The time series of satellite images above come from @zoom_earth each shows 24 hours to 1.45am CEST.
The final two images have weather radar rain data overlaid on them. Unfortunately this data is not available for the full set. However I recorded a few more animations earlier which can be seen below.
1. This one shows a broader regional view from April 20th.
2. Here late at night on the 20th-21st we see one of the causes of this event an atmospheric river travelling NNE over #Ethiopia and the Arabian Peninsula.
3. This view from April 22nd shows the radar data as the storms over the Arabian Peninsula strengthened.
4. A similar view this time on April 23rd.
5. Here we see a closeup of the storm on April 23rd - Easter Saturday - the most intense storm so far. This storm took place as the Coptic Ethipoian Church celebrated the Vigil.
6. The rainfall was forecast well by computer models - and is due to a combination of water transport north over Ethiopia colliding with water transported East over the Sahara from the WMA and Amazon Monsoons.
These long range rainfall forecasts are all from April 23rd.
7. Finally two forecasts.
The first for #RamadanRains over the remaining days of Ramadan through to #EID on May 2nd.
8. Latest long range rainfall forecasts.
1. 10 Days CMC 2. 10 Days ECMWF 3. 12 Days KMA 4. 16 Days GFS
Which indicate this pattern of #DesertRains over the Arabian Peninsula is set to continue for now.
9. This animation shows a forecast for PWAT (Precipitable Water) over the Arabian Peninsula over the next 16 days. This is the cause of the high levels of rainfall.
10. And to conclude this animation shows the extent to which these Middle Eastern #RamadanRains diverge from climate norms.
This is pathetic from @realDonaldTrump he’s lashing out like an angry teenager. Jerome Powell says he’s included a the costs of a building that was completed years ago in his very public attack on the FED Chair.
Trump has completely lost the plot. The single most damaging thing that he could do to undermine confidence in the U.S. dollar (which he publicly claims to want to deflate and there by make all Americans poorer - is to attack the Federal Reserve and the SEC.
@realDonaldTrump Trump is setting fire to the dollar to distract from his Epstein mess what a complete baby.
I attended the Bonn climate talks. They were very disappointing to everyone. The elephant in the room was (of course) the U.S. decision to withdraw from the talks altogether.
Unfortunately.. perhaps intentionally in advance of the continuation of climate talks regardless of #US_Disintigration the talks were also very sparsely attended particularly by activists and NGOs. The reason for this was @elonmusk destroying @-USAID.
@elonmusk As you can see the USAID Twitter account is now dead - deleted which is an appalling act of vandalism executed by Elon and his tech-bro team of teenagers.
This article is deeply depressing. For my part at Scoop.co.nz it is clear to me that:
1. The Govt has a deliberate strategy - probably not official but nevertheless operative to destroy NZ media. 2. This is not going to change any time soon. thespinoff.co.nz/politics/02-07…
& Sadly from what I discerned last year the @nzlabour opposition is both apathetic and indifferent to the plight of media. Also the @NZGreens. And have always been so for as long as I can remember.
This is extremely disappointing
@nzlabour @NZGreens I will be returning to NZ in August to ensure continues to function in these very difficult times for NZ media. We have faced numerous big challenges recently and thank our supporters and readers for their support.Scoop.co.nz
Ok so this is a bit weird, but in a kinda chill way so do bare with me and and I will be happy to answer questions afterwards. It’s about a castle on a virtual island in a massive online role playing game called Evony and it involves a possible but speculative discussion about @elonmusk and @X.
All will be revealed but first a picture or four actually from the game. More will come.
Ok. So here’s what I think is going on in a nutshell. I think elonmusk has invested in a MMORPG: a “Massive Multimedia Online Role Playing Game” which is a bit of a mouthful, called EVONY.
I liked its Twitter ads and finally clicked. It’s huge. Someone else can do the business story here which I am sure is interesting too.
But the this bit is weird.
The mysterious knight on the red horse arrived this morning beside my castle and he had some treasure.
I hadn’t a clue who it was so I grabbed the treasure and tried to kill the horse and rider as that’s what you do. But we got smashed badly.
This interview with working class Uk financial markets savant Gary Stevenson - who has just published an autobiography - is seriously terrifying. He now has a @YouTube channel it seems and I’ll post a link shortly.
James O'Brien meets Gary Stevenson | LBC via @YouTube
His prognosis for the collapse of social democratic nation state finances due to the very sharp rise in income distribution inequality in the UK is horrific.
The consequences of unfettered transfers of money over decades due to neoliberal economics initially and more recently quantitative easing driven transfers of wealth from the middle class to the top 5% of the population is the cause of his concern.
It’s very hard to imagine what can be done politically to rebalance this.
Thomas Piketty’s thesis which among other things warned about all of this based on long term historical analysis of wealth inequality appears to be colliding with Western Civilisation in a manner that threatens the very foundations of that civilisation.
Gary’s YouTube channel which addresses all this is here.