The yield curve is wrong more than it is right. 📈 Yet many banks nowadays are requiring rate caps on loans which in this volatile market are incredibly expensive. 👇🏻
Important to note that the cap really only protects against a rate rise above the curve, which is even a lower probability event than the curve itself.
At some point investors need to underwrite risks in terms of probabilities and be prepared for swings.
Swing can go multiple ways - huge profits or capital calls… however if you are buying at a cap rate lower than your interest rate, the swing for you can only really go one way.
The beauty of real estate, particularly hospitality, is that if you are willing to work at it and put in the time then you can out grind your competitors.
We recently broke ground on a $60 million hotel and retail development in downtown St. Pete Florida. It’s also an OZ which is a bonus 💰!
Building a hotel is hard work. If you do it right you can compound your basis.
We have made some mistakes along the way and learned. A 🧵👇🏻
1. If you are not a hotel developer, partner with one. Not only will they save you from 🤯 but most banks will not lend without an experienced hotel developer and operator on the team.
2. Hire the project design team from the start , that includes interior design and related consultants and don’t rely on GC pricing if they are pricing at least 100% DD drawings.
Everyone assumes different things especially contractors 😉.
We have a deal under contract to acquire a $40mm hotel.
For the first time in our due diligence process we hired a forensic accountant to review the financials.
There is a huge bump in T12 NOI from YE NOI , we want to b sure it’s real.
This was a great idea! 🧵
When buying a hotel your are buying the real estate , not the operating business, but you need to verify the business because in hotels there are no long term leases.
Our team is very accustomed to analyzing operating data however we believe in due diligence it makes sense to bring in a forensic accountant.
The forensic accountant will see things my team may miss.
He is looking for irregularities, differences between related documents.