Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Apr 19 18 tweets 6 min read
On the night of November 3 2020, TPLF members of the ENDF launched a surprise treacherous attack on their Northern Comman colleagues, attacking many bases simultaneously in the middle of the night killing thousands and taking control of all heavy weapons.
Soon after they launched a barage of missiles at Eritrea.

In counter-offensive, ENDF and Eritrean forces joined forces with regional forces and Fano and retook Mekele. And aid was able to flow to Tigray through till June when the TPLF launched an attack during the election.
After withdrawing from Mekelle The Govt. of Ethiopia declared a unilateral humanitarian ceasefire in the hope that it would be reciprocated to end the war. The TPLF called the ceasefire a sick joke and provided a long list of preconditions to their reciprocaction of a ceasefire.
The International community said little. International media including the @NYTimes praised the TPLF's offensive calling child soldiers deployed in the offensive "enthusiastic" young fighters.
Soon after the TPLF spokesman @reda_getachew tweeted in Amharic saying that TPLF would get "revenge" on the Amhara people. And in mid-july - during the "Solemn Olympic Truce" TPLF launched an offensive on three fronts. In Afar, and in Amhara (Wollo and North Gondar).
They killed, raped, looted and destroyed infrastructure during this offensive including complete destruction of 1000s of health clinics and hospitals. With over 1000 stolen trucks they maintained supply lines, looting aid from UN warehouses and taking other loot to Tigray.
In August they experienced a significant defeat at Debre Tabor which halted their advance for a while. But they continued to occupy much of Northern Amhara.
Few of these events were even acknowledged in the international media nor by diplomats, and aside from statements calling on both sides to stop fighting there was almost nothing said by the Western IC, most notably the UN, US and EU - instead they demanded access for aid.
The war then dragged on through September, October and in November the TPLF launched a new set of treacherous attacks, bribing military commanders and attacking the ENDF from inside towns on the road north of Addis Ababa.
They tried once again to seize the Addis Djibouti highway and railway to try to cut off Addis Ababa from supplies, and failed again. The July attack on Afar - which resulted in the death of 200 in a health center in Galicoma in early August - and blocked the aid corridor...
... was also undertaken for this purpose.

The October November TPLF offensive aganst Addis Ababa received a lot of attention in Western Media with CNN wrongly claiming that the TPLF was on the outskirts of Addis Ababa. Embassies called for the evacuation of foreign citizens.
With the assistance of Turkey, the UAE and Chinese technology and (in December) under the command of PM @AbiyAhmedAli - who personally took control of the army in the field - the ENDF pushed TPLF back into Tigray, though the TPLF claimed that they had withdrawn.
@AbiyAhmedAli But the TPLF did not withdraw for long, or at all. Attacking Afar Dec. 18.

The US Government was hreatening the Ethiopian Govt. with sanctions on 3 fronts - #S3199 was introduced in November, an Exective Order was signed in September, and a determination was expectd on AGOA.
@AbiyAhmedAli Sanctions were eventually imposed under AGOA and the other two sanctions measures by the US Govt. continue to hang over Ethiopia.

The Christmas TPLF offensive in Afar has now been underway for over 100 days, and this has been latest reason some aid has not reached Tigray.
@AbiyAhmedAli TPLF has occupied a large area in Northern Afara - Zone 2 - and it is beleived to be occupying it with close to 100,000 troops. The most recent two aid convoys have passed through this occupied area to deliver aid.

100s of 1000s of Afar are displaced and 1000s have died.
... Alll of which is a long way of saying...

When @DrTedros claims that TPLF are the victims in this war of a Govt of Ethiopia blockade/seige - he is lying. There is not a shred of truth in this narrative. TPLF is the aggressor. It started this war and it continues it.
It is long past time that the IC and international media woke up to the reality of what has happened in Northern Ethiopia and starts to come to terms with the ways in which they have enabled this gross injustice, this immense human and humanitarian catastrope.
/ends

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More from @althecat

Apr 19
From February..... but very very relevant today. @DrTedros appears to be on a mission to destroy not just Ethiopia, but himself. At this rate he will succeed.

