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Alastair Thompson Profile picture
@althecat
Apr 27, 2022 • 19 tweets • 10 min read • Read on X
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#RamadanRain

20th April
#RamandanRains

21st April
#RamadanRain

22nd April
#RamandanRains

23rd April
#RamadanRain

24th April
#RamadanRains

25th April
#RamadanRain

26th April (yesterday)
The time series of satellite images above come from @zoom_earth each shows 24 hours to 1.45am CEST.
The final two images have weather radar rain data overlaid on them. Unfortunately this data is not available for the full set. However I recorded a few more animations earlier which can be seen below.

1. This one shows a broader regional view from April 20th.
2. Here late at night on the 20th-21st we see one of the causes of this event an atmospheric river travelling NNE over #Ethiopia and the Arabian Peninsula.
3. This view from April 22nd shows the radar data as the storms over the Arabian Peninsula strengthened.
4. A similar view this time on April 23rd.
5. Here we see a closeup of the storm on April 23rd - Easter Saturday - the most intense storm so far. This storm took place as the Coptic Ethipoian Church celebrated the Vigil.
6. The rainfall was forecast well by computer models - and is due to a combination of water transport north over Ethiopia colliding with water transported East over the Sahara from the WMA and Amazon Monsoons.

These long range rainfall forecasts are all from April 23rd.
7. Finally two forecasts.

The first for #RamadanRains over the remaining days of Ramadan through to #EID on May 2nd.
8. Latest long range rainfall forecasts.

1. 10 Days CMC
2. 10 Days ECMWF
3. 12 Days KMA
4. 16 Days GFS

Which indicate this pattern of #DesertRains over the Arabian Peninsula is set to continue for now.
9. This animation shows a forecast for PWAT (Precipitable Water) over the Arabian Peninsula over the next 16 days. This is the cause of the high levels of rainfall.
10. And to conclude this animation shows the extent to which these Middle Eastern #RamadanRains diverge from climate norms.
/ENDS

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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jan 5
This is an update thread on this OCCRP story on @StateDept and @USAID funding for several large investigative journalism projects which has had a lot of downstream impacts it seems. Especially in Europe,

The underlying original story about govt funding for investigative journalism projects was initially flagged by @ryangrim.

This organisation - OCCRP that not many people seemed to have been aware of - was responsible for a series of outstanding investigative journalism consortia projects including the Panama papers.
This is a leaked rough cut of the NDR (German public broadcaster north west Germany) investigation into what happened With the OCCRP story.

It was never officially published but was recently leaked publicly by Wikileaks.

dalek.zone/w/xjUjomMZxRCv…
With the benefit of hindsight arguably Wikileaks ought to be the international organisation that coordinates these large investigative consortia, though it’s not clear that they want to do so.

What is clear from the fallout from all of this is that the system that was in place for running these consortia is no longer fit for purpose.
Read 8 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jan 2
So @elonmusk has definitely opened the doors it seems to Pandora’s box.
He may have jumped the gun a little. But he has his reasons.

Germany & Magdeburg.

But the fuse was arguably lit when the CIA and FBI Commandeered Jack Dorsey’s Twitter for its own purposes.

I don’t think we are going back.

This is the new normal.
Welcome to the era of Trump.

This is what happens when you have a VERY Messy transition of power in the Global Hegemony.
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Dec 21, 2024
This video is about the work done by the “terrorist” who drove through the Magdeburg Christmas Market tonight at high speed killing injuring around 100 people.

How does a doctor practicing as a psychiatrist go from being a women’s rights defender focussed on Assisting Islamic women to escape an oppressive culture to being a multi murderer in his adopted country.

Meet @DrTalebJawad

A very unusual terrorist.
A good starting point for those interested in getting closer to the truth about what happened tonight is to visit @DrTalebJawad ‘s Twitter profile and look at his recent messages before the account gets locked.

