Sam Callahan Profile picture
May 19 28 tweets 8 min read
Allow me to share an article I wrote that looked into how shitcoins perform after being listed on Coinbase.

After digging into it, I remain highly critical of Coinbase's questionable listing policies and marketing strategies.

TL;DR - Coinbase is the woooooooorst 🎶
I was motivated to write this after Coinbase recommended "Top 10 Picks" to their customers that didn't include Bitcoin despite Bitcoin outperforming 99.9% of shitcoins long term.

They even recommended AXS over BTC two weeks AFTER its Ronin Bridge suffered a $625 million hack.
Since being recommended by Coinbase, these "top 10 picks" are down an average of -37% against Bitcoin.

If a customer of Coinbase heeded their advice, they would have lost money on these shitcoins instead of simply saving in the less risky asset, Bitcoin, for the long term.
Coinbase's marketing is highly skewed towards shitcoins that are riskier and less secure than BTC.

Their education around BTC is atrocious.

They don't want their clients buying and holding BTC cuz they want them to trade themselves into oblivion & collect those sweet tx fees.
It's important to note that Coinbase also makes money off of listing fees.

They constantly push the shitcoins they list on their unsuspecting clients who end up losing their life savings thinking they are buying the "next Bitcoin"

See exhibit A:
In 2017, Coinbase had 4 coins outside of Bitcoin listed on their platform.

Fast forward to today, and Coinbase offers 161 cryptocurrencies. Most of them I have never even heard of. (Pawtocol...anyone? lol)

Apparently, business has been good in the coin listing business.
It's important to understand the game at play here...when a shitcoin is created, early investors typically make investments, a development team is formed, and a % of the coins are issued to these insiders at extremely low prices.
This insider allocation usually occurs in the form of a “pre-mine.” This is an aptly named term to describe coins that are given to early investors & the team before the general public has the ability to mine or buy them.

This is similar to a startup issuing equity to investors.
After the launch, if the coin gains in popularity and is listed on a large exchange, the VCs and other insiders then have the opportunity to dump their holdings on retail traders who are sold the narrative that the shitcoin is “the next big thing” or is “better than Bitcoin.”
These VCs and teams typically don't care about the product or "innovation" of the shitcoin.

The goal IS to get listed on an exchange.

The product IS to dump tokens, that were produced with 0 cost, onto retail investors and 1000x their investment with 0 work.

What a product!
I call this the "The Insider Exchange Dump".

This strategy has been used under many different names such as ICOs, DeFi, and NFTs, but the outcome remains the same — the insiders get richer, and the outsiders lose their life savings.

Don't believe me? Let's dig into it 👇
First, let's look at how the original 4 cryptos listed on Coinbase have performed against BTC since being listed.

All were marketed as competitors to Bitcoin.

Since being listed, 3 of the coins are down >80% against Bitcoin. Only ETH has outperformed (we'll get to this later).
Next was the ICO craze.

Despite most of these ICO coins having little to no liquidity or even working products, Coinbase listed them on their platform anyways. They looked past the red flags and instead saw it as an opportunity to collect listing fees and expand its product.
Once the coins were listed on Coinbase and the early investor lock-up periods ended, these insiders had a large platform to dump their positions on unsuspecting investors & walked away with massive profits.

Here's how 10 popular ICOs have performed against BTC after being listed
As you can see, every single one of these ICOs have underperformed BTC since they were listed on Coinbase.

A majority of these hyped ICO tokens are deeply negative against BTC, with an average drawdown of -58%.

And yet, Coinbase still rarely markets BTC to clients...weird.🤔
Next was the DeFi craze.

Coinbase was quick to list & market these tokens despite the heightened operational, security, and regulatory risks that came with them.

SBF was on a recent podcast explaining what DeFi was, and it led Bloomberg Journalist Matt Levine to respond with..
Here's how these DeFi coins have performed against BTC since being listed on Coinbase.

After being heavily pushed on their clients, these DeFi tokens are completely rekt against BTC.

Since being listed on Coinbase, the average loss against BTC for these DeFi tokens is -61.6%.
The point here is that Coinbase must hate their clients or something.

It's a platform that provides exit liquidity for insiders to dump their worthless tokens.

Once a token gets listed on Coinbase, a majority of the upside has already been made by insiders via backroom deals.
It's not just me cherry-picking here.

Jump Crypto performed a study that analyzed the performance of 3,759 tokens against BTC over the 8 years between 2013-20021.

It concluded that 84% of the tokens analyzed were underwater against Bitcoin, with a median annual return of -78%.
Furthermore, I analyzed all 161 cryptos that have been listed on Coinbase and compared their performance against Bitcoin since listing.

The median performance against Bitcoin after their listing is -67.3%, with a median days since listing of 274 days.

(Read that again please)
This data is evidence that BTC and other cryptos should not be considered similar. BTC has unique properties that allows it to hold its value over time.

Every other crypto besides Bitcoin is better thought of as a digital penny stock.

You won't hear this from Coinbase tho...
Back to ETH...from its time of listing, it has actually outperformed Bitcoin. But the data above highlights how continued demand for Ethereum has been driven by its switching claims from being a platform for ICOs, to DeFi, and then NFTs (which nearly all underperformed Bitcoin).
In the beginning, ETH was not marketed as a long-term investment but rather was promoted as "digital oil". Most ETH holders didn't hold their ETH long term, but instead traded their holdings for other cryptos that were spawned on Ethereum during these various speculative crazes.
If Ethereum is, in the end, merely a platform for retail investors to lose money on other digital assets, I would expect its demand and price to eventually go the way of all things that don’t produce any real value for the world.
It’s important to understand what you own and don’t own when it comes to Bitcoin and the rest of the broader crypto industry.

