🧵
🇺🇸🇪🇺🇺🇦
[1]JUST OUT: Report that I’ve coauthored with the recently-formed International Working Group on Russia Sanctions, coordinated by @FSIStanford @McFaul outlining an urgent comprehensive sanctions package on the Putin regime.

👇Highlights below👇

fsi.stanford.edu/working-group-…
[2] 🇺🇸🇪🇺🇺🇦The Working Group is comprised of a stellar lineup of experts that coauthored this report, including: @AmbDanFried, @maria_shagina, @edwardfishman, @FukuyamaFrancis, @kath_stoner, @steven_pifer, @fromTGA & many more!
[3] The Group placed an outsized focus on measures that will rapidly & drastically reduce the Kremlin’s ability to continue its criminal war of aggression against Ukraine - targeting Russian hydrocarbon export & banking sector, as well as tightening critical tech export controls.
[4] Additionally, the Working Group has also rightly recognized the need to expand personal sanctions not only on Russian politicians & propagandists in Putin’s orbit, but also citizens of any nationality working for Russian state owned enterprises.
[5] Moreover, by employing a technology-calibrated approach to energy & shipping sanctions, as well as strict export controls on dual-use military technologies, the Working Group aims to halt Putin’s war machine in the shortest-possible term while ensuring measures implementable.
[6] Also, by highlighting the need to halt the flow of Moscow’s kleptocratic strategic corruption against democracies, as well as deploying urgent EU energy security measures, the Group is also focused on addressing long-term structural vulnerabilities that have grown over time.
[7] Additionally, Group believes “that more – much more – can be done to urgently increase pressure on Putin to withdraw his army from Ukraine. We #StandWithUkraine in seeking to stop the flow of revenues that underwrite Russia’s brutal war and atrocities against civilians.”
[8] Therefore the list of interdisciplinary, multi-sector sanctions included in this first report of the Working Group should be seen as an initial step toward increasing personal, as well as economic, energy, & technology sector costs on the Putin regime - more analysis coming!
[9] Some highlights of urgent Russia sanctions measures suggested to be taken in the Working Group report, include:
[10] Expanded oil and gas sanctions, including a full embargo as soon as possible on Russian hydrocarbon exports to global democracies:
[11] Holding the EU to its commitments to reduce & end natural gas imports from Russia, as well as establishing near-term dates to end Russian gas export to the EU via the #NordStream1, #TurkStream2, & Yamal-Europe pipelines, as well as energy security infrastructure development:
[12] Use all EU- & national-level legal mechanisms, including regulations within the EU Third Energy Package, to terminate any partial or majority ownership positions currently held by Russian state-owned-enterprises in critical European energy infrastructure installations:
[13] Increase sanctions to limit the ability of the Russian shipping sector to export hydrocarbon & other critical resources to global markets, by sanctioning Russian shipping majors, as well as increasing sanctions on international insurance & maritime certification providers:
[14] Financial sector sanctions focused on imposing as quickly as possible full Specially Designated National (SDN) sanctions status on all Russian banks, starting with the 30 largest financial institutions:
[15] Take measures to formally designate the Russian Federation as a state sponsor of terrorism:
[16] Sanction all members of governing boards of Russian state-owned enterprises, regardless of citizenship, & pass measures to make it legally impossible for former Western government officials to work for Russian state-owned enterprises (in other words, stop #Schröderization!):
[17] Impose full SDN sanctions designations on all Russian state-owned enterprises over time, including on Kremlin-controlled energy majors, including #Gazprom, #Rosneft, #Rosatom, & #RussianRailways:
[18] Deploy enhanced export controls measures on critical dual-use tech & systems, & ensure Russian institutions can’t use any remaining basic science & tech research collaboration as a sanctions carve out vehicle (including but not limited to @NASA & @esa work w/ Roscosmos):
[19] Increase coordination of sanctions targets across jurisdictions to close any potential loopholes, & establish high thresholds for any possible future Russia sanctions relief including significant Russian contributions to the reconstruction of Ukraine:
[20] There are many other impactful measures including increasing transparency to discourage investment in Russia & the comprehensive imposition of secondary sanctions.

Please take a moment to read the full report below…more from our group soon!🇺🇦
[END]

drive.google.com/file/d/1Kte4W9…

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More from @BLSchmitt

Mar 11
🧵 [1] 🛰 Proud to announce the launch of @DukeU’s SPACE DIPLOMACY LAB - a new program I’ve co-founded at @DUCIGS from my perch @Harvard @CenterForAstro

Our 1st Focus: How will 🇷🇺’s invasion of 🇺🇦 impact space cooperation & how can SpaceTech help 🇺🇦 now.

today.duke.edu/2022/03/new-la…
[2] Recently my @DUCIGS Space Diplomacy Lab Co-Director Prof Giovanni Zanalda & I hosted a roundtable focused on space issues posed by 🇷🇺‘s war on 🇺🇦 & long-term space security challenges w/ space media leaders @LorenGrush, @RaminSkibba & @Jeff_Foust:
👇👇
[3]🚀Recall in Nov, during Russia’s military buildup around Ukraine, the Russian military launched a reckless direct-ascent anti-satellite test, that created a major space debris event & endangered US, EU & Russian personnel on International Space Station

nytimes.com/2021/11/15/sci…
Read 18 tweets
Feb 25
[1] 🚨THREAD🚨 According to @NesteGlobal, Russian Urals crude oil continues to crater in price compared to the Brent crude benchmark. Trading at -$5.65 per barrel on 5 day average.

What does this mean? And how can corporate responsibility urgently support Ukraine? Please read👇
[2] Energy traders still assess sanctions & reputational risk of importing Russian oil, & are avoiding oil tanker calls at Baltic & Black Sea Russian ports due to security & sanctions risk.

Turkish owned ship was struck by a shell in Black Sea today.

maritime-executive.com/article/turkis…
[3] This has led Russian Urals oil price per barrel to hit “lowest ever level relative to Brent” at -$11.23 per barrel as of a few hours ago according to S&P Global Platts:

spglobal.com/platts/en/mark…
Read 6 tweets
Feb 22
👇👇👇 THREAD:

[1] 🇺🇸🇩🇪🇪🇺🇺🇦 Germany’s announcement it has suspended certification of Kremlin’s #NordStream2 pipeline was an urgently needed step given Russia’s overt invasion of Ukraine’s Donbas region. Welcome & long overdue.
[2] Suspending the certification process for #NordStream2 should be seen as a first step by Berlin in deterring further Russian military action against Ukraine, followed by further action to block the pipeline for good.
[3] Berlin should next seek sanctions at the EU level ensuring that the Kremlin-backed #NordStream2 can never come online and be allowed to do lasting harm to European energy security and Ukrainian national security interests in the process.
Read 10 tweets
Jan 13
🇺🇸🇪🇺 [1] With Washington once again focusing on policy options to stop the Kremlin-backed NordStream2 pipeline this week, my attempt at a (hopefully thoughtful) thread to help provide context:
[2] The framing of NordStream2 sanctions has suddenly (and unfortunately) become partisan, but in fact, opposition to NS2 has been bipartisan since 2015, and support for sanctions has been led by Democrats and Republicans since 2017.
[3] The US has opposed #NordStream2 on bipartisan basis since 2015. Congress has passed both discretionary (2017 CAATSA) & mandatory (2019 & 2020 NDAA) sanctions to stop #NS2 on near unanimous basis. In 2016, VP Biden was first prominent senior official to publicly oppose NS2.
Read 32 tweets

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