This rush to villainize fossil fuel as though it's not *our* fault we did this, it's that bad old fossil fuel that did it.
If not for the evil of fossil fuels and their corporate sources, we would miraculously by now have carbon free energy enough to piss away on our every whim.
2. I find it offensive. Seriously. We have all the facts staring us in the face.
Lawrence Livermore National Labs does this analysis annually.
This thing is way more important than the new #IPCCReport Image
3. The boxes on the left margin are sources of the energy we use, real numbers, hard science.
The pink boxes on the right are categories of activities. How much energy, and from whence it came, is in each box.
The orange box in the top middle is a conversion point, where other Image
4. Prior sources of energy are converted to electricity and where that goes.
All the gray parts are energy lost in the various processes. Under the laws of thermodynamics no process can be 100% energy efficient. None are even close in the real world. Image
5. Up there at the top of the left hand column are the non-fossil direct sources of energy, with nuclear the largest, producing about 8½ percent of the total input energy.
Next comes wind, at 2¾%, then hydro, big dams, at about 2½.
The pink boxes are where all the lines end. Image
One hundred percent, all, of the energy we produce and consume, what I refer to as throughput, is to power those activities.
Almost 30% of the total energy is used for transportation.
This is US only, not global.
Slightly less of our energy goes into industry than transportation Image
7. So transportation and industry, those two classes of activities, consume over half the fossil fuels.
You want to halt fossil fuel use?
Which of those two pink boxes to you choose to shrink?
That's over half your fossil fuels.
That chart is all the energy we are capable
8. Of bringing to bear on our activities. There is no magic spigot we can turn on to take the place of the well over a third of our total energy throughput annually.
And don't even *think* electric. You see the big orange box? That's where a vast quantity of fossil fuels are run Image
through heat engines, which are between ⅔ and ¾ energy loss transactions -
Fossil Fuels.
Which pink box do you want to shrink, and how much?
That's where the fossil fuels went. Into the pink boxes.
Our homes barely break 10% of the total.
We can turn down this and turn off that Image
10. we've got all these people screaming INSULATION and - if we just quit heating and lighting our homes *at all* we'd still have 89% of our current fossil fuel demand.
Transportation and manufacturing.
So what are we doing?
We're building new highways and manufacturing renoobles
11. I've been screaming SLOW DOWN for years, and it's like this giant nationwide yawn 🥱
That's almost ⅓ of our total fossil fuel use, y'all.
Slowing would reduce it.
This is physics. It is incontrovertible.
A nationwide 30 mph speed limit would make *a big* difference in fossil
12. fuel use.
I find it offensive that people whose credentials and employment proclaim them to be Scientists with a capital S, screaming about fossil fuels.
We. Know. Where. It. Goes.
Pick. The. One. To. Shrink.
I've been voting for the speed one for years. Ignore me. Pick one.
13. The pink boxes are everything. They're where the fossil fuels go. The only way to keep the fossil fuels from going is to turn down or off some specific demand.
Shrink the pink boxes.
Or STFU. Image
14. Electrify everything.
OK, Orange box. Right now we're using 100% of the output electricity from the aggregate of fossil and other inputs to the left of the orange box.
All the new electric cars go on the orange line coming out.
It is what all the fossil fuel turned into. Image
15. Of the available new sources of energy to feed into the orange box - energy is the original zero sum game, TANSTAAFL. You want more out, put more in.
It's a tossup between natural methane and coal which power more new electric plants over the next few years. Renoobles ain't. Image
15. Presumably we're going to transfer the entire transportation pink box - well, theoretically (in somebody's dreams) *all* the pink boxes
Are going to get *all* their input energy out of the orange output line from the orange box.
The pink boxes, we are assured, will never have Image
16. to shrink, nay, indeed they can all grow forever, out of the magic carbon-free Pure Clean Energy flowing out of the orange box, and in this dream, all the pretty colored boxes on the left are magically gone, Image
17. and the trickle of warm piss coming out of purple box, and the yellow box, will through an act of Technological Prowess grow to provide all the power, going into all the pink boxes, all the Power, all the Sacred Technology, Image
17. That trickle will expand to replace the Sacred Green, the Mordor Black, the sky blue - the light green is a net loss and only in there for Grassley - all that wonderful, colorful Energy, to power all the pink boxes - and no fossil fuels. Image
18. There is never a time when someone says, "I think I'd like to use some fossil fuel today. How can I do that?"
There is one, and only one, route, or technology, or system, or step, whatever you want to call it - there is one and only one way to reduce fossil fuel use today:
19. Start at the pink boxes. Observe each box and say, "How can I accomplish the things which we need accomplished, within this box, on less energy?
In almost all cases the answer will be, slow one or more processes.
It's either that or find processes we can entirely halt. Image
20. As far as I can see no credentialed climate professional who is willing to get arrested for protesting fossil fuels is willing to host a public discussion on means to attain his/her stated goal of reduced fossil fuel now today.
21. We know where it's going. Which action shall we shrink?
We are not, scientists notwithstanding, going to repeal the laws of thermodynamics no matter how inconvenient they may be.
My box to shrink is transportation. What's yours? Image

