Ming Zhao Profile picture
Apr 1 13 tweets 5 min read
🚀 DeFi Growth Hacking 🚀
10 Steps To Increase Liquidity & Moon those Multiples
👇

🧵/
1/ Reward & encourage WASH TRADING
(树上开花 part 1)

Start off by paying all your users more wash-trading rewards than what they bleed out in trading fees:

e.g. Let ‘em buy at 40K, sell at 39.9K, get +0.2K rewards… buy at 40K, sell at 39.9K, get +0.2K rewards… Repeat.
When the masses catch on, now you switch up the game:
only half ur users gain more in rewards than they bleed.

By the next trading epoch the bottom half'll be competing tooth & nail trading even more to get to the top.

Voila!
Sit back & watch ur `volume per user` count 📈📈
2/ Build your own army of imaginary traders
(树上开花 part 2)

Organic user acquisition too hard? Why bother. Just make 1000 imaginary frens with 1000 unique wallets and press TRADE.

Top 3 benefits:
- 100% delta-hedged
- transaction fees = profit
- infinitely scalable
3/ Build your own imaginary pools of liquidity
(无中生有)

Bootstrapping an AMM pool got too hard so just build a vAMM instead!

Why compete with Uniswap when u can just set K = 69696969. 👈👈 Some hella *deep* pool right here.
4/ Make some arbitrage for others to take ... if you can afford it 🍗

Every time your price matches the rest of the market’s just have a trustworthy fren (see #2) stir up some trouble and move your price off the mark.

Some speedy whale is bound to come in & chew through xy=k.
5/ Dilute old users to acquire new users
(李代桃僵)

Always rug the old.

See, new users have 100% lifetime value left in them whereas old users u already milked some, maybe even most, of their value.

#airdrops !!!
6/ Call everything by its opposite name, to confuse
(混水摸魚)

What is impermanent loss?
Well it’s a lotta things, but impermanent ain’t one.

Hot tip: confused users are great users.
7/ Finger-trap users so they can’t get out after getting in
(上屋抽梯)

Learn from the pros:
(1) Olympus DAO
(2) Bitclout
(3) Perpetual protocol

Ok so technically there’s one way to get out:
twiddle-dumb needs to convince twiddle-dumber to take his place.
8/ Get a hot but otherwise useless head of thirst trapping imeanmarketing
(美人計)
9/ Release an NFT that has nothing to do with your Dex but SEIZE THE HYPE TRAIN while it lasts
(顺手牵羊)
10/ Definitely do NOT let your VCs know you are using these strategies
(瞒天过海)

... unless they appreciate the meta game...

... but they all invested in so many competitors!

Chivalry ded in metaverse 😡🗯️

Never leak ur alpha!
End/

Happy April Fools frenz!
U can read the full article on @DeribitInsights:

insights.deribit.com/market-researc…

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More from @FabiusMercurius

Apr 2
FACTOR-BASED INVESTING

#1 Worst mistake beginner traders make: they look at returns instead of *risk-adjusted returns* (starting in a bull market).

Only by understanding the the underlying factors of your portfolio can you ensure *sustainable* returns, in bull or bear.
👇

🧵/ Image
1/ What are "factors"?

Factors are any technical, fundamental, or macroeconomic driver behind a security’s risk and returns.

The 5 most common factors (i.e. a mental model that quants have popularized among themselves):

- Value
- Momentum
- Size
- Quality
- Volatility
2/ What is 'Value'

Value is the level of undervalued-ness of a stock relative to the rest of the market (think Warren Buffett looking for “cheap” stocks).

e.g. After AMPL reported its first earnings post-IPO, stock dropped 60% in 1 day... is it overly-beaten-down now?
Read 13 tweets
Mar 27
Demystify & Optimize Your (Crypto) Taxes 101

Want tax savings tips?
Here are 5 threads to help you figure it out, fren.
👇
🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵
1/ Tax rules & tips broken down by:
- DeFi lending
- DeFi token appreciation
- airdrops
- NFTs
- mining
- tax loss harvesting

+ more @danheld

2/ Crypto Taxes 101:
An overview on the basics of what you should know before you even try to optimize.

+ more @CoinLedger

Read 7 tweets
Mar 26
Optimal Trade Sizing

Once upon a time I had a friend, Chad.
Chad was great at stock-picking: 69% winners!

I copied all his trades but chose my own position sizes.
His PnL: 420%
My PnL: -5%

Wut happened?
👇
KELLY CRITERION: A SIMPLE STRATEGY TO MAXIMIZE RETURNS VIA BET SIZE
🧵
1/ What is the Kelly Criterion?

To explain, let's play a game.
We bet on a fair coin.
Heads: u win 51% of ur wager
Tails: u lose 49%.

Now:
How much of ur net worth do u bet on the next toss?

Is it better to bet $69 4200 times or $4200 69 times?
Why should this even matter??
Intuitively, u might be thinking, "Hm, 51-49 odds... that's positive expected value! Why not go all-in & put 100% of my net worth into such an asymmetric trade?!"

Unfortunately, this won't end well.

Assume u start with $10K. Ur almost guaranteed to go broke before 20 trades.
Read 16 tweets
Mar 12
🧵12 Threads for Learning to Trade Options🧵

Stop wasting ur time and money on 600-page textbooks & 2 yrs of MBA.

The BEST RESOURCES on options trading come from actual pro traders, many of them right here!

A syllabus of 12 threads/pods/blogs to grow your knowledge & PnL:
👇
2/ Options "Real Talk"
(i.e. when and why to trade options)

from: @KrisAbdelmessih

moontowermeta.com/real-talk-on-o…
Read 13 tweets
Mar 5
10 Investing Books That Changed My Life & PnL

Here's how I learned to understand markets.

Start by learning the trading strategies & decision-making building blocks of:
- macro
- value
- quant
- high frequency

The market is literally the sum of their actions.
🧵
👇
1/ The Alchemy of Finance
by @georgesoros

-- MACRO --

Here you'll learn:
- how markets constantly reshape based on changing expectations, i.e. the natural disequilibrium that drives price action
- Soros's mental model for mapping world events
2/ The Changing World Order
by @RayDalio

-- MACRO --

Here you'll learn:
- a crash course on macroeconomics
- why American life is the way it is today (because of USD reserve status) and whether/how long that will last
- Dalio's mental model for mapping the lifecycle of nations
Read 11 tweets
Feb 26
Why Ukraine's Crisis is Killing Your Portfolio:
Explained in 4 Pictures

🧵/
👇
1/ Fed & Inflation Fears

Russia supplies 1/3 of EU gas.
66% of it passes via Ukraine.

What's the tie to inflation?
Russia cuts off energy to EU🔜prices skyrocket in EU🔜 arbitrage traders spread contagion to US energy markets (where gas is 7.5% of CPI)🔜hawkish pressure on Fed.
Russia & Ukraine also supply 25% of global wheat exports.
Meanwhile global warming/droughts add fuel to the fire.

Affect on inflation, Fed & stocks:
Russia cuts off grain supply🔜prices skyrocket🔜 Chicago wheat futures now at 9Y high🔜 MORE hawkish pressure on Fed🔜stocks tank.
Read 9 tweets

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