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Rob Lee

Mar 18 • 4 tweets • 3 min read

Ukraine's 79th Air Assault Brigade in Mikolaiv was targeted by Russian forces.
expressen.se/nyheter/raketa…
vk.com/milinfolive?w=…

Video of the aftermath of that strike. 2/
t.me/u_now/31005

https://twitter.com/ramaekers_robin/status/1505072180790444033

https://twitter.com/ramaekers_robin/status/1505072180790444033

https://twitter.com/rhoint_en/status/1505136775601270789

https://twitter.com/rhoint_en/status/1505136775601270789

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More from @RALee85

Rob Lee

@RALee85

Mar 18

@TheStudyofWar

Thread on the current status of the war. There are 4 areas/cities to watch over the next 1-2 weeks:
-Mikolaiv
-Mariupol
-Joint Forces Operation area
-Kyiv
Russian forces are having some successes pushing against JFO but less against Kyiv and Mikolaiv.
(map from @TheStudyofWar)

Mikolaiv is significant because Russia needs to take it if its forces are to seriously threaten Odesa, which appears to be a goal. However, the city continues to hold, and Russia has taken losses in the fighting. An amphibious landing would also be risky without further gains. 2/

Mariupol is the first large city Russian forces have attempted to seize where Ukrainian forces are willing to fight block-by-block. Russia is progressing, but it is slow and costly. Mariupol gives us an indication of how costly an assault on Kyiv would be. 3/

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