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More from @JeffAndDonkeys

Apr 11
A day in the life.
My daughter Hannah got here around 10:00, 10:30, and we started gathering up donkeys, harness, and tack.
By 11:30 we had everything in the trailer and truck. Missy and Clara, the work cart, three pitchforks, two garden forks, two garden rakes, harness, collars,
2. lines, currycomb, hoof pick, hay nets with hay in them.
We were going fifty miles to help another agro-forestry farm with a major planting.
All told they have 500 plants, but over half are elderberry cuttings, so that's poke, poke, poke.
Today my girls, Hannah, and I planted
3. ten pawpaws, about 14 or 15 pecans, infilling into a planting they had already done, and 20 chestnuts.
Up where the elderberry cuttings are going they're laying plastic mulch fabric and covering it with wood chip mulch, inoculated with edible mushroom spores. Hannah helped
Read 30 tweets
Apr 8
There was an article going around yesterday - I retweeted it, but I pour out such a quantity of BS that I can't find it now - about the various indicators that the current social organization worldwide, what we modestly think of as civilization, is currently collapsing and will
2. Continue to collapse, that this process is inevitable, has gone on as long as we can find memories of our forebears, and is not going to stop on our account.
The author is right.
The current system / organization is coming unwound, there are physical reasons why we can't stop
3. And what I suppose one might call human or even biological nature, to go faster and faster until the machine flies all to flinders.
Pieces are falling off everywhere you look. It's not some future event; we're halfway down the stairs and accelerating.
It's OK.
Read 10 tweets
Apr 6
Compartmentalization.
We put each thing in its little box.
When it's time to talk about climate we condemn fossil fuels.
When it's time to talk about jobs we praise fossil fuel powered activities.
When we talk about electricity we all agree it is immaculately conceived. Compart.
2. But it doesn't come apart. There is only one reality, one universe, one Earth, one ecosystem, one biosphere, one value system.
We are living by our value system.
When someone says, "People would not give up..." that is an expression of people's values.
3. Since none of us are people, but each of us is a person, I take that to mean, "I would not give up..." and see the rest of humankind as extensions of ourselves and the people we know.
There is another world out there. Our blinding ignorance of it does not move it to nonexist.
Read 19 tweets
Apr 6
A series of seemingly unrelated events have led to a sizeable number of people - well over a hundred, maybe a couple hundred - to "follow" me on Twitter. I prefer to think of people as my readers rather than my followers. I'm a writer, not a guru.
But whatever. Welcome aboard.
2. However. I always view events like this with trepidation, sudden bursts of new readers.
Memory tells me that many, perhaps most, new readers will come to dislike me, and to be offended by my ideas.
That's fair, so far.
Unfortunately, some percentage of them will feel obligated
3. to explain to me in detail my intellectual, moral, and social shortcomings.
I'm aware. I've been me for about ¾ of a century. I am blindingly aware of my flaws.
Therefore, when others point them out to me I immediately block them.
I already know. So far I haven't fixed me. So.
Read 7 tweets
Apr 5
The big new #IPCC report is out.
Bullshit, bullshit, bullshit.
They literally say we need to reduce our emissions BY HALF IN THREE YEARS and everyone (including the motherfucking IPCC) is STILL talking about building renewables.
Yawn.
Yaaaaawwwwnn.
Climate change.
Business as u💥
Seriously.
We are building new highways.
Don't anybody, anywhere, say one word about climate change.
The phrase is meaningless.
If you'll let them build those highways and you aren't screaming bloody murder, just STFU about climate change.
3. You want to fix climate change?
Pay everybody to stay home.
Close all the businesses except food and natural fiber.
Drop the nationwide speed limit to 35.
The president of the United States is just proud as a cat with a dead rat that he's added 35,000 truck driving jobs.
Read 21 tweets
Apr 4
I got in this conversation with this reasonable person, and that got me thinking about this project. My project. The world as I see it.
What I'm doing is, I'm trying to live my vision into reality. One day at a time.
2. I believe that in the not too distant future the fastest transportation available will be a trotting horse.
Not because people all say, oh, goodie, let's drive horses, donkeys, and cattle instead of SUVs and jet airplanes.
I think the energy supply is going to collapse.
3. I don't know how, but likely culprits would be pandemic and war.
Basically the rest of the world thinks that we're going to have all this fast stuff forever.
Obviously, one of us is wrong. Since we're talking about the future here, and the future is inherently unknowable, 🤷
Read 14 tweets

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