germany imports Russian gas, oil & coal, it remains true that the most strategic alliance on the Eurasian continent is that between Germany and Russia."
Read 4 tweets
Feb 13
So, we have disproportionately inadequate Western response to the putin's build-up around Ukraine, namely: - NO fighter jets and/or Patriot systems on the ground,
- YES panic and hysteria, Embassies evacuated etc.

Such a response plays right at putin's hand.
yes, this looks like this.
and this is not helping at all.
Now Western companies are stoping air connection to Ukraine. It is no less than a de-facto sanctioning the victim of potential aggression BY the Western commercial players.

Feels like the West already introduced sanctions against Ukraine.
Read 5 tweets
Dec 4, 2021
let me be clear: anything short of "things which can effectively deter putin" = not enough to prevent big war.

"things which can effectively deter putin" are
1. fighter jets & 2. air defence.
period.

articles in the press and White House warnings are fine art, nothing more.
if the White House is serious about defending Ukraine they must give us those two things. and ASAP.

we should have been given those long time ago, but the West was busy creating Ukraine image of the most corrupt country in the world

let's hope there is still time...
bcs if there is no time, Ukrainians' blood will be on the West's hands too.
@WaschukCanUA explained in plain English why. Because of these mistakes and because of reluctance to fix those mistakes:
huri.harvard.edu/what-west-got-…
Read 4 tweets

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