Ben Griffis Profile picture
May 13, 2022 23 tweets 20 min read Read on X
I have some free time this afternoon, so I think I'll live tweet some of my tactics thoughts on the first leg of Luton Town - Huddersfield

I'll just keep adding tweets to this thread each time I've got something 👍

#LUTHUD | #COYH | #HTAFC
Should be 3-5-2 vs 3-5-2, will be an interesting one.

The noise coming through my headphones is nuts. Something special about low capacity stadiums
Think we know how high/low Luton's defense normally sits hahaha

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
I really hope Luton keep this up. GK did very well to punch this one away, but a slight mistake on timing and that's deadly. Good delivery

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
Great job by Bell honestly. Forced a much worse-chance shot.

Sinani does so well though, 0-1 Huddersfield

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
3 corners now. Super fun to see

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
Huddersfield, when Luton's CBs or CMs march up to the final third, look to be staying compact. Forces Luton wide.

Don't think Luton are really against that, honestly. They like to move down the flanks anyway, even quick transitions, to flash a cross in

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
Fucking delicious delivery on this FK are you kidding me??? The whip, the pace, the dip...

But lots of space, way too much, given to Bradley

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
Luton with some quality positioning when they put Huddersfield under pressure. Haven't done this super often, but something to watch for

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
Halftime.

Incredibly fun game to watch so far. Initially, both clubs were looking to play route one balls down the wing/half-space to a striker or winger.

10/15 minutes in they both started building up more methodically.

2 great goals, 1 per club

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
I would say Huddersfield's goal had +ve elements from both teams. Like image above calls out, great positional awareness by Luton's Bell, but Sinani's strike too good.

Luton's goal only had +ves for Luton. 🍑 of a delivery, but Huddersfield defender left too much space
#LUTHUD
2nd half about to kick off.

Luton have around 61% of the ball so far, but average 44.2% possession per game this season.

They also are missing their top scorer, Adebayo, who has scored a whopping 28% of their goals this season.

Here we go, ball rolls

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
This tweet isn't tactical.

But pretty sure Naby Sarr being about 35 times the size of Campbell is why that's not a penalty.

Honestly don't know how Campbell didn't see that wall on the pitch

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
I'm sorry but this game has some of the most interesting corners I've seen in a single match in probably forever

From Luton crowding every single player into the 6 yard box to Huddersfield crowding every single player past the far post... jogo bonito

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
Commentator: "that's a cheap yellow card to give away by the Luton defender"

Me: "ha yeah not cheap at all"

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
Close call for Huddersfield. Several options, but players not on the same wavelength

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
Ok TV crew, could you zoom out just a little please? thanks 😅

This wasn't another far-post crowding... This time Huddersfield appeared to line up at the top of the box and sprint in.

What a crazy match for set pieces

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
wtf add it to the list lol

I'm sorry this thread has become a set-piece thread. It's just......... fascinating. Not seen a match like it

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
This one above looks like what they've decided on. two in a row, that level of consistency in this mach, to me, means Carlos has decided on it haha

So many corners

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
Ok I really liked this move. Simple, but very effective. Allowed Huddersfield to march into the final third with ease. Great ball circulation here

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
Luton player cuts in, but was there possibly a better option available?

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
Rough bit of luck for Luton at the end

Final whistle blows at 90'+4:08, after like 2 minutes of dead time in the 4 minutes

As you can see, ball is in the air and the ref ends it. Luton player in one of the most promising attacking positions of the game

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC
And that's a wrap! Honestly, great match. Very fun to watch, but also some interesting tactics on display, especially if set-pieces are your 🍞&🧈

@htafc frobably happier of the two going into a home leg 1-1, but @LutonTown can also be very happy 👏💪

#LUTHUD | #LTFC | #HTAFC

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More from @BeGriffis

May 6
My sample of shots for my xG model is at 313,319 (and growing, I'll likely double that soon), so I can dig into some non-xG data...