It is immediately apparent that this is not your normal Islamic terrorist, in fact it quickly becomes apparent from his tweets that he was likely suffering from a psychotic break or something similar before he committed the horrific act of terrorism in Magdeburg.Image
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Image
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This incident took place in Magdeburg a city relatively near to where I am currently in Eastern Germany. It was fairly late evening. But the news exploded locally very quickly on Twitter.

And the initial speculation was of course that the terrorist was Islamic and that it was another planned terror attack.

At this point several hours later however it looks like the perpetrator was having an accrue psychological break.
Read 11 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Dec 20, 2024
Follow ⁦@bartov_omer⁩ he is an Israeli Genocide Scholar and (my guess) a realist geopolitical analyst who will almost certainly be heard a lot in coming days and weeks. x.com/bartov_omer?s=…
…. In large part because his explanation of the true nature of the implementation of the current phase of the so-called “general’s plan” in Gaza and the criminality of @IsraeliPM Bibi Netanyahu is so clear and authoritative.
The war in Gaza is now over Bartov explains.

What is now happening, and what remains to be done on the a Israeli side is effectively the implementation of the full Zionist extremist (Ben Givir Smotrich and Netanyahu plan - I.e. removing Palestinians from Gaza altogether, an object that will be achieved through starving the remaining civilians and using other methods to make it impossible to continue to live there.

The strip is already being carved up into enclaves for this purpose. You could call them “Ghettos” (my word) corralling and keeping the Palestinian population separated whilst efforts to remake and settle the strip are completed.
Read 7 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Dec 19, 2024
. @amanpour It’s not just the IDF that responds to press questions with rote answers that are clearly false.

The U.S. @StateDept has been doing exactly the same thing throughout the war for 14 months. Parroting the line “Israel has a right to defend itself” when everyone in the planet knows this is not true.

I know you must know this also. We all do.
I commend your report but I ask you and your network to please go further and actively oppose this war. And to call for it to end.

It is clear now in recent statements from Trump and Netanyahu that another war is intended in the Middle East by the U.S. and Israel. Its advocates will stood start lining up to beat the drums for this war.

Please @CNN, it is now time to end all of this.
The question we all have then is “When will the U.S. bring this evil to an end?”

A war with Iran 21 years after the horrific war in Iraq will have devastating consequences beyond imagining.

In its unwavering support for Netanyahu these past 14 months the U.S. is in the process now of destroying itself. Just as Israel is, or has done already.
Read 5 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Dec 17, 2024
The first speaker in this star studded panel here is sober clear and damning.

“… featuring Mustafa Barghouti, Mads Gilbert, Ilan Pappe, and Ingrid Fiskaa – discusses and critically explores three key areas: the present moment where Gaza remains under constant genocidal attack from Israel; the so-called “legitimacy” of the rules-based order (including but not limited to international law) that’s supposed to prevent or stop such violence; and the future of rebuilding Gaza in a way that actually honours the hopes, dreams and aspirations of the Palestinian people.”

The panel is moderated by Paul Salvatori, senior producer and presenter at TRT World.

Oslo Panel for Palestine youtu.be/nwCgY9auyuw?si… via @YouTube
As Christmas and the New Year approach, reflection, both self and outward looking are part of the zeitgeist for the faithful throughout the world.

As it stands this Christmas in Bethlehem will be the “second Christmas during an ongoing Genocide”. Placed in quote marks here because it seems hard to reconcile with reality.

How can this still be continuing?

How is it that the @Statedept even now - 15 months after October 7th and more recently the defeat of both Hezbollah and Assad - is still mostly saying “Israel has a right to defend itself. As massacres of 50-80 Gaza civilians - predominantly women and children - continue to occur on a daily basis.
Could there at least be a Christmas and New Years Truce? A brief silencing of the guns, a break from the endless massacre of innocents via fire-from-the-sky, as if Gaza were now Mordor.

It is certainly already nearly as desolate.

Someone needs to ask Bibi Netanyahu who is unusually and nearly singularly responsibility for all of this. WHEN AND HOW DOES THIS END?
Read 4 tweets

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