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David Doney Profile picture
@David_Charts
May 19, 2022 • 9 tweets • 6 min read • Read on X
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🧵Biden's economic records indicating a massive boom underway, from those working full-time to corporate profits, with graphs and links to definitive sources. #BidenBoom

The number of people working full-time hit the all-time record in March 2022. 1/
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS1250…
Real (inflation-adjusted) GDP hit record level in Q4 '21, after regaining the pre-pandemic peak in Q2 '21. This measures the size of the economy for both production and income. 2/
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDPC1
Americans are the richest ever measured by net worth, which reached $150 trillion for the first time in Q4 '21. This was due to stock and housing booms. 3/
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/TNWBSHNO
The number of job openings hit a record 11.5 million in March 2022, another sign of the booming labor market and immigration restriction. There are about 2 open jobs per unemployed person, also a record. 4/
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL
The stock market (S&P 500) reached an all-time record 4,797 on January 3, 2022. Inheriting a near-record stock market level, Biden still set the presidential record of a 37% return measured for his first year from election, with a peak of +42%. 5/
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SP500
Housing prices, as measured by the median sales price of houses sold, reached an all-time record of $428,700 in Q1 '22, a nearly $70,000 or 20% gain from Q4' 20. About 65% of American households own the home they live in. 6/
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MSPUS
A record few persons are receiving unemployment compensation, with the share of the labor force at an all-time low of 0.86% in April 2022. This is yet another sign of a very hot labor market. 7/
fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?graph_i…
The federal budget deficit is falling at a record pace, and not just because pandemic spending programs are ending. Revenues are up enormously, nearly $1 trillion versus fiscal year 2019 pre-pandemic, due to high incomes and economic activity. 8/
cbo.gov/publication/57…
Corporate profits are about 40% above pre-pandemic levels, reaching an all-time record of $2.7 trillion in Q4 '21. Democrats appear to be good for business! 9/END
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CP

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More from @David_Charts

David Doney Profile picture
Apr 12
🧵Monthly economic review for March data. First, record 158 million with jobs, setting new records monthly since June 2022, when pre-pandemic peak regained. Biden has fastest monthly job creation of any president in # terms, 400k from start and 275k from July 2022. 1/ Image
The unemployment rate was a very low 3.8% in March, the 26th straight month below 4%, a more than 50-year record per CEA. The rate has averaged 4.18% under Biden, essentially tying him for first place with LBJ for lowest of any president 1964-present. 2/ Image
The jobs # come from the Establishment (Employer) Survey, while the unemployment data comes from the Household Survey, which was a rare "all-positive" in March! Nearly 500,000 more employed than February. 3/ Image
Read 17 tweets
David Doney Profile picture
Mar 22
🧵A collection of articles explaining how the economy does much better under Democratic presidents.

1. It's all the key measures.
2. It isn't close.
3. Conclusion same regardless of who controls Congress.

NYT 1/
nytimes.com/2021/02/02/opi…
The Economist 2/
economist.com/united-states/…
Image
CNN 3/
cnn.com/2020/09/23/inv…
Image
Read 8 tweets
David Doney Profile picture
Mar 17
🧵The Economist did a cover article on how great the U.S. economy is. First, real (infl-adj) GDP +8% vs. 2019, making "America...the only big economy that is back to its pre-pandemic growth trend." 1/
economist.com/briefing/2024/…
Image
This strong growth happened with inflation falling, which economic theory says is unusual.

Why? Cushions" from the big deficits in 2020-2021 (e.g., excess savings still getting spent) and consumers & corporations who locked-in lower interest rates before hikes. 2/
Much of the excess savings (which peaked around $2T and is now around $400B) is at the top, the top 20% lately have accounted for 45% of consumption, up from 39% pre-Covid. This includes travel and luxury goods. 3/ Image
Read 10 tweets
David Doney Profile picture
Mar 5
🧵State of the Union economic briefing; the key facts you need about the economy. First, monthly job creation over 50% faster in 2023 than 2019, the most comparable pre-pandemic year. 1/
fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?graph_i…
Image
Unemployment rate averaged 3.6% in 2022 and 2023, both lower than pre-pandemic 2019. You have to go back to 1969 for a 3.5% year. 2/ fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?graph_i…
Image
Black unemployment reached the lowest ever in 2023 at 5.5%. Hispanic unemployment reached the lowest ever in 2022 at 4.2%. 3/
fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?graph_i…

Image
Image
Read 12 tweets
David Doney Profile picture
Feb 25
🧵Biden vs. Trump on the economy. The relevant frame is 2023 vs. 2019 pre-pandemic, as 2020-2021 distorted (mostly in Biden's favor).

First, monthly average job creation is the most important measure of how the economy is doing. It was about 50% faster in 2023 than 2019. 1/ Image
The unemployment rate averaged 3.6% in 2022 and 2023, vs. Trump's best 3.7% in 2019. You have to go back to 1969 for a year with 3.5% unemployment. Black unemployment was the lowest ever in 2023. 2/ Image
About 5.2 million more people worked in 2023 on average than 2019. We regained the pre-pandemic peak in June 2022, so the Republican talking point that these were recovered jobs became outdated then. 3/ Image
Read 13 tweets
David Doney Profile picture
Jan 13
🧵Monthly economic review, for the December data and full-year 2023. First, we added a solid 216,000 jobs in December. We're about 5 million jobs up from the pre-pandemic peak, which we regained in June '22. 1/ Image
Job creation has averaged 408,000 since Biden inaugurated, and 268,000 since June '22, when pre-pandemic peak regained. Both are presidential records in # terms and faster than Trump pre-pandemic 2017-2019, as was Obama's 2nd term. 2/ Image
The unemployment rate averaged 3.6% in both 2022 & 2023, below Trump's best year (2019) at 3.7%. You have to go back to 1969 for a 3.5% year. 3/ Image
Read 14 tweets

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