Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 28, 2022 11 tweets 5 min read Read on X
The arrival of the M270 MLRS launcher in Ukraine's arsenal is a really big deal.

The M270 was designed as a counter battery reaper, an air defense killer, and like all MLRS, mass death for infantry in the open.👇

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The M270 launcher has access to the entire MLRS family of munitions.

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As of 2021, over 50,000 GMLRS rockets have been delivered to US and foreign militaries.

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A new tail control version of the GMLRS rocket with double the nominal 70km range is about to come into service.
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I've talked about the logistical advantages of the US MLRS pod in previous threads.

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This Youtube video is time stamped so you can see a M270 rocket pod load/unload evolution.

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The predominant GMLRS round available to Ukraine from US/NATO stockpiles is the GMLRS Unitary round.

I've clipped an early 2000's powerpoint slide to give you all a diagram of its construction.

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Each GMLRS-Unitary has very sophisticated fuzing built into it for the full array of targets.

o Impact-Delay -- Bunkers/buildings
o Airburst 3 m - Counter battery light armored vehicles
o Airburst 10 m - Infantry in the open. soft vehicles, ADA
o Impact - Anything else

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What is hard for the non-intelligence professional to appreciate is how hard it is to run down a M270 for counterbattery.

You can place rocket pods at designated ammo supply points (ASP) ahead of time & camouflage them.

Resupply trucks don't have to be present.
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Any flat piece of ground will do with a small security element.

After several fire missions, you can place empty pods in dummy position and by covering the pods with canvas or camo nets. You can create many false ASP to confuse Russian drones.

Add drone jammers or MANPADS
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..to your ASP/dummy ASP security elements and you have created fire traps to kill Russian drones.

When @expatua said this 'levels the playing field 'in Donbas.

It was an understatement.😉

11/End

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More from @TrentTelenko

May 17
This is a "flaming datum" for the Lanchester Square Collapse of Russian national air defenses.

And it wasn't just 20 drones flying by.

Lanchester smiles at RuAF National Air Defenses🧵
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And a high percentage of this Ukrainian propeller cruise missile stream hit their intended targets.

3/
Read 18 tweets
May 17
I'm going to pound on a point generally ignored in the OSINT community on X.

That is, how little OSINT analysis of satellite and drone videos can actually see in terms of fragmentation damage due to low video resolution.

Eternal BDA Failure 🧵
1/
Please carefully look at the disabling tungsten ball fragments from GMLRS strikes on this truck.

Go to the 2 minute to end of the video. Satellites simply cannot see this damage, nor most drone videos.

2/
The "intact & seemingly undamaged" planes at Belbek airfield in that MAXAR satellite imagery could and likely are looking like this Russian helicopter.

image h/T @Wilkmans
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Read 7 tweets
May 14
What Ms. Tchakarova is referring to here Russian Reflexive Control information warfare techniques.

I've talked about it quite a bit during the Russo-Ukrainian War and how adherents of "Escalation Management" like @jacksullivan46 and Chancellor Scholz have been captured by it
1/
@PhillipsPOBrien had a nice substack column about the effectiveness of Russian Reflexive Control back in March of this year.

2/
This particular passage from Timothy L. Thomas 2004 paper on the subject shows how Russia's Reflexive control infowar mapped & fed to each specific US tribal & professional demographic the data to get the message Russian wants those groups to believe.
3/
Read 10 tweets
May 13
This explains the "Imperial Japanese Army at Saipan" behavior of wounded Russian soldiers killing themselves with grenades to prevent capture by Ukrainians.

Russian Mobiks are being ideologically conditioned to kill themselves, like IJA troopers were in WW2.

Russian Death Cult🧵
1/
There are multiple videos like this Russian ideological self-harm conditioned behavior surfacing.

2/
This ideological conditioning is being reinforced to Russian troops by their commanders.

3/

Read 5 tweets
May 6
There are still Western military officers -- including most flag ranks -- watching videos like the one below and denying FPV and other cheap DJI drones have fundamentally changed the way wars on the ground are fought.

Drone War🧵
1/7
A year ago Ukraine had 10,000 drone operators, one per 100 troops

It has trained far more since then.

In fact, the AFU has created a military drone branch co-equal to infantry and artillery branches.

2/7
In some forward areas there are now as many Ukrainian drone operators as infantry because FPV drones have all but replaced crew served infantry weapons.


3/7
Read 8 tweets
May 5
The people on X saying Ukraine couldn't use ATACMS in the counter-battery role against Russian tactical ballistic missiles were shills, toadies, and trolls.

No one who was at all reality-based would have said anything so stupid.

"WHEN THE GODS OF ARTILLERY MAKE A POINT"🧵
1/
2016 article at the link titled in english "WHEN THE GODS OF ARTILLERY MAKE A POINT" makes clear Ukraine had a very tight intelligence/surveillance/reconnaissance kill chain between its Spetsnaz and it's Tochka-U TBM & 300mm MLRS batteries.

2/
petrimazepa.com/goddot.html
These Spetsnaz teams spotted 120km Tochka-U & 90 km Smersh fire strikes to clear a "Fire corredor" maneuver lane for these OMG operations during the 2014-2015 ATO.

This was pre-ATO (2014) Ukrainian military doctrine used during the ATO.

3/

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Read 5 tweets

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