#OnThisDay 3 years ago, after six weeks of negotiations, Theresa May made a Statement to the House of Commons as cross-party Brexit talks with Labour ended without agreement
Two days later May resigned. Johnson would become PM and the rest is history
This is what happened…🧵
Corbyn wrote to the PM on 17/05/19, stating
“While there are some areas where compromise has been possible, we have been unable to bridge important gaps
“The increasing weakness of your government means there cannot be confidence in securing whatever might be agreed between us”
However, that is not to say there was not some willingness to compromise on both sides
A deal was theoretically possible, but practically undeliverable (Oliver Eagleton's recent book acknowledges the first, but obscures the second)
Let me explain …
On 2 April 2019, nearly two years after she had lost her majority and after her Withdrawal Agreement had been defeated in the Commons for the 3rd time, Theresa May accepted she did not have a majority for her deal
She made a statement asking Labour to enter talks. We did…
Parliament was at an impasse
May’s deal had been defeated for a 3rd time
Other options had all lost the week before talks
❌May’s deal + a customs union by 8 votes
❌May’s deal + a public vote by 27 votes
❌Labour’s Brexit plan by 70 votes
❌Common Market 2.0 by 95 votes
So…
A short meeting was held between Jeremy Corbyn and Theresa May, attended by 3-4 senior MPs & staff on both sides
Jeremy then appointed Keir Starmer & Rebecca Long Bailey to jointly lead our delegation, and me to be the staff lead, liaising with May's Chief of Staff Gavin Barwell
Soon after I got a call from Oliver Letwin, who I had met with a cross-party group of MPs, including @LucyMPowell, lobbying for their Common Market 2.0 plan
Letwin told me they are ‘desperate for a deal and will offer whatever you want’ - which I relayed to our negotiating team.
Such fulsome generosity was not forthcoming:
We now know from @GavinBarwell's memoir that Liam Fox and Jeremy Hunt threatened to resign if May gave way
But Geoffrey Cox had told Cabinet: “we should make a big, bold and generous offer to Labour to accept their terms for a deal”
The talks were detailed and constructive - with 8 plenary meetings of both teams, several 1:1 meetings between ministers and shadow ministers, and 'sherpa' meetings between officials at which officials led by Gavin Barwell and I would try to scope out the ground for compromises…
There was some progress on workers’ rights, more limited on environmental standards, but nothing meaningful on a customs union
Labour also proposed adding a confirmatory public vote to any deal. The Government refused, but Barwell's memoir reveals some in Cabinet were open to it
Was a deal possible? Yes, in theory.
If had been up to me & Gavin Barwell (or David Lidington & Rebecca Long Bailey) we could have agreed a deal that both our parties should've been able to bear
But …
Was a deal practically deliverable? No
Members of May’s Cabinet threatened to resign if she gave way on issues like customs;
And Labour’s 2018 conference motion had committed the party to campaign for a public vote in precisely the circumstances we had now reached
And any deal would not have stuck:
May’s “authority was eroded”, Barwell admits in his memoirs
“Labour were probably right that Theresa’s successor would have tried to wriggle out of any deal”
As @johnmcdonnellMP said, it was “like trying to enter into a contract with a company going into administration”
I’ve just seen these posts from Tom. And so I just want to go through his thread, for the record
When I phoned Jeremy (who had the manifesto the same day as Tom) I asked him whether he'd he sent it on to anyone? When I phoned Tom I asked him the same …🧵
This is true (I'd forgotten at that stage about Welsh & Scottish Labour) but as I said above, I asked both Jeremy & Tom if they'd shared it, who might have had access to their email, and if they’d printed it, left it anywhere, etc
This seems a blatant lie. Or more generously, perhaps Tom has forgotten that we went through the versions on the night of the leak and I agreed with him that it wasn’t the same version I had sent him.
After that shocking Lib Dem attack ad from Labour in #LocalElections2022 it appears there's an even worse one attacking the Greens, which was apparently doing the rounds in the West Midlands:
This is going to take a 🧵to unpick ...
Firstly we see the familiar attack from the Lib Dem one - that the Greens are soft on crime and on drugs.
It implies Labour doesn't want to reduce the prison population (the highest in Europe) or make any liberalisation of the UK's ineffective drugs laws - which is dumb.
Secondly, in attacking the Greens, it attacks two which are Labour policies as well 🤦
It is Labour policy to abolish right to buy. @WelshLabour has abolished right to buy.
Raising corporation tax to 24%. In 2019 Labour pledged to raise to 26%. Last year Sunak raised it to 25%
On this day 45 years ago, the Labour Cabinet of Jim Callaghan accepted an IMF loan, paving the way for Thatcherism
Denis Healey, speaking at Cabinet on 02/12/76, advocated a path based on cuts, privatisation and rising unemployment, “Anything less will not restore confidence”🧵
Michael Foot, with foresight of the situation he'd face as Leader, argued it might be better for the Govt to fall than to accept the IMF terms:
“We want to sustain the Government; or if forced into opposition, sustain ourselves in unity rather than be split into snarling groups”
Tony Benn pushed the Alternative Economic Strategy at Cabinet, and argued:
“This plan is based on two things: on Treasury forecasts that have been systematically wrong and on a monetarist theory that we don’t, for one moment, accept ourselves … there is a parallel with 1931”