Dmitry Medvedev just announced the death of the unipolar world order and clarified Russia's conditions for nuclear weapons use. Some details and context /1
Medvedev claimed Russia's war with Ukraine had killed the unipolar order, and hailed the strength of the emerging Russia-China-India bloc
This decision mirrored his rhetoric as president during the 2008 Georgian War, which he viewed as a step towards multipolarity /2
Medvedev also decried Russia-West tensions as worse than the Cold War
Medvedev noted that the US did not try to impose individual sanctions on Soviet leaders, such as Leonid Brezhnev, and that avenues for dialogue were even more narrow /3
Despite this, Medvedev appeared to decry Russia's expulsion from Europe, claiming that anti-Russian EU countries do not have a "monopoly on Europeanness"
Medvedev hinted earlier that Russia might restore the death penalty now that it was out of the Council of Europe /4
Medvedev stated 2 conditions for a nuclear strike: an attack on Russia or an attack that paralyzed Russia's nuclear infrastructure
Given the "existential threat" narratives emanating from others in the Kremlin, this might not reassure many /5
Medvedev predicted the 1998 ruble crisis would not happen again as Russia learnt from the 2008 crisis
Medvedev reassured investors that Western companies would not be nationalized, and said Western companies privately discussed returning to Russia's market /6
Medvedev also praised public support for the war in Ukraine, claiming it topped 75% and Putin's approval rating was higher
Medvedev also stated that Russian businesses and by implication, oligarchs, could not moderate or change Putin's direction on the war /7
Medvedev's message is that Russia is not isolated. Instead, it has expedited a multipolar order to respond to US aggression and European exclusion.
This message has resonated before in Russia and might do so again, in spite of mounting economic costs /end
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Oleg Deripaska, a key Putin oligarch ally, posted a scathing anti-war commentary on Telegram
It also ripped into Joe Biden's Warsaw speech. Some more details /1
Deripaska accused Biden of falsely framing the Ukraine war as a conflict between NATO and Russian oligarchs
He sarcastically asks, "apparently they planned it. Who? Potanin with Yevtushenkov"
This builds on Medvedev's recent comments that oligarchs did not influence Putin /2
Deripaska described the war as "madness" and said "we will be ashamed for a long time before our descendants"
He also stated that Russia and Ukraine, and the West by proxy, extinguished their hope of diplomacy, and instead created a "hellish ideological mobilization" /3
Dmitry Medvedev's latest commentary on Telegram provides a chilling and revealing depiction how the Kremlin views the United States and US policy towards Russia. Some more details /1
Medvedev attributes the current crisis in US-Russia relations to poor US strategic thinking after World War II
As America was flush with money, vassals and weapons, it engaged in senseless devastating wars /2
Medvedev attributes this short-termism to Americans' general lack of concern about the future, aside from personal plans and incomes.
He recounts an exchange with a US diplomat in the Middle East, who said "But we don't think so far. Too long!" when speaking about a crisis /3
Sergei Rudskoi from the Russian Armed Forces just released a potentially transformative statement about Russia's objectives in Ukraine. Some more details /1
Rudskoi defined the mission in Ukraine to be the "liberation of Donbas" rather than "demilitarization and denazification"
This aligns with Russia's recent focus on military efforts in eastern Ukraine and suggests that Russia has temporarily shelved its goal of regime change /2
According to Rudskoi, the "liberation of Donbas" is going well
The Luhansk People's Republic controls 93% of Luhansk, while the Donetsk People's Republic controls 54% of Donetsk
Russia also just created a land bridge between Crimea and Donetsk /3
Russia's fixation on US biological weapons facilities in Ukraine has sparked fears that Russia could use WMDs.
The Kremlin is also using the biological weapons threat to rally Russians around the war in Ukraine. Some more details /1
The Kremlin is framing US biolabs as an existential danger to Russia's security.
This reinforces the existential struggle narratives advanced by Putin's chief negotiator Vladimir Medinsky and Sergei Lavrov, who described the war in Ukraine as a "hybrid, total war" /2
Russia links its efforts to destroy US bioweapons to Pan-Slavism
Leonid Slutsky warned that US bioweapons in Ukraine targeted the "Slavic genotype."
The coincidence between this rhetoric and the anniversary of NATO's bombing of Serbia, which fuelled Pan-Slavism is striking /3