The #SpringStatement is a shocking betrayal of millions of households in the UK who need urgent support. @RishiSunak had an opportunity to help families via a windfall tax on extraordinary oil & gas profits, & failing to seize that is morally and intellectually indefensible.
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UK oil & gas cos are awash with cash. They're expected to enjoy the highest cash flows this year *since North Sea drilling began in the 70s*. They're also benefiting from a fiscal regime that has the lowest govt tax take in the world & the highest rate of return for investors.
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Sunak says he’s choosing not to impose a windfall tax because he wants to encourage investment in new UK production. But even with the incredibly generous fiscal regime we've had in place, inc 100% tax relief for new projects, there's little appetite for boosting production.
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Of 200 North Sea licences issued in the past 8 years, only 5 now have fields producing oil or gas. There's no getting around the fact that the NS basin is old and geologically complex, and companies will make decisions in their commercial interest--not in the public interest
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But it's even more irrational than that because more production (the majority of which will be exported) won't help people with rising bills, as the govt acknowledges, which is the real catastrophe we're facing.
What's the point of having more oil & gas if we can't afford it?
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The reality is that oil and gas companies are taking these windfall profits and handing billions to shareholders. There is no quid pro quo with the oil and gas industry, @RishiSunak. Time to get your priorities straight.
/END
And for anyone buying the line that oil & gas companies need to hold on to their profits so that they can accelerate their transition to renewables, here's a thread I prepared earlier:
First Shell, now BP reveals the profits it's made from soaring gas prices. BP raked in £9.5 billion in profits last year, while people in the UK are forgoing meals to heat their homes.
BP says it needs all of this money to "accelerate the greening" of BP. Really?
THREAD 🧵
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BP has promised for years that it's ‘greening’ its operations. In reality, its investment in renewables (as a share of capital expenditure) declined from 5.6% in 2018 to 2.6% in 2019, according to the industry lobby group OGUK.
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And while BP will point to recent investment in UK wind, its big prospect in the North Sea is a huge oil field, Clair South, from which it plans to extract nearly 300m barrels of oil. This isn’t oil to meet local energy demand. 80% of North Sea oil is exported.
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Rishi Sunak just got the analysis of the causes of the energy price crisis right (i.e. our dependency on gas) but then proposed that the solution is more support for North Sea oil and gas companies.
This is deeply misjudged in so many ways. Let's count them! THREAD 🧵
1/ Gas is globally traded which means that increasing domestic production won't lower our bills. Prices here are determined by demand and supply dynamics all over the region/world, and North Sea oil & gas companies will sell their product to the highest bidder.
E.g. in September 2021 when gas prices were soaring in the UK, North Sea oil & gas companies exported a record amount of gas to Belgium where they could get a higher price. These are private companies acting in their own short-term interest--they're not here to help UK families!
As Shell and its shareholders enjoy a "momentous year" of profits, families all over the UK are dealing with unbearable pressure as their energy bills soar.
To put Shell's profits in context: they are enough to basically cover the energy bill rise facing every family in the UK (Shell's profits: £12bn. If the price cap goes up by £570 today for 22m households: £12.5bn).
And yet the UK Govt is still bending over backwards for Shell
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That includes unbelievably generous tax treatment, e.g. the UK is the only country in the world in which Shell operates in which it didn't pay tax in 2020. In fact we paid Shell almost £100 million in rebates (all while Shell was laying off workers in the UK)
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I know I've already said it, but this is genuinely HUGE NEWS and shows that the writing is on the wall for new oil and gas developments in the UK, starting with #Cambo. These developments can't be defended on climate OR economic grounds.
There's no room for new oil and gas developments in a liveable climate and a world where we limit warming to 1.5°C. The science couldn't be clearer. The International Energy Agency has said it, the UN has said it, @PriceofOil and others have been saying it for years.
The economics of these projects are also hopeless. The vast majority of oil and gas reserves will be stranded assets in a 1.5°C world. @CarbonBubble and others have put that beyond doubt.
It’s (way past) time to scrutinise claims that oil from the #Cambo oil field will be used to meet domestic energy demand in the UK.
In short, it is overwhelmingly likely to be exported.
THREAD 🛢️🧵👇
Oil from Cambo is a heavy crude--sticky gloopy stuff--that's in v low demand. It's not high grade which is partly why it's taken 20+ yrs for the licence-holders to extract it. UK refineries don't buy a lot of Cambo-type oil & aren't set up to turn large amounts into anything...
...domestically useful. BUT let's be generous and assume that Cambo has the same chance as any other domestically-extracted oil of ending up in the UK supply chain.
Good morning! For those who remain unmoved by the decision yesterday against Shell because Shell can & almost certainly will appeal, I have a great story for you about how that worked out for the Dutch govt when it appealed in @urgenda's climate case... ft.com/content/340501…
Spoiler: it ended with emphatic judgments in the Hague Court of Appeal & Supreme Court upholding & expanding on earlier judgments, providing even more great fodder for those of us working to hold big polluters accountable for the climate crisis
Also, regardless of what happens next in court, the consequences of this case for the fossil fuel industry will be systemic and immediate. It will inspire other cases around the world, just as @urgenda did, & escalate the perception of risk among investors, ⬆️ cost of capital...