GDP growth under Biden is more than twice the rate than the average of the last 3 GOP Presidents.
5/
New businesses continued to be started at historically high rates. Love this chart. US has seen an explosion of entrepreneurship, ingenuity in a time of great challenge.
Speaks powerfully to our character, our grit, our resilience. We are not being "crushed." 6/
Yes inflation is too high, but typical American worker who works full time is still coming out ahead.
Majority of American workers are not falling behind, still coming out ahead. Data from Atlanta Fed. 7/
Of the 44m jobs created in America since 1989 42m - 96% - have been created under Democratic Presidents. Basically all of them.
Rs have not done their part to move the country forward over many decades now. 8/
To recap:
4 times as many Biden jobs as last 3 GOP Presidents combined
Twice as many job openings as unemployed people
Historic rate of new business formation
Biden job growth 50x per month last 3 Rs
Of 44m jobs created since 1989 42m under Dems
9/
If you want to dive deeper into this data we are hosting a live Zoom based discussion today at noon w/noted economist @robshapiro, and have two presentations of this data in the coming weeks.
Adding this from @bencasselman - a reminder that the lowest wage workers have done the best in this recovery, and have seen their wages rise much faster than inflation. 11/
Biden gains in new polling:
- Fox News 3 pt Biden gain (8 pts since March)
- Echelon 4 pt Biden gain
- CBS/YouGov 3 pt Biden gain
- Morning Consult 2 pt Biden gain
- Yahoo/YouGov 2 pt Biden gain
- NYT 2 pt Biden gain
Election appears to be changing now 1/ foxnews.com/official-polls…
The Politico/Ipsos poll this week found a significant potential weakening of Trump with independents and Republicans post-felony verdict. 2/
My basic take on the election:
- Joe Biden is a good POTUS. The country is better off. We have a 💪case to make
- The Dem Party is strong and winning elections all over the country
- They have Trump - the ugliest political thing we've ever seen
More 👇3/ hopiumchronicles.com/p/making-june-…
In May 272,000 jobs were created in US, far exceeding expectations. Wage growth was robust. My job tracker now comes in at:
33.8m jobs - 16 yrs Clinton, Obama
15.6m jobs - 3+ yrs Biden
1.9m jobs - 16 yrs 2 Bushes, Trump
Biden 8x jobs as last 3 GOP Presidents *combined* 1/
The job creation rate has been 40x greater per month under Biden than under the last 3 GOP Presidents.
Last month's 272,000 jobs is over 2 years of GOP growth in a single month. 2/
Since 1989 and a new age of globalization began, 51m jobs have been created in America. 49m of those have been created under Dem Presidents - essentially all of them. Only 1 US political party been good at this capitalism thing - the Democrats. 3/
Very much enjoyed this smart @RonBrownstein @CNN deep dive into data suggesting that Biden is doing better with voters more likely to vote in 2024, and Trump is doing a bit better with a wider electorate that includes many disinterested voters. 1/
To me the biggest question is what happens with those disinterested voters who go through the process of becoming a voter. Will they come to vote more like those who are paying closer attention and become more Dem and help Biden win? I think this is the likely scenario. 2/
In election after election since Dobbs when voters have been given the choice between pragmatic Ds and extremist MAGAs voters have chosen Dems.
Our well-funded and muscular campaigns have put this choice to voters repeatedly, and we keep winning 👇3/
In 2022 Rs worked hard to craft the false "red wave" narrative about the election.
They're doing it again this year - lies about size of crowds, fundraising; claiming polling lead when there isn't one; showy events in D states, voting groups. 1/
This bravado is covering for very weak GOP, who've been losing elections across US, struggling to raise hard dollars, underperforming public polls in primaries, dozens of party leaders indicted, natl campaign a shambles, more "bad candidate" problems 2/
While Rs are weak, Ds are strong: winning elections across US since Dobbs, meaningful hard dollar/organizational advantages, encouraging Senate/House polling, D Govs in 5 of 7 battleground states, Biden has been good President/country is better off 👇 3/
Like other recent polls we see MI/PA/WI up for grabs and Biden performing better among LVs.
NYT LVs, Biden-Trump:
MI 47-46
PA 45-48
WI 46-47 (Biden leads among RVs)
More on why Biden's strength w/LVs matters below: 1/
As with other recent polling, findings about life satisfaction remain remarkably high.
74% satisfied
22% not satisfied
Simply there is not broad discontent in America, part of why Dems keep winning elections across US. 2/
The big finding in these NYT polls is Biden's weakness with young and people of color. Recent large sample polls had very different results with 18-29 year olds:
In other news it is now undeniable that there is a Russian fifth column operating in United States trying to destroy the country and the global democracy movement from within.
In the last week Kennedy made it clear he is seeking to become a leader of this fifth column.
That MAGA is a Russian fifth column is now being openly discussed by Republican leaders themselves as they look on in horror at what has become of the party of Reagan.
Could RFK have constructed a more pro-Russian position?
“This is the reality that every American Citizen faces — from Ed Snowden, to Julian Assange to the J6 activists sitting in a Washington DC jail cell stripped of their Constitutional liberties.”