Update of #AssetAllocation strats in my package with yesterday's return. Brutal.
Worst static allocation: Sandwhich -12.4% YTD
Worst tactical allocation: Dual momentum -7.9% YTD
Best (least worse) static: Conservative income -6.85%
Best tactical: Ivy +1.36%
YTD statistics for static allocations.
All max drawdown for the year = cumulative return
YTD statistics for tactical allocations:
Why is Ivy doing better? Commodities (DBC FTW)
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@WifeyAlpha recently posted a thread with 16 buy-and-hold asset allocation schemes, i.e. fixed-weight portfolios that can be implemented with ETFs. I decided to write some code to test these in #R#RStats. The code is available on #RPubs: rpubs.com/arubesam/stati…
The code is a quick & dirty calculation using monthly returns with monthly rebal. It does not take into account transaction costs. The code can be easily adapted to test other asset allocation schemes.
I use the following #R packages: quantmod to get prices from Yahoo; PerformanceAnalytics for calculation of performance metrics. All backtests start when data for all necessary tickers becomes available.
In the RPubs post above, I provide the #R code to backtest the strategy, as well as some results replicating Gatev, Goetzmann & Rouwenhorst (2006) and Do and Faff (2010), and extending the sample to the end of 2020. In this thread, I show some of these results.
Pairs trading is a type of systematic trading strategy based on finding pairs of stocks or assets that have historically "moved together", and betting that divergences will eventually get corrected. It is a simple form of statistical arbitrage.
I gave myself the challenge of reading (at least) one paper a day, every day. I'm considering keeping a live log in this thread. 🤔 I'll be generous with myself and also count any papers that I'm re-reading.
Yesterday's paper.
Beltz, A. M., & Gates, K. M. (2017). Network Mapping with GIMME. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 52(6), 789–804. doi.org/10.1080/002731…
21/06/2020 - Campbell, J. Y., & Shiller, R. J. (1987). Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models. Journal of Political Economy, 95(5), 1062–1088.
Brushing up on several present-value papers starting in the 80s.