Thread by @donwill94062871

🧵Let's talk about the rumor that GWB is going to come to GA and campaign.

I doubt he would come.

Why?

Optics.

If he came, right before or right afterward, Trump would do a rally.

Which crowd would be larger?

You know the answer to that question.
#gapol

So what did @GovKemp do? He went to Texas to get money from GWB and send a message to Georgia voters that he is a Bushie and not MAGA.

He did that during the first week of early voting when it would gain more attention.

Why did he do that?

He needs to juice up the GOPe primary turnout.

What will that decision cost him among America First Primary voters?

Remains to be seen.

But this is an interesting poll that was released today.
h/t @sethjlevy
Which group do you think Kemp leads?

And, one more thing..

All of the #Gaprimary polling we have seen so far that has shown Kemp "leading" with no need of a runoff is based on previous primary turnout models.

Guess what?

The first 2 days of primary voting shows record numbers.

Monday 3 x 2018 first day voting
Tuesday even bigger.

Do we know yet if those are new voters? Or just cannibalizing election day voters? Not yet. But the campaigns do.
What I can tell you is the county GOP orgs across the state have grown exponentially since 2020.
Why have they grown? They are angry about 2020

We are talking about people that were just general election voters who are now precinct chairs, poll watchers and significant volunteers. Most are not happy with Kemp. The next three weeks will be interesting. The goal is to keep him under 50% and force a runoff. We shall see.

@politicsrea

@C4CEO

@jfradioshow

@Crimsontider