GDP growth under Biden is more than twice the rate than the average of the last 3 GOP Presidents.
5/
New businesses continued to be started at historically high rates. Love this chart. US has seen an explosion of entrepreneurship, ingenuity in a time of great challenge.
Speaks powerfully to our character, our grit, our resilience. We are not being "crushed." 6/
Yes inflation is too high, but typical American worker who works full time is still coming out ahead.
Majority of American workers are not falling behind, still coming out ahead. Data from Atlanta Fed. 7/
Of the 44m jobs created in America since 1989 42m - 96% - have been created under Democratic Presidents. Basically all of them.
Rs have not done their part to move the country forward over many decades now. 8/
To recap:
4 times as many Biden jobs as last 3 GOP Presidents combined
Twice as many job openings as unemployed people
Historic rate of new business formation
Biden job growth 50x per month last 3 Rs
Of 44m jobs created since 1989 42m under Dems
9/
If you want to dive deeper into this data we are hosting a live Zoom based discussion today at noon w/noted economist @robshapiro, and have two presentations of this data in the coming weeks.
Adding this from @bencasselman - a reminder that the lowest wage workers have done the best in this recovery, and have seen their wages rise much faster than inflation. 11/
Like other recent polls we see MI/PA/WI up for grabs and Biden performing better among LVs.
NYT LVs, Biden-Trump:
MI 47-46
PA 45-48
WI 46-47 (Biden leads among RVs)
More on why Biden's strength w/LVs matters below: 1/
As with other recent polling, findings about life satisfaction remain remarkably high.
74% satisfied
22% not satisfied
Simply there is not broad discontent in America, part of why Dems keep winning elections across US. 2/
The big finding in these NYT polls is Biden's weakness with young and people of color. Recent large sample polls had very different results with 18-29 year olds:
In other news it is now undeniable that there is a Russian fifth column operating in United States trying to destroy the country and the global democracy movement from within.
In the last week Kennedy made it clear he is seeking to become a leader of this fifth column.
That MAGA is a Russian fifth column is now being openly discussed by Republican leaders themselves as they look on in horror at what has become of the party of Reagan.
Could RFK have constructed a more pro-Russian position?
“This is the reality that every American Citizen faces — from Ed Snowden, to Julian Assange to the J6 activists sitting in a Washington DC jail cell stripped of their Constitutional liberties.”
With another roaring jobs report - 303,000!!! - my monthly jobs tracker now comes in at:
33.8m jobs = 16 yrs Clinton, Obama
15.2m jobs = 3+ yrs Biden
1.9m jobs = 16 yrs 2 Bushes, Trump
8 times more Biden jobs than last 3 R Presidents COMBINED. 1/
The rate of job growth has been 40 times higher under Biden than it was under the last 3 GOP Presidents. 40 times. Last month's 303,000 jobs would be 2 1/2 years of job growth under Republicans. 2/
Since 1989 51 million jobs have been created in America. 49 million - 96% - of those have been created under Democratic Presidents. Essentially all of them, over 3 and half decades. 3/
Morning after Michigan thread:
- Biden wins big, breaks 80%, uncommitted at a very modest 13%. Opposition to Biden foreign policy limited, but intense.
- Trump underperforms public polling again, 4th state in a row. Trump/RNC are struggling. More 👇1/
For Dems, big takeaway - there just isn't a big backlash in party against Biden's handling of Israel-Hamas:
- Uncommitted got 11% vs Obama in 2012, 13% vs Biden
- In Econ/YouGov Dems approve of Biden for pol 71-21, 18-29s year olds give good marks. 2/
As @Lawrence and I discussed last night on @TheLastWord, Dems are having a real debate about foreign policy right now, and that's healthy. What democracies do.
Biden has work to do to get his coalition together, as all candidates do 8-9 months out. 3/
Stop calling Trump a strong candidate. He
- isn't leading or favored in national polling 👇
- was outraised by Nikki Haley last month
- is burning through $$$$
- underperformed NH polls by 10-15 pts
- is losing all his court cases, badly
- his party is broke, struggling
- NY-3!
The GOP = unprecedented shitshow:
- got beat in 2018, 2020, 2022, 2023, struggling in early 2024
- leadership ousted, dozens indicted
- broke, burning cash
- House Members abandoning ship
- flacking Russia disinfo, serially betraying the country
- nominee is bat shit crazy
THIS IS A MASSIVE SCANDAL. It’s an unbelievable betrayal of the country. Media has to stop covering these guys as any thing other than rancid Russian fifth columnists.
Dems have won more votes in 7 of past 8 Presidential elections, the best popular vote run of an American political party in history.
In the last 4 Pres elections, we've averaged 51%, Rs 46%. It's our best run since FDR's 4 elections 80+ yrs ago. 2/ hopiumchronicles.com/p/the-democrat…
In 2016 Trump barely prevailed, even with:
- extraordinary intervention by Russia
- decapitation of the DNC
- FBI's unprecedented intervention
He never was a strong candidate, with a special connection to the electorate. Polls weren't wrong - Comey changed election at end. 3/