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Tyler Black, MD

@tylerblack32

Nov 19

Battling Election Misinformation
Part 2: "The Mandate"

Contrary to media/republican pronouncements, the election of Donald Trump was one of the narrowest (by popular vote, +1.73%) in history, with only 7 elections since 1800 being narrower.

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In fact, if we look at the margin of victory when we include all eligible voters, Trump wins with 31.3% of the voting population, compared to Harris' 30.2% and 1% going to other candidates. 37.4% did not vote.

If we only include voters, Trump wins 50.03% to 49.97%

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When we look at the electoral college results, Trump won 58% of available electoral college votes. This would rank his election 41st out of 57 elections since 1800.

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Read 7 tweets

Tyler Black, MD

@tylerblack32

Nov 15

"[AIDS] is not being caused by a virus. It's not a virus... These people are dying because of 'poppers'... they were people who were part of a gay lifestyle... "

"This is not a viral disease, but it's a disease that is environmental."

- HHS Secretary Nominee RFK Jr

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Chemicals in water are causing trans kids: "A lot of the problems we see in kids... are coming from chemical exposures, including a lot of the sexual dysphoria that we’re seeing."

- HHS Secretary Nominee RFK Jr

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Wifi radiation causes autism, allergies, asthma, eczema: “I think it degrades your mitochondria and it opens your blood-brain barrier,”

- HHS Secretary Nominee RFK Jr

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Read 7 tweets

Tyler Black, MD

@tylerblack32

Nov 7

🧵Battling Antivax Disinfo🧵
Vaccination did NOT increase cancer deaths.

Here I took the 6 deadliest cancers (all 5 survival rates under 50%) in a highly vaccinated population (25-54), and we can see ZERO evidence of vaccine-related cancer deaths, all the way to May 2024.

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If i move ages to 55+, we see the same thing, and we are now looking at a lot of deaths from these extremely aggressive cancers, so this isn't some underpowered stuff here. There is NO evidence that deadly cancers have increased due to vaccination.

None.

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If we take all ages 5+ and look for until May 2024, we see no increase in these highly aggressive cancer deaths, or any cancer deaths.

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Read 8 tweets

Tyler Black, MD

@tylerblack32

Nov 7

The Presidential Election
Data Geekery with my interpretations

1) The Country Shifted, but More Didn't.

The final share will be ~ +1.3 to +1.5% for Trump, which is a shift of ~+5.8%.

If America was a room with 65 people in it, only 2 out of the 65 people switched shirts.

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Note: this math might seem like it doesn't work, but we have to remember to include those that voted 3rd party (1.5%ish) and those that didn't vote (about 35%).

Excluding non-voters who were eligible,
2020: 22/43 D & 20/43 R
2024: 20/42 D & 21/42 R

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In other words, the great majority of the country didn't switch, but we know there was definitely a nudge towards republican vote.

What does this mean?
The narratives about "America changing" should be very cautious, as 93% of America did not change.

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Read 11 tweets

Tyler Black, MD

@tylerblack32

Sep 3

🚨COVID-19 Vaccination saves lives and improves outcomes 🚨

In this UK study of >3 MILLION PEOPLE who vaccinated, the incidence of mental health problems was significantly reduced when a subsequent COVID-19 infection occurred.

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Looking at the totals who were infected with COVID-19, it is clear that COVID-19 diagnosis was associated with a ROBUST increase in mental health problems after the diagnosis.

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This adds to the massive and still growing body of evidence that Covid 19 Vaccination was safe, effective, and extremely important especially considering that after this study, virtually everyone was infetcted with COVID-19.

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Read 5 tweets

Tyler Black, MD

@tylerblack32

Aug 29

Yet another study finding differential impacts (mostly with decrease of symptoms) on the mental health of youth comparing prepandemic to pandemic times.

The media far far far less likely to report on these now common findings.

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jamanetwork.com/journals/jaman…

My colleagues and I talked about this at length, that there were many reasons to be cautious about the early "expert predictions" and in fact when good evidence was considered, many so-called evidence based scientists were wrong: dire outcomes on mental health harder to find.

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Our '23 peer-reviewed commentary here, g despite many professionals who attacked my us for daring to suggest we interpret evidence cautiously rather than childishly reducing issues & acting like sensationalists, I am certain our publciation holds up well.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…

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