#OnThisDay in Labour history 5 years ago it was polling day in the 2017 general election🌹
While tens of thousands of Labour activists started knocking on doors, my day started with a meeting at the Cabinet Office with Karie Murphy to discuss arrangements if should Labour win🧵
Labour had a 24-point deficit when the campaign began. But in their final polls the major polling companies put the deficit anywhere between a 1-point and a 13-point lead for the Tories
In the last week we met 3 times with the Cabinet Secretary, as they planned for every outcome
Walking along Victoria Street (by Labour HQ) with a colleague in the early summer sunshine, and exhausted by 8 weeks of gruelling election campaign, I recall saying:
“Whatever happens tonight, I’m really proud of what we’ve done – I don’t think we could have done any more”
At the start of the campaign we were written off. We were, in the words of the Daily Mail, going to be crushed
Senior Labour HQ staff were plotting our demise, and planning for a leadership election
But thousands of activists who thronged streets thought otherwise ✊
Then, at 22:00 that exit poll dropped.
David Dimbleby explained, “The Conservatives are the largest party. Note they do not have an overall majority”
I turned away from the screen with my hands over mouth, mumbling the mantra, “please be f**king true”
At 22:22, Karie and I received an email from the Cabinet Office that read:
“Just sending this to open a line of contact if and as needed. Let's see what happens”
As the results came in, and Labour won seats it had never held before, for a moment even this didn't seem impossible
Obviously we didn't make it to No.10
But in taking away the Conservatives' majority we stopped some Tory policies - like the dementia tax, expansion of grammar schools, removing housing benefit from young people, and possibly the return of fox-hunting - from happening ...
Labour had gained its largest increase in the share of the vote since 1945
We had added 3.5m extra votes from the 2015 general election just two years earlier
And Labour had gained seats for the first time since 1997, adding 30 extra Labour MPs #forthemanynotthefew🌹
🧵ends
BONUS: This retrospective tweet thread on #GE2017 has inadvertently elicited this insight. And credit to top pollster Chris for it
But it also reminded me that this isn't the first time a post-debate poll involving Jeremy Corbyn has been suppressed…🧵
After the debate, streamed live on the BBC News Channel, went off-air, the #Newsnight team asked the audience who they thought did best: Corbyn won the vote of ex-Labour voters overwhelmingly
A prodcuer told me that would air on Newsnight. But it never did despite our complaints
Didn't do us any harm, Jeremy won by a landslide
As an aside, there's some amusing footage of the BBC News channel interviewing candidates' backers after the debate - and the camera having to pan (plummet!) down to me (5'7) after interviewing 6'7 @tobyperkinsmp (backing Liz K)
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Labour won the 2001 general election in a landslide victory over William Hague’s Conservatives, losing just 6 seats (from 418 to 412) from the 1997 landslide 🗳️🌹
🧵...
While nothing had much changed in terms of parliamentary seats, a lot had changed in terms of votes:
Labour won in 1997 on a 71% turnout with 13.5 million votes. In 2001 Labour had polled only 10.7m votes on a turnout of just 59.4% - the lowest since 1918 ...
Even though the parties’ overall representation did change much, some notable MPs stood down in 2001 ...
And some MPs, who would go on to play a significant role in British politics, were elected for the first time in 2001 ...
#OnThisDay 3 years ago, after six weeks of negotiations, Theresa May made a Statement to the House of Commons as cross-party Brexit talks with Labour ended without agreement
Two days later May resigned. Johnson would become PM and the rest is history
This is what happened…🧵
Corbyn wrote to the PM on 17/05/19, stating
“While there are some areas where compromise has been possible, we have been unable to bridge important gaps
“The increasing weakness of your government means there cannot be confidence in securing whatever might be agreed between us”
However, that is not to say there was not some willingness to compromise on both sides
A deal was theoretically possible, but practically undeliverable (Oliver Eagleton's recent book acknowledges the first, but obscures the second)
I’ve just seen these posts from Tom. And so I just want to go through his thread, for the record
When I phoned Jeremy (who had the manifesto the same day as Tom) I asked him whether he'd he sent it on to anyone? When I phoned Tom I asked him the same …🧵
This is true (I'd forgotten at that stage about Welsh & Scottish Labour) but as I said above, I asked both Jeremy & Tom if they'd shared it, who might have had access to their email, and if they’d printed it, left it anywhere, etc
This seems a blatant lie. Or more generously, perhaps Tom has forgotten that we went through the versions on the night of the leak and I agreed with him that it wasn’t the same version I had sent him.