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Apr 28 • 6 tweets • 6 min read
Hi all. Every newspaper must explain this data DAILY. We left the Holocene. We risk returning to stable (hothouse) climate structures that kept Earth 4-8°C warmer than today 15 million years ago (Miocene) or even 55 mya (PETM). People deserve to know. Decarbonize now or never. 😘
We need systems thinking - mental models that reflect our fundamental interconnectedness in a global world, to solve real problems. Else performative governance will continue with fatal results. @bberwyn, with quotes by Jim Skea (IPCC), @ClimateHuman & me. insideclimatenews.org/news/05042022/…
@bberwyn @ClimateHuman #Klimacharta, a German initiative by @SaraSchurmann @wblau @SueEhlerding etc., demands exactly this: cover climate as a systemic problem that affects everything else, to give people a chance to learn and make informed decisions.

Journalists can sign here: klimajournalismus.de/charta/
@bberwyn @ClimateHuman @SaraSchurmann @wblau @SueEhlerding More precisely, an initiative by @klimajourno: tagesspiegel.de/gesellschaft/m…
Apparently this needs to be said: for years we’ve been calling the media to report atmospheric GHG concentrations (CO2, methane, nitrous oxide) DAILY. For example this week it would be breaking news on all channels.

Why, you ask?

If the public remain ignorant, we will all fail.
@Sustainable2050 has been making this call since I first used Twitter because there is nothing like the necessary coverage in the media. We criticize for good reason. We truly are out of time. Please try to learn. Ask us if you have questions. We know all this is highly confusing

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More from @_ppmv

Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Apr 27
Soundcloud keeping it real. @DeathPanel_ & @fitterhappierAJ are my current #1s for the stage of the tragedy in which authorities think a pandemic ends whenever they are fed up with the nuisance of having to provide public health policy. Do follow for exciting sequels/sequelae! 🙃
@DeathPanel_ @fitterhappierAJ Honorable mention: @DonEford, indefatigable sharer of LC research findings.

This is the single most effective & entertaining LC read I've seen. Here a glimpse because no one will read it in one session - frankly, too crushing if any of it is news to you!

donford.substack.com/p/riskoflongco…
@DeathPanel_ @fitterhappierAJ @DonEford Why I share: recently chatted with my empathetic, young, visual-designer neighbor about Covid. Imagine my surprise when, minutes later, she shares that "now that the pandemic is over," the government will make up new things to keep us under control. Expect aliens, she half-jokes?
Read 4 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Apr 26
Why are law and the constitution free to ignore thermodynamic principles? This would be our focus if we cared about livable futures. Yet few, despite all the work done since 1990, even know the basics. Present interests won. Do we still have time to learn? Do people even care? 😫
2. This stuff isn’t hard. Anyone could develop such ideas if prompted, perhaps in small, effective teams. That this isn’t happening tells us what people really want - revealed vs. stated preferences. Sorry all, I wish I had better news today!
3. It’s not hard, but demands sustained public attention & resources, which I don’t see being spent - at all. As David says, we wish we had better news, but good news are earned by the courage it takes to address bad news. Denial won’t work.
Read 4 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Apr 26
1. I’ve puzzled why we fail on climate. @climategeorge tells us not INFORMATION but PEOPLE around us change our mind. Here my social network example (SNA in Gephi, @Nican’s project). Note how distinct climate vs. China, Covid & IR twitter are! Few shared followers. 😩 Thanks all! Image
2. It’s one of the hardest messages to tell people - often powerful & influential, who rarely get rejected! - that they haven’t fckng understood the climate crisis. Same in journalism as in every field, as @SaraSchurmann shows. Read her book to learn more!
@SaraSchurmann 3. This (social or cultural cognition) is why I think En-ROADS is a fantastic tool - you are more likely to learn from & in dialogue with your peers, than from people you don't identify with. Ask @AndrewPJones for more ;).
Read 5 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Apr 26
One urgent question to discuss: Climate science—even the IPCC AR6—relies on neoclassical economics. Why? Don't we know better? Then we can learn. Or is it cognitively, emotionally or career-wise too risky to take on climate & economics? Then we fail. Let @NJHagens explain: 1/14 ImageImageImageImage
2. Our current slow rate of institutional learning is painful to watch. @jembendell & others have taken a beating - the more skillful just politely ignored and sidelined them - for making common sense points since 2018. This has been clear for all to see since late 2019 - see XR.
3. 50 years ago, LTG warned that all we see now would result from continued exponential growth. No one can say they didn't know.

LTG wasn't the result of superior intellect (Forrester, Meadows & Co. were great, but that's not it). We can do the same today, if more of us care to.
Read 15 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Apr 25
One climate policy lesson. Our thinking has become so rigid that certain foundational assumptions CANNOT be allowed to be wrong, for if they are, the whole edifice collapses. Our challenge: become fluid enough to rebuild the foundations from the top down faster than they collapse Image
"every ton of carbon not emitted before net zero buys indefinite methane emission allowance"? Counterpoint, as a dissipative structure, complex society can't exist near zero carbon emissions; it does so only in our mental & computer models. Let's focus ;)
Context (sent my autodelete into overdrive when I was frustrated at our slow rate of learning), but this is likely the old point that most people would experience & resist rapid decarbonization as advocated "by us" as unprecedented civilizational collapse.
Read 4 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Apr 14
We started the descent to Hothouse Earth - PETM-like, but this time faster. Who is still promoting climate minimizers over those of us who warn? 😘 You really think keeping the public in the dark will help? 🤦🏻‍♀️🤷‍♂️🔥
Natural scientists try to keep warming to 2°C or less in their models—not in reality. As ever since 1990, they use flawed economics & conservative (=optimistic) bias even in the physical sciences. You all think you can succeed without political scientists?
What applying real science to these questions could look like. But we know we might get answers we won’t like, so we don’t do it.
Read 5 tweets

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