Children born today will struggle on a ruined 2°C Earth by the time they're teenagers if the high emissions spurred by our current economic growth system continue much longer. 🧵
1. We can expect 1.91- 2.1°C as a trend by 2035-2041 (or a one off with trend soon after) with economic growth.
A billion children are already suffering poverty/abrupt climate change.
2°C may hit by 2030-2034 when children born today will be 7- 12 years old.
System change now.
A billion children are already suffering poverty/abrupt climate change.
2°C may hit by 2030-2034 when children born today will be 7- 12 years old.
System change now.
2. '1 billion children – nearly half the world's 2.2 billion children – live in one of the 33 countries classified as “extremely high-risk”... figures likely to get worse as the impacts of climate change accelerate'
Where are the system change headlines?unicef.org/press-releases…
Where are the system change headlines?unicef.org/press-releases…
3. We must protect species and everyone.
Economic growth is driving us ever deeper into mass extinction. Abrupt climate change, yes, but also deforestation, logging, road-building, mining, deep sea trawling, pesticides, plastic pollution, etc, etc
Thread:
Economic growth is driving us ever deeper into mass extinction. Abrupt climate change, yes, but also deforestation, logging, road-building, mining, deep sea trawling, pesticides, plastic pollution, etc, etc
Thread:
https://twitter.com/ClimateBen/status/1506189727271112704?t=utWp4l0nCg0PsyMr5edfjw&s=19
4a. 'The 2C threshold will likely be exceeded between 2034 and 2052 in the highest emissions scenario'.
Emissions are rising to record levels. carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-…
Emissions are rising to record levels. carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-…
4b. The world is likely to pass 2C between 2032 and 2053 in the very high emissions SSP5-8.5 scenario.
(modest-mitigation SSP2-4.5 scenario, 2037 to 2084; high emissions SSP3-7.0 scenario, 2035-2062)
From 2021 : carbonbrief.org/analysis-what-…
(modest-mitigation SSP2-4.5 scenario, 2037 to 2084; high emissions SSP3-7.0 scenario, 2035-2062)
From 2021 : carbonbrief.org/analysis-what-…
4c.
Latest climate models show 2030 as the earliest possible year for a 2C trend. This seems incredibly soon, and may very likely not occur, however, we could be over 1.9C by 2030 at the top end of the range for very high emissions according to the IPCC.
Latest climate models show 2030 as the earliest possible year for a 2C trend. This seems incredibly soon, and may very likely not occur, however, we could be over 1.9C by 2030 at the top end of the range for very high emissions according to the IPCC.
https://twitter.com/ClimateBen/status/1469711590438092808?t=M71W7lQ_vaEN6f4eSQxQ_Q&s=19
4d. 'The world is expected to pass 2C in emissions scenarios that do not feature strong near-term mitigation with a best-estimate of between the early 2040s and the early 2050s'.
Even low emissions scenarios may mean 2C by the 2030s/40s/50s.
Degrowth now.carbonbrief.org/analysis-what-…
Even low emissions scenarios may mean 2C by the 2030s/40s/50s.
Degrowth now.carbonbrief.org/analysis-what-…
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