Today's #SpringStatement comes as households face a prolonged period of high inflation. The OBR has more than doubled its forecast for inflation in Q4 2022 to 8.7% – the highest in 40 years. This means pay packets will continue to shrink, along with vital income support like UC. 
As the chart below makes clear, real household disposable income per person – a key measure of living standards – is forecast to fall faster in 2022-23 than in any other financial year on record (back to 1956-57) even after measures announced in the Spring Statement.
The impact of inflation on day-to-day public spending is lower than expected due to the source of inflation being largely imported. Overall spending is expected to be around £5.6 billion smaller in real terms in 2026-27 than expected in autumn
Higher inflation has also had a minimal impact on the size of the increases in day-to-day spending on health, shaving £2 bn off the rise in the DHSC budget this coming year, but should inflation become more ingrained in the domestic economy this cut grow in size.
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