THREAD: At last year's UN climate summit #COP26 in Glasgow, governments recognised the paucity of their carbon-cutting plans for this decade and urged each other to make new ones before the end of this year
'...requests Parties to revisit and strengthen the 2030 targets in their nationally determined contributions as necessary to align with the Paris Agreement temperature goal by the end of 2022...' is the exact wording unfccc.int/sites/default/…
As enshrined in the UN climate convention, prosperous nations have a duty to go first
The problem is - no-one has, nor looks like doing so. At at their summit last week, G7 ministers discussed a making a joint commitment to put in new NDCs this year. But it didn't make the cut, with governments basically reaffirming the need bmwk.de/Redaktion/DE/D…
Like a bunch of people entering a bar, none of whom want to buy the first round of drinks, governments are basically holding the door open for each other and saying 'no, you go first'. It is building no momentum and no confidence at a time science shows is absolutely crucial
The EU has a golden opportunity to break the deadlock. The bloc itself, and many individual member states, are making plans that will cut emissions faster this decade. Vladimir Putin has seen to that
They're not calling it 'decarbonisation', they're calling it 'energy security'. But many, perhaps most, measures announced in response to Russia's aggression will reduce emissions
Energy efficiency and renewables mainly; but also heat pumps, electric vehicles, even green hydrogen. All, logically, should bring emissions down (as well as undercutting any new investments in new gas infrastructure)
Defence measures against Putins of the future include rebuilding trust in international norms and institutions. Including the @UNFCCC, which Putin's Russia has treated with nothing but contempt
So the no-brainer for the EU is: turn these new commitments into a new #NDC, and get it submitted before the deadline in September. Calculating the numbers shouldn't be hard, and the political equation is obvious
The UK can and should do likewise if it wants to reinforce its credibility as #COP26 President
This would throw down a gauntlet to other countries politically allied against the Ukraine invasion. Joe Biden, Anthony Albanese, Fumio Kishida: where are your new NDCs?

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More from @_richardblack

Mar 3
Seems the 'Russia stopped #fracking in Europe and the UK by funding environmental groups' accusation is edging back into circulation (h/t @afneil)
I'm not going to argue that the Russian state or any of its agencies never campaigned against fracking in the West, because I don't know - it's certainly credible that they would have done so
But on the part of the frackophiles, there is no evidence that Russia funded environment groups. Rather, one quote and one report circulate endlessly, as though they gain credibility through repetition.
Read 20 tweets
Feb 25
THREAD: More figures on gas imports to and exports from the UK just released by government, this time for December gov.uk/government/sta…
Like those for September, October and November, which I highlighted last month , they show gas flowing out of the UK at an unusually high level for the time of year
8,363 gigawatt hours (GWh) of gas flowed out in December 2021. The December figures in previous years are:
2020 - 4,753
2019 - 4,866
2018 - 3,333
Read 11 tweets
Feb 9
Three pieces in @Telegraph today, two in @TheSun, and Jacob Rees-Mogg all cheerleading ‘gas, gas gas’ – during an energy price crisis caused by gas dependence, which increasing gas production cannot solve
The short version: gas extracted in British fields doesn't belong to Britain, it's owned by commercial companies who sell to the highest bidder. No way to change that except by export controls or public ownership - good luck with either of those
Production in UK would always be tiny compared to Russia etc who can and do manipulate supply and prices for political reasons
Read 8 tweets
Jan 27
THREAD: Something curious turns up in the gas statistics released this morning by government
Curious because at a time of eye-wateringly high gas prices, with Vladimir Putin at the Ukraine's door, with warnings of dire outcomes everywhere and the oil industry telling us that continuing UK oil and gas extraction is necessary for energy security ogauthority.co.uk/news-publicati…
...at a time when politicians like @RobertJenrick telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/01/2… are urging 'us' to increase 'our production' of oil and gas to avoid exposure to internationally-sparked price hikes...
Read 15 tweets
Nov 13, 2021
As we approach the final hours of #COP26, it's worth asking what impact it'll have on the UK
Firstly, the UK has finally hosted one of these things, 32 years after then Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher’s call for a UN climate treaty margaretthatcher.org/document/107817. The UK has always had an important role in the process but hosting this summit makes the connection more visceral…
…especially as it comes at a time when public concern on climate change and support for a zero-carbon transition have never been higher - that's true globally too btw theguardian.com/environment/20…
Read 21 tweets
Nov 13, 2021
THREAD - initial thoughts on the texts dropped this morning at #COP26 unfccc.int/sites/default/… and unfccc.int/sites/default/…
First thing is, not that much has changed since the previous drafts - science, 'urgency', 'concern', request of Parties for new NDCs in 2022, adaptation finance, all still in - and placeholders still for long-term finance and implementation
Few big ones. Coal and fossil fuel subsidies still in, but in an expanded paragraph that also talks of advancing clean energy transition
Read 14 tweets

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