Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Apr 9, 2022 β€’ 10 tweets β€’ 6 min read β€’ Read on X
Likely not alone.

PLAAF πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Y-20A 20049 #7A4287 landed at Baku, Azerbaijan as well 3 hours ago.
Currently 3:45AM, Serbia time.

For no reason in particular.
PLAAF πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Y-20A 20042 #7A4282 approaching Istanbul. Following earlier Y-20A 20045 #7A4285
Next in line is PLAAF πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Y-20A 20049 #7A4287
Another coming up over Samsun, Turkey.

PLAAF πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Y-20A 20041 #7A4281

Makes 4 so far. Expecting more.
5th PLAAF πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Y-20A... 20047 #7A427F
(h/t @StephenNicoud via @ameliairheart)
So, some thoughts:

Based on open-source info, there are 34 known PLAAF Y-20As (including at least 1 Y-20U tanker).

This constitutes about 15% of their Y-20 active fleet.

As you might have heard, China is going through COVID lockdowns again. Possibly related.
Y-20A number six.

Recap:
The following six PLAAF πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Y-20As have been seen heading for Serbia:

20041 #7A4281
20042 #7A4282
20045 #7A4285
20047 #7A427F
20049 #7A4287
20142 #7A428A
Despite being on Mode-S, indications are the PLAAF πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Y-20s landed (are landing) at Batajnica Airbase, πŸ‡·πŸ‡Έ Serbia.
(@ADSBexchange)
@ADSBexchange Before anyone cries havoc about there being this many PLA Air Force transports in Europe's backyard, know this: not only did Serbia give the green light for this op, but Bulgaria and Turkey each gave the approval for entering their airspace.

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More from @vcdgf555

Oct 26, 2024
Thread. Israel Strikes Back.

"It seems that the Islam Shahr missile factory has been completely destroyed." Per source.

1/
"Israeli Army Radio, citing a military source: The attack against #Ψ₯ΩŠΨ±Ψ§Ω† is in its early stages." Per Al-Jazeera.

2/

NBC News, quoting Israeli official: Oil and Nuclear facilities have NOT been hit.

3/
Read 31 tweets
Sep 23, 2024
Key points:
64.8% of the warehouses of Toropets Northeast are gone. By destroyed, most are mere craters now.

The 24.5% of warehouses damaged but still relatively intact will need to be rebuilt, many from the ground up and are likely unsafe to use.

1/
The remaining bunker/warehouses still operable are surrounded by twisted ruins with doubtful electricity, infrastructure and rail (likely crippled post-attack).

Will Russia rebuild? Likely. They've shown stubborness to. But we are talking years to return to prior condition.
2/
The arsenal was one of 13 state arsenals meant for rennovation to meet "the world's highest standards," per then Deputy Defense Minister General of the Army Dmitry Bulgakov. Toropets Northeast was supposed to be hardened against even a nuclear attack.


3/
Read 6 tweets
Aug 27, 2024
🧡What I remember most about learning of the attack was how everything that'd been a slow grueling grind of expediting info & processing for several weeks came to an abrupt halt. Those trying to get out of the city had to go elsewhere.

It was a cruel end to a horrible month.
1/
I had felt that with so many people and US troops in one place that it was risky; something could happen. One last ISIS-K or Taliban punch. Anything.

At least 182 people - Afghans, Americans, Brits - died. God knows how were maimed.

2/
I'd been helping with a project that had a hard deadline; the attack moved it up. I went back to work, probably out of futility, in case there was an opening. I think many still stuck in Kabul ended up trying for the borders, by road. By foot. The DMs were frantic. Desperate.
3/
Read 4 tweets
Aug 25, 2024
Ben Gurion airport, no landings or departures.

2/
Sounds like Israeli Air Force is going to the mat.

3/
Read 31 tweets
Jul 25, 2024
The fire has reached and engulfed the Maligne Lodge on the SW side of town. Word that the Petro-Canada is a loss as well.
Image
Image
Pictured shared by @tiredinAB which appears to be geolocated to a boat dock at Fairmont Jasper Park Lodge showing incredibly high flames toward the south of town.

3/

Image
Image
Read 17 tweets

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