It’s about time we separate Bitcoin from other cryptos and call out the irresponsible, questionable marketing and coin listing practices of Coinbase.
What retail investors desperately need in today’s macroeconomic environment is a digital sound money that can’t be inflated or censored. They need to be saving in Bitcoin to preserve their wealth — not gambling on unregulated digital penny stocks using bucket shops like Coinbase.
/the end.

If you are sick of being exit liquidity for insiders and getting shilled shitcoins, then delete Coinbase and come check out a real Bitcoin companies who will treat you right, like @swanbitcoin (Disclosure: I work there)

I think the reviews speak for themselves.👇
PS – You can check out the full article here: swanbitcoin.com/bitcoin-vs-alt…

Thanks for reading and #deletecoinbase

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More from @samcallah

Apr 21
I’ve been behind enemy lines reading everything the IMF has put out in the last 2 years.

Here are 10 pieces I found most relevant to Bitcoin.

“When you are thoroughly conversant with strategy, you will recognize the enemy’s intentions and thus have many opportunities to win."👇
1)imf.org/en/Publication…

Let’s start with the IMF's note titled “Blockchain Consensus Mechanisms: A Primer for Supervisors”

It might as well have been titled “Slander Proof of Work and Promote Proof of Stake”.

Here is an excerpt that sums it up in a nutshell👇
With PoW, the IMF admits it's the most decentralized, secure, and resilient.

They also say:

- It's prone to centralization cuz of mining pools. (false)
- Forks make achieving settlement finality hard. (false)
- PoW’s decentralization makes it more difficult to regulate. (true)
Read 30 tweets
Mar 11
A fun stacking story [1/8]

In 2018, I was fully orange-pilled and I was scrambling to stack as many sats as possible.

I sold instruments.
Downgraded by apartment.
Drove Lyft on the side.
Pick up a third job.
Busted on the street with my guitar.
And did various side gigs.
The funniest side gig by far was when I was asked to model for the Colorado Opera.

They told me they needed a picture of someone in a suit to put on pamphlets and stuff for a show.

It paid $3,000, which was almost a full bitcoin at the time, so I said hell yes, & off I went.
Now I had assumed by "suit" they meant a dude in a fancy tuxedo like what you always see rich people wearing to the opera.

But I get to the photoshoot and quickly realize I was tragically mistaken...

Instead, this is the outfit I had to wear 😂🤦‍♂️ Image
Read 8 tweets
Feb 14
Investors these days are always chirping about how fragile the financial system is right now.

They argue that the Federal Reserve can't raise rates to combat inflation without causing chaos.

Here are 3 charts that help explain why...
1.) Global debt is at historically high levels

According to recent data released from the IMF, Global debt levels now stand at a historic high of $226 trillion or 256% of GDP.

source: blogs.imf.org/2021/12/15/glo….
High levels of indebtedness in an economy create vulnerabilities & amplify shocks and macroeconomic instabilities

High debt levels increase the sensitivity of households/firms to changes in economic conditions & asset prices which can change their borrowing & spending behaviors.
Read 15 tweets
Dec 23, 2021
I've been behind enemy lines, reading everything published by the Bank of International Settlements in 2021.

Here are 10 pieces that I found the most alarming and most relevant to Bitcoin.

"Know thy enemy and know yourself; in a hundred battles, you will never be defeated." 👇 Image
1.) bis.org/publ/arpdf/ar2…

Some key takeaways from their 2021 Annual Report:

- They advocate for a global digital identity system
- Vaccine rollouts are a focus for them for the economic recovery
- They recommend that CBDC accounts be directly tied to a person’s identity
Here is the only mention of Bitcoin in their Annual report (lol).

I expect the misinformed environmental FUD against Bitcoin from Central Banks (CBs) to only grow louder heading into 2022. Image
Read 23 tweets
Oct 29, 2021
Bitcoin's Proof of Work architecture creates Seven Layers of Security and serves as the foundation for the world's first & greatest digital monetary network.

A framework from the mind of @saylor...

An absolute gigathread [1/52]👇
PoW sets BTC apart from every other asset.

The use of energy combined with the monetary network forms 7 layers of security.

Each layer acts as a point of resistance to disruption and nurtures the growth of the network.

The more users of the network, the more resistant it is.
Layer 1: The Energy Layer ⚡

Bitcoin is continuously fed hash rate and uses that energy to verify transactions, issue new coins, and secure the network.

Its energy use is fundamental to the security of the network.
Read 52 tweets
Oct 14, 2021
When someone first discovers Bitcoin there are two phases that typically occur-

1. They wish bitcoin was ‘cheaper’.
2. They wish they got in earlier.

Today, less than 2% of the world owns bitcoin & its price is ~$58,000.

Not convinced you’re early to Bitcoin? Keep reading 👇
Everyone feels like they’re late to the game when they find out about Bitcoin.

They feel like Bitcoin is too expensive and that they missed the boat, but this is flawed thinking.
Nowadays we laugh at the idea that somebody like Greg here could think $8/bitcoin was expensive.

So although one bitcoin at $58,000 might sound high today, that same price may look dizzyingly cheap years from now as Bitcoin adoption continues to grow across the globe.
Read 12 tweets

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