How the WHO’s Director Will Even Betray the World’s Health for the TPLF by @jeffpropulsion link.medium.com/EhOqipbL5ob
@DrTedros @jeffpropulsion This article from @Reuters says the decision on what to do about Ethiopia's "Note Verbal" complaint about @WHO Director General @DrTedros has been "Postponed".

Maybe today might be a good day for @Reuters to do a follow up as @DrTedros has not stopped. ImageImage
And if anything the partiality is getting significantly worse. @DrTedros started the year complaining about medical supplies not reaching Tigray. Then they did - 10s possibly as much as 100 tonnes were flown in.
Read 18 tweets
Apr 19
The @WHO Director General @DrTedros, a leading figure in the TPLF, a Maoist terrorist group which led a US proxy authoritarian Govt in Ethipia from 1991 to 2018, has some thoughts....

Thread in response.
@WHO @DrTedros Dr Tedros Adhanon has been touring capitals in recent weeks to lobby on behalf of the TPLF, delivering a fictional narrative that the TPLF are the victims of conflict in Ethiopia when in fact they are the cause.
@WHO @DrTedros Recently he was in the United States where - reportedly with the aid of allies including Bill Gates. he met with numerous leading figures in the Govt. including most notably @SpeakerPelosi. He is lobbying for the imposition of legislative sanctions.
Read 8 tweets
Apr 17
North Africa, Ethiopia and Middle East long range rainfall forecast bulletin:

The interaction between the two greatest Equatorial forests is having a massive impact on weather (see quoted thread for more).
This bulletin begins with a look at Ethiopia where rains over the #HornOfAfrica have been steadily building in April (img: today). A strong big rainy season is indicated by this, notwithstanding a strong La Nina which is typically associated with droughts (see quoted thread ^^).
We can see a glimpse of the GERD today - Easter Sunday in the Western Church - through the clouds (Rosieres Top Right - GERD Bottom Left). Satellite images of the dam - which this year will have its 2nd filling - may be increasingly hard to get with increasing cloud.
Read 40 tweets
Apr 16
#LaNina #ENSO & drought expectations in Africa - a deep dive into latest satellite imagery and model atmospheric precipitable water data.

Thread...

[image: There is remarkably complex water transport activiy underway over North Africa and the Middle East.]
First some background. ENSO, La Nina and El Nino is an oscillation related to sea surface temperatures in the Eastern Pacific. It is an important indicator of drought activity, especially in the US, but also as far away as Africa and NZ. La Nina typically mean less rain.
The image above shows equatorial tropical atmospheric water flows, and helps with understanding of why the Eastern Pacific sea surface temperature is important. Less convective storms in the Eastern Pacific leads to less atmospheric water everywhere.
Read 27 tweets
Apr 14
So this grand @WHO plan led by @DrTedros to seize even more power via a “pandemic treaty or other international instrument” is real.

I needed to check. The first @WHO consensus formation meeting was held Wednesday and Thursday this week. who.int/news-room/even…
We all know that the tendency of this @WHO DG to play with fire is extreme, and perhaps we should start calling him Prometheus as I wonder if he is aware of how politically complicated this effort is likely to be.
It would certainly be poetic Justice indeed if in his boundless pride and sense of impunity he accidentally lit the conspiracy/diplomatic fire of such intensity that he finds himself out of a job. For many such a development could not come soon enough.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 14
This is interesting….

Diaspora efforts to combat #s3199 and #hr6600 are being actively encouraged by @DemekeHasen

Deputy Premier Calls on Diaspora to Ramp up Efforts to Protect Homeland ena.et/en/?p=34985 via @EthiopianNewsA
“Since the country has continued to face challenges… Ethiopian Diaspora should ramp up efforts to protect interests of their homeland.

He urged diaspora to consolidate support for the current situation in Ethiopia, particularly lifting of the ongoing unwarranted pressures.” Image
I am not sure if Satterfield and Knopf are still in Addis, but the referent to “lifting of ongoing unwarranted pressures” sounds like a reference to #s3199 and #hr6600.
Read 7 tweets

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