It's hard to present evidence but in the light of US-PAK relations history and how it works my speculative assumption is that US threatened Pakistan in October post CIA director William visit in September. 👇📖 
https://twitter.com/XULQIMOON/status/1512298021287047169
Threat was of dire consequences for our role in Afghanistan as basis for it to be sanctioned. It came when CIA pushed for Counter Terrorism cooperation and base in Pakistan for post Afghan Withdrawal. Earlier in August Secretary Defence had called before Kabul fell.
https://twitter.com/SecDef/status/1424847072856002564?t=xOSuGDEu8JPVDC3y_X2roA&s=19Post withdrawal given all the backlash of media reporting on Afghan failure on Biden administration it really wanted to scapegoat Pakistan. 👇
Let's be clear US knows the center of power in Pakistan is GHQ and not PM house. They pushed Military to cooperate or else face the music. Military said PM will never agree for base and PM didn't meet the CIA director in September. 👇
US is a super power and it won't take #AbsolutelyNot for an answer. If they let it go then other countries will start resisting too. Pakistan is at a strategically vital location given it's neighbors. US wants to keep it under it's influence at all times not just for Afghanistan
So when COAS was communicated that it's either your PM ( One man) or US-PAK relationship. Choose one. We will ease things for Pakistan or make them really hard. The choice COAS took is what led us to where we are today.
https://twitter.com/XULQIMOON/status/1512327768327041024?t=XVZ3JxETkkWesHcfqUXt0w&s=19COAS didn't want to orchestrate anything himself against government so he let US do it and he just looked the other way playing neutral like he isn't aware of anything fishy going on.
https://twitter.com/warwounded__/status/1512000849777725443?t=XVZ3JxETkkWesHcfqUXt0w&s=19so our intelligence agencies were told to ignore all the activities of US in Pakistan. While all this was happening. Stage was set by US for VONC. A democratic ouster. No suspicion on Army or US.
Everything was going smooth as per US plan. COAS also was on board for Russia visit but US made it an issue as expected to use it as justification against Khan when all stage was already set for VONC.
So the question that bothers me the most is, Why did US Donald Lu to communicate it if all was already going as per plan since October onwards ? A question worth millions of dollars because the devil is in the details.
Why would US jeopardize it's own regime change Operation by communicating a threat through diplomatic means ? Only & Only one reason. So PM makes the grave mistake of either making it public or sacks Army Chief making the Civil-Military one page 📄 relationship over forever.
US has always exploited a civil military rift throughout our history and pitched us against each other to make most out of our political and economic instability to keep us subservient. For past few years it wasn't able to do it and Afghanistan fall left a bitter taste. 👇
https://twitter.com/DeptofDefense/status/1432492782837501956?t=u0HMOFwO0-pjdHTVaqpYDg&s=19US wasn't going to lose a Trillion dollar spent decades long investment in Afghanistan for it's strategic interests with no fallout on Pakistan.
Hence the Donald Lu threat was a ploy so Pakistan government finds out that US did it with Pakistan Army enabling it. So a forever trust of public in institution gets broken. Long term gain for US. IK gets ousted. Rift gets deep and Army gets maligned with US stooges in power.
All in all US comes out as net beneficiary out of all this fiasco while we fight among each other and our country suffers.
Correct map guys. Sorry for my blunder. I sincerely apologize. Too sleepy 😴
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