"Flo's parents are hoping to sponsor Sergei but despite being in close contact with the UK sponsor, the Ukrainian refugee spent over five hours filling in forms and has had to pay to get documents translated into English."
For one thing, it uses a much more limited definition of "immediate family", the same one that was widely derided when it applied to the family visa scheme, and which the Home Office very grudgingly expanded. No such expansion here, though.
And then there's the desperately insulting suggestion that the would-be sponsor (who almost certainly doesn't know the refugee, and vice versa) will somehow be able to hand-hold them through the application process from thousands of miles away...
But possibly the biggest roadblock in a process that seems purpose-built to deliver as few visas as possible as slowly as possible is the requirement for the refugee applicant to submit copies of very personal documents belonging to the sponsor as part of their application.
And if they can't cope with uploading stuff (in a foreign language, using an unknown app, from a warzone or temporary refuge, and with likely few if any documents to hand) they have to book a VAC appointment for help. And those are rarer than snowflakes in hell.
The application form is long and complicated.
Assuming they're able to complete it, and submit their documents AND copies of their sponsor's documents, a waiting game begins.
Ukrainian refugees are explicitly told not to travel to the UK before permission is granted.
Hey, guess what? There's a fourth (fifth?) party to this noxious quicksand of a process: local councils.
They're required to conduct extensive checks on refugees, so that's another time suck and another pinch point where things can get messier.
So for a refugee to successfully get paired with a sponsor, they have to find each other's names (UK Government won't help), then each complete applications, then share docs, then get vetted, then wait and hope. Maybe with an optional side of VAC skullduggery too.
Mad. Mad. Mad.
Meanwhile, there's a backlog of over 40,000 applications to the family visa route, because that also involves more steps than getting nuclear fusion to work.
Every other country just says "come in". Every other country.
The Tories have brought international shame to the UK.
When you think about it, that's the most sickening part of this whole stomach-churning process: the false hope.
We all have eyes and televisions. We know all too well what Ukrainians are facing.
And yet we have a scheme that sees tens (soon hundreds) of thousands wait and wait.
One more thing...
That's a heck of a lot of data being collected, don't you think?
What will happen to it?
Here's a link to the privacy policy. It's 2,332 words long.
On your way out, why not take a closer look at how the process works in practice, from someone who has been grappling with it today... It is, if anything, grimmer than my potted summary above.
Added: just spotted that it's one complex, time-consuming application per person. So if you're taking in 3 people, that's 3 lots of applications... homesforukraine.campaign.gov.uk
More lunacy...
One of the parties has to trust the other with highly sensitive documents. If you're unwilling to disclose yours to a stranger, better hope they're willing to show you theirs.
I've read a lot of analyses of possible outcomes of Russia's war on Ukraine, but I've yet to see one where Ukraine wins.
Not a negotiated surrender with concessions, but victory after the Russian army suffers such huge cumulative losses that taking cities becomes impossible.
This feels like a significant omission, because the more military success Ukraine has (it has destroyed over 1,500 Russian tanks, planes, APCs etc. according to verified tallies) the more power it can then concentrate into its next attempts to push Russian forces back and back.
Dynamics seem to favour Ukraine:
It now has more military equipment than on Day 1 of the invasion, because it has captured more material than it lost (though planes/helicopters can't be replaced that way).
It also has massive inflows of extra military hardware from overseas.
It's instructive to look at COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths.
Here's the graph for England. Note that each dataset is plotted on a different scale axis.
You can see that new admissions lag deaths by 2-3 weeks. You can also see the effect of the vaccine, and Omicron.
Hospitalisations are now rising again, sharply.
Therefore the whole of the past history of the vaccine tells us that deaths will too, sadly. Nothing suggests that the virus has suddenly become innocuous.
NOTES
- The underlying data comes from the coronavirus dashboard. All I did was sum it over 7-day periods, and plot it on a graph
- The interpretation is mine alone. You may have your own views.
30 Nov 2021: Attacks Boris Johnson's Brexit deal.
8 Dec 2021: Says Boris Johnson's deal is much much better than remaining in the EU.
30 Dec 2021: Attacks Boris Johnson's deal.
17 Mar 2022: Going to court to prove Boris Johnson's deal's worse than remaining in the EU
To be fair to Ben, a deep perusal of his past tweets suggests that he is broadly right about the lousiness of Boris Johnson's deal, and he accurately identifies its flaws.
But his fundamental starting point that "no-deal" is the most desirable of all outcomes is bonkers.
He also exhibits a lot of the classic hard-Brexiter tropes, for example "The EU needs us a hell of a lot more than we need them".
Events have shown this to be the arrant nonsense those who understood the real power dynamics at play always said it was.
"Telegraph to continue publishing Russian propaganda supplement"
That was in 2014. It's now wiped all traces of it off the Telegraph website, and got it deindexed from the Internet Archive to make very, very sure nobody will find issues of it again... theguardian.com/media/greensla…
Wonder if the £350 will turn out psychologically counterproductive? It may set people along the path of thinking about the real cost (and how much £350 is short of that) who otherwise would have borne it without a grumble. Plus cements ongoing Tory monitoring into the process.