And I found that the more a team leads by, the more likely they are to score with their shots. It's statistically significant as well Image
The graph shows all non-penalty shots in my sample taken when the team was losing by 4/3/2/1, drawing (gamestate = 0), or winning by 1/2/3/4

Conversion rates when losing are all effectively the same (10.5%)

Shots are statistically more likely to go in when drawing than losing..
.. and at almost every step, shots are statistically more likely to go in when winning

11.8% when drawing, 15.3% when winning by 1. Significant

16.9% when winning by 2 & significantly more likely than even when winning by 1

And so on until +4 isn't statistically more than +3
Read 14 tweets
Feb 7
why the hell do the USMNT stans care so much about shouting into the void that the US would win the Asian Cup?

Being in the concacaf gold cup final almost by default has made them so entitled
Like, yes, we are a very good team.

But so is Japan

And Korea

And Iran. & Iraq. Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Australia... And then teams like Uzbekistan, UAE, Jordan, Oman, they can beat anyone on their day

Thailand, Vietnam, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Lebanon, Bahrain... not easy!!!
Pretend we just swapped places with Japan. Since they were pre-tourney faves and USMNT Stans think we would be to. Straight swap.

Iraq, Indonesia, Vietnam is the group.

Indonesia we beat, sure. Vietnam too. But we'd struggle vs Iraq like Japan did. Iraq can SCORE, man
Read 9 tweets
Oct 21, 2023
🚨🚨 Python package update

I have a treat for y'all today!

I've added a new function to my python package. It is code to create a post-match dashboard for a given match on Whoscored

Please see this link for more info on the package

👉 github.com/griffisben/gri…

Image
Image
Please note that you will need to uninstall and then re-install the package if you've already installed it before

And IMPORTANT NOTE, you will need ChromeDriver for this to work. I apologize, but I can't be tech support for everyone. Here is that link
chromedriver.chromium.org/downloads
The github page has the code you can copy/paste.

Please note that there are several file paths that you'll need to update. Particularly, the path to where you have ChromeDriver installed, as well as team logos (I get mine from wikipedia)

Just need to paste Whoscroed match HTML Image
Read 6 tweets
Aug 3, 2023
My thoughts on FBRef's standard scouting report metric when using it on a CB

Can really only look at 4-6 metrics, and they're all on-ball, in-possession ones

Not really a reason to look at almost all the attacking metrics, and nearly every defensive metric is bad Image
Non-penalty goals: not really useful. Most CBs only score when up for corners, so dependent on too many factors

npxG: same as npG

Shots: fine to look at but will by and large be shots from corners, so keep that in mind. Still not good to *compare* off just this metric
Assists: doesn't matter for a CB overall, only extremely select systems. Ignore

xAG: same as assists

npxG_xAG: I shouldn't need to say why now

Shot-creating actions: really only matters for high-possession systems the CBs are pretty involved in
Read 19 tweets
Jun 12, 2023
If Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ends up leaving Napoli, are there any possible replacements similar to Kvara?

Here are the top 20 similar style players, in leagues with relatively similar styles to Serie A, and teams in those leagues with relatively similar styles to Napoli...

🧵 Image
If we look at Kvaradona, he was a young, high-potential prospect that, while incredible, may not have been expected to be THIS good in season 1 in Naples.

Any on this list that meet that? I think so.

I'll look at a few U22 talents with somewhat similar styles to Kvara
Mohamed Daramy. He's on loan from Ajax, and has absolutely killed it in Danmark this season

Ajax bought him for 12 million last summer. So it might be unrealistic, but definitely possible although if Ajax are open to selling... clubs with likely more resources will be in for him Image
Read 10 tweets
Jun 12, 2023
For a little expansion, some vizzes of the data

Brighton are a good example because the goal kicks and their long passes right after short goal kicks tend to come from similar areas (central)

A bit higher cmp% on long after short GK than on long GKs Image
Fulham another example, but with different areas of the pitch both passing from and being targeted. Image
Adelaide United another good example of this.

Passes do tend to be shorter than goal kicks, so they're usually more accurate but have the same effect as a long goal kick Image
Read 4 tweets

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