Thread by @kamilkazani

Ukrainian Ministry of Interior reports that a Russian soldier turned his tank over to the Ukrainians. He'll get 10 thousand usd and the opportunity to apply to citizenship. That's great: defection and sabotage among the Russian military should be encouraged and scaled up

1. Increase payouts. They better be offered by rich foreign institutions/people. Slavs don't believe in Slavic financial guarantees

2. Pay for sabotage, destroying equipment

3. Give green corridor to poor warm countries. Life in Ukraine gonna be hard for ex-Russian soldiers

Best of all focus on simple easy acts of sabotage. Turning your tank over is very hard. Destroying a vehicle's engine is simple. Put there wrong oil. Experiment with transmissions - easy ways to destroy it completely and difficult to prove sabotage. Pay for that

Sabotage should be encouraged by:

1) monetary payments
2) corridor to poor warm countries as far as possible

I once had a dialogue in a small Latin American town

- So you're from England...
- I'm actually from Russia
- Yeah, something like that

Great. Perfect place to hide

In addition to that, emigration from Russia should be encouraged. While emigration of oligarchs, etc, is problematic, emigration of regular people is great. Russian agency for electronic communication expects a mass wave of IT emigration in April. It should be encouraged

For this reason I find measures like disabling Russian Visa & Mastercard cards abroad but not within Russia counterproductive. Russians can't use it abroad. So many can't leave as a result and stay home where they can use them. That's stupid. It should be the other way around

Give green corridor to surrendering soldiers. Give green corridor to whomever who's not a part of ruling security-oligarch class to leave Russia. Russia's aging and depopulating. Youngsters are its major bottleneck. Every young male who left is one less male to draft

One thing to understand about Russian soldiers. I watched many videos with captured conscripts. Countryside, small towns, provincial cities. For the entire time I saw 1 (one) from Moscow. It's the army of the poor. They can be bought very cheaply if you just try

Ideas with giving green cards and EU residence permits are not bad. Anecdotally: in a provincial Russian office they discussed mobilisation and wanted to ascertain - is it true that you can get Lithuanian residence just for surrender? Many potential draftees are already wondering

You can't organise a refuge in the West quickly. It's procedural & needs time. Meanwhile to sabotage Russian capacity, green corridor should be given ASAP, better this week. If you pay for sabotage, active hustlers can easily earn cash to start a new life in Colombia or Argentina

Army is an industry. And industrial processes rely on trust. They work because almost no one of those involved is actively trying to disrupt them. 1% of active hustlers trying to enrich via sabotage will be enough to decrease fighting capacity significantly. 3% will destroy it

Cooperation with Russian soldiers can be organised very easily. But it can't be done via moral preaching, only through incentives and leverage. Incentivize them financially and offer green corridor to the warm countries where their payouts will have big purchasing power. End